Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 10, 2018

FinalSaturday, Feb 10, 2018· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	1	2	3		OTT	4	12	9	25
TOR	3	1	2	6		TOR	14	16	11	41

: OTT 48TOR 74
: OTT 1.77TOR 4.13
PP goals: OTT 0TOR 1
Hits: OTT 37TOR 21
Blocks: OTT 17TOR 13
PIM: OTT 8TOR 4
: OTT 47%TOR 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 6–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 6–3 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:48 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals and 3 assists (5 points) on 5 shots in 18:34.Marner
Points
Patrick Marleau had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 6 shots in 15:43.Marleau
Points
Nazem Kadri had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:59.Kadri
Points
Mark Stone had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:05.Stone
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:48 together.van Riemsdyk Bozak Kadri Rielly Marner
New line
New look for OTT: Brassard–Smith–Stone skated 11:22 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (39.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brassard Smith Stone
Usage
Fredrik Claesson (OTT) played 5:31, −9:59 down on his 15:30 season average over 63 games.Claesson
Luck
TOR scored 6 goals on 4.13 expected goals (74 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · TOR 74 · OTT 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 13% of the game, TOR 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	55	74
	2.01	3.39
	1.98	3.17
	5	12
	1	7
	22	19
	−0.036	+0.036
	13%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Brassard – Smith – Stone
11:2239% CF
L2Hoffman – Duchene – White
10:3040% CF
L3Pyatt – Paajarvi – Pageau
4:1078% CF
D1Phaneuf – Karlsson
11:4154% CF
D2Borowiecki – Ceci
8:2033% CF
D3Oduya – Chabot
5:5329% CF

PP1Brassard – DiDomenico – Karlsson – Stone – Dzingel
0:59
PP2Phaneuf – Smith – Hoffman – Duchene – Chabot
0:46100% CF
PK1FPaajarvi – Pageau
1:18
PK2FSmith – Duchene
0:43
PK1DPhaneuf – Ceci
2:54
PK2DOduya – Karlsson
0:55

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Marner
12:4585% CF
L2Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:2743% CF
L3Moore – Komarov – Kapanen
10:1753% CF
L4van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
9:2943% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:5559% CF
D2Carrick – Dermott
14:5736% CF
D3Hainsey – Rielly
14:3867% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:48100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
0:48100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
1:15
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
1:07
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
0:46
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:34

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	0	2	2	-1	3	0.34	2	1	0	19:05	—	—	34	35
Zack Smith C	L1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.03	5	2	0	18:54	—	—	38	42
Derick Brassard C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.23	2	1	2	18:49	—	—	33	38
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.08	4	0	0	21:59	—	—	45	37
Mike Hoffman C	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.05	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	44	34
Colin White C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.39	2	0	0	13:22	—	—	33	39
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	1	1	2	17:37	—	—	59	40
Tom Pyatt L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	2	11:15	—	—	67	59
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	0	0	10:27	—	—	55	70
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.05	1	2	0	26:07	—	—	49	49
Dion Phaneuf D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.02	4	5	0	20:29	—	—	48	57
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	21:29	—	—	41	32
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	3	2	2	14:16	—	—	41	22
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.08	0	1	0	16:12	—	—	35	26
Johnny Oduya D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	15:21	—	—	31	18
Ryan Dzingel C	—	1	0	1	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	15:14	—	—	38	20
Christopher DiDomenico L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	3	0	0	9:16	—	—	46	31
Fredrik Claesson D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:31	—	—	55	41

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Condon	L	30	28	2	.933	2.71	48:08
Craig Anderson(start)	—	10	7	3	.700	0.71	11:30

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	3	5	+3	5	0.37	2	0	0	18:34	—	—	87	85
Nazem Kadri C	L1	1	1	2	+3	6	0.73	2	0	0	17:59	—	—	85	87
Patrick Marleau C	L1	1	2	3	+3	6	1.36	1	0	0	15:43	—	—	83	81
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	16:01	—	—	53	49
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.19	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	46	35
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	14:46	—	—	48	48
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	3	0	0	14:20	—	—	53	47
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	3	0	0	12:36	—	—	50	43
Dominic Moore C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	0	0	12:12	—	—	47	39
Tyler Bozak C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	0	2	0	14:47	—	—	42	63
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	1	0	14:01	—	—	40	59
James van Riemsdyk L	L4	1	0	1	-2	4	0.68	0	1	0	12:50	—	—	43	69
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+3	0	0.01	1	2	0	21:11	—	—	58	57
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	+3	2	0.04	0	1	2	20:44	—	—	64	64
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	3	0	19:44	—	—	40	69
Connor Carrick D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	2	0	16:44	—	—	42	69
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.10	2	1	0	19:26	—	—	67	54
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	2	18:35	—	—	70	62

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	25	22	3	.880	1.77	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 10, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 6–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs