Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 10, 2018

FinalWednesday, Jan 10, 2018· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	1	2	4		OTT	12	12	8	32
TOR	0	1	2	3		TOR	16	16	16	48

: OTT 50TOR 93
: OTT 3.57TOR 6.26
PP goals: OTT 0TOR 0
Hits: OTT 21TOR 11
Blocks: OTT 20TOR 8
PIM: OTT 6TOR 2
: OTT 40%TOR 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 at TOR. Tyler Bozak (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +18 against a season average of 30.5; the win.

Points
Matt Duchene had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:34.Duchene
Points
Tyler Bozak had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:35.Bozak
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +18 against a season average of 30.5; the win.Anderson
Luck
TOR scored 3 goals on 6.26 expected goals (93 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Hoffman–Duchene–White skated 11:20 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hoffman Duchene White
Usage
Thomas Chabot (OTT) played 12:03, −5:33 down on his 17:36 season average over 62 games.Chabot
Usage
Filip Chlapik (OTT) played 5:53, −4:25 down on his 10:18 season average over 19 games.Chlapik
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 26:15, +4:43 up on his 21:32 season average over 75 games.Rielly

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 143 of 143 attempts · TOR 93 · OTT 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 12% of the game, TOR 57%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	55	89
	3.85	4.76
	3.69	4.58
	17	18
	5	7
	13	28
	−0.088	+0.088
	12%	57%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Brassard – Stone – Dzingel
14:1237% CF
L2Hoffman – Duchene – White
11:2033% CF
L3Pyatt – Smith – Pageau
9:5739% CF
L4Burrows – Dumont – Chlapik
3:5240% CF
D1Phaneuf – Ceci
12:1738% CF
D2Karlsson – Chabot
10:2248% CF
D3Claesson – Harpur
7:1243% CF

PP1Brassard – Karlsson – Hoffman – Stone – Dzingel
1:03100% CF
PP2Burrows – Phaneuf – Smith – Duchene – Chabot
0:51
PK1FSmith – Pageau
2:24
PK2FBurrows – Stone
1:00
PK1DPhaneuf – Harpur
1:44
PK2DKarlsson – Ceci
1:41

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
14:5663% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
13:1872% CF
L3Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
12:3361% CF
L4Martin – Brown – Gauthier
4:3160% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
16:3670% CF
D2Gardiner – Carrick
10:1463% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
5:2753% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
2:36100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:3590% CF
PK1FMarleau – Hyman
0:58
PK2FBrown – Gauthier
0:20
PK1DHainsey – Polak
1:30
PK2DGardiner – Rielly
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	1	0	21:42	—	—	36	45
Derick Brassard C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.27	1	1	0	18:59	—	—	36	48
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.80	0	0	0	18:14	—	—	37	45
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.20	1	3	2	17:34	—	—	42	44
Mike Hoffman C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.37	2	0	0	15:59	—	—	38	39
Colin White C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:09	—	—	37	35
Zack Smith C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.09	0	1	0	16:43	—	—	44	52
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.46	0	0	0	16:21	—	—	33	38
Tom Pyatt L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.33	1	0	2	13:44	—	—	46	52
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	9:11	—	—	35	42
Gabriel Dumont C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.32	1	0	0	6:35	—	—	38	49
Filip Chlapik C	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	3	0	5:53	—	—	40	47
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	4	2	26:39	—	—	27	29
Dion Phaneuf D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	2	2	0	22:12	—	—	39	48
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	4	0	27:06	—	—	43	45
Thomas Chabot D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	12:03	—	—	47	47
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	20:08	—	—	35	40
Fredrik Claesson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	0	1	0	10:48	—	—	42	61

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	48	45	3	.938	6.26	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.43	0	1	0	19:39	—	—	61	60
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	0	0	0	19:25	—	—	58	58
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	2	2	0	19:11	—	—	54	55
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	1	0	1	-1	11	1.98	0	0	0	18:40	—	—	69	67
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.45	0	1	0	18:40	—	—	70	70
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	2	2	+1	4	0.46	1	1	0	18:35	—	—	69	69
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.27	2	0	0	17:51	—	—	59	49
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.58	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	61	50
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.53	2	0	2	14:54	—	—	57	48
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	9:44	—	—	64	22
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	1	0	7:28	—	—	43	13
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:12	—	—	60	20
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	0	1	0	6	0.39	0	1	0	26:15	—	—	67	66
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.47	0	0	0	21:45	—	—	63	61
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	1	0	0	28:07	—	—	58	41
Connor Carrick D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:24	—	—	57	29
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:37	—	—	58	57
Andreas Borgman D	D3	1	0	1	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	10:05	—	—	64	55

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	3.57	57:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 10, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs