Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 1, 2022

FinalTuesday, Nov 1, 2022· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	1	1	3		OTT	3	5	7	15
TBL	0	1	3	4		TBL	12	14	8	34

: OTT 50TBL 62
: OTT 2.14TBL 3.49
PP goals: OTT 0TBL 1
Hits: OTT 32TBL 32
Blocks: OTT 19TBL 21
PIM: OTT 34TBL 13
: OTT 55%TBL 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Ottawa Senators 4–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 at home. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for OTT: Giroux–DeBrincat–Pinto skated 7:30 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 22:29.Kucherov
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:51.Point
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:04.Sergachev
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) on 8 shots in 23:37.Stamkos
New line
New look for OTT: Giroux–DeBrincat–Pinto skated 7:30 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Giroux DeBrincat Pinto
New line
New look for OTT: Motte–Joseph–Kastelic skated 6:17 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Motte Joseph Kastelic
Usage
Steven Stamkos (TBL) played 23:37, +4:39 up on his 18:58 season average over 80 games.Stamkos
Usage
Claude Giroux (OTT) played 14:44, −4:07 down on his 18:51 season average over 81 games.Giroux

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · TBL 62 · OTT 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 26% of the game, TBL 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TBL
	38	42
	1.15	1.12
	1.07	1.07
	7	6
	2	1
	11	10
	+0.045	−0.045
	26%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – DeBrincat – Pinto
7:3033% CF
L2Motte – Joseph – Kastelic
6:1738% CF
L3Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
6:1676% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
1:4650% CF
D1Chabot – Brannstrom
13:3057% CF
D2Hamonic – Sanderson
9:0152% CF
D3Holden – Zaitsev
8:227% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:04100% CF
PP2Giroux – DeBrincat – Tkachuk – Pinto – Sanderson
1:30100% CF
PK1FMotte – Gambrell
3:28
PK2FWatson – Stützle
2:06
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
7:35
PK2DHamonic – Sanderson
2:43

Current OTT line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
8:1782% CF
L2Namestnikov – Colton – Koepke
8:1348% CF
L3Kucherov – Point – Hagel
6:2758% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
2:3675% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
9:5638% CF
D2Sergachev – Perbix
9:2358% CF
D3Fleury – Foote
6:4185% CF

PP1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov – Point – Sergachev
9:16100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Colton – Hagel – Foote
4:04100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
1:43
PK2FStamkos – Paul
1:16
PK1DCole – Cernak
3:01
PK2DFleury – Foote
0:56

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex DeBrincat R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	4	1	0	18:26	—	—	29	49
Shane Pinto C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	3	0	0	16:30	—	—	36	38
Claude Giroux R	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	42	42
Tyler Motte C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:04	—	—	38	19
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	0	3	0	17:26	—	—	39	31
Mark Kastelic C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:28	—	—	33	12
Tim Stützle C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	0	0	2	17:31	—	—	77	70
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.58	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	56	45
Brady Tkachuk L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.26	4	0	2	16:54	—	—	67	54
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	15	7:47	—	—	75	100
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	5	7:36	—	—	50	0
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	2	7:07	—	—	80	100
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	3	1	0	23:22	—	—	61	62
Erik Brannstrom D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	2	0	16:02	—	—	60	69
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	1	4	17:08	—	—	60	64
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	3	1	2	17:05	—	—	52	56
Nick Holden D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	3	2	2	20:55	—	—	18	9
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	4	0	19:09	—	—	7	4

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	3.49	58:05

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	2	2	0	8	0.90	0	0	0	23:37	—	—	79	98
Alex Killorn L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	20:34	—	—	71	98
Nick Paul L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	5	2	0	17:41	—	—	60	88
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.70	0	0	0	16:42	—	—	50	64
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.33	6	2	0	14:11	—	—	46	37
Cole Koepke L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	3	2	0	10:56	—	—	44	48
Nikita Kucherov R	L3	1	2	3	0	4	0.34	1	1	0	22:29	—	—	47	21
Brayden Point C	L3	1	1	2	0	4	0.35	1	2	0	19:51	—	—	47	22
Brandon Hagel L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:57	—	—	44	26
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	2	0	2	13:20	—	—	50	17
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	4	0	9:28	—	—	55	22
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	5	4:21	—	—	50	45
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	5	4	0	18:37	—	—	31	41
Ian Cole D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	1	2	0	18:16	—	—	47	58
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	1	2	0	4	0.20	0	0	4	25:04	—	—	46	30
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	56	49
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	15:26	—	—	84	91
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	12:24	—	—	69	83

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	15	12	3	.800	2.14	59:38

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 1, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Ottawa Senators 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning