Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 6, 2018

FinalSaturday, Oct 6, 2018· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	2	2	5		OTT	6	10	8	24
TOR	0	3	0	3		TOR	12	12	13	37

: OTT 40TOR 80
: OTT 2.80TOR 4.25
PP goals: OTT 0TOR 1
Hits: OTT 26TOR 30
Blocks: OTT 27TOR 8
PIM: OTT 4TOR 4
: OTT 49%TOR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3 at TOR. Thomas Chabot (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 1:09 together.

Points
Thomas Chabot had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 21:31.Chabot
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:20.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:06.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 22:54.Rielly
Points
Zack Smith had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:59.Smith
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 1:09 together.Tavares Kadri Rielly Marner Matthews
New line
New look for OTT: Smith–Boedker–Stone skated 10:37 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Boedker Stone
New line
New look for OTT: Ryan–Tierney–Formenton skated 9:14 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan Tierney Formenton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TOR 80 · OTT 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 18% of the game, TOR 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	42	79
	2.42	4.23
	2.39	4.13
	5	13
	5	6
	18	35
	+0.004	−0.004
	18%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Smith – Boedker – Stone
10:3752% CF
L2Ryan – Tierney – Formenton
9:1422% CF
L3Duchene – Dzingel – White
7:3520% CF
L4Pyatt – Carey – Paajarvi
3:570% CF
D1Ceci – Lajoie
16:2226% CF
D2DeMelo – Chabot
13:1756% CF
D3Borowiecki – Wideman
10:5530% CF

PP1Boedker – Tierney – White – Chabot – Lajoie
1:4975% CF
PP2Ryan – Duchene – Wideman – Stone – Dzingel
1:47100% CF
PK1FSmith – Stone
0:56
PK2FPyatt – Paajarvi
0:43
PK1DDeMelo – Lajoie
0:43
PK2DBorowiecki – Chabot
0:28

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
13:4473% CF
L2Marleau – Ennis – Matthews
12:0463% CF
L3Kadri – Leivo – Brown
7:3657% CF
L4Johnsson – Kapanen – Lindholm
6:4475% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
15:3965% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
12:3773% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
10:1371% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:09100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Leivo – Johnsson
0:44100% CF
PK1FHyman – Brown
1:12
PK2FTavares – Kapanen
0:36
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:41
PK2DRielly – Dermott
1:05

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.79	1	1	0	18:22	—	—	54	56
Mikkel Boedker L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	1	1	0	15:55	—	—	55	65
Zack Smith C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:59	—	—	48	44
Chris Tierney C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.15	0	2	0	18:06	—	—	35	41
Bobby Ryan R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	2	1	0	16:19	—	—	15	20
Alex Formenton L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	2	0	0	12:22	—	—	27	27
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	1	3	0	19:08	—	—	31	30
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.37	3	1	2	18:17	—	—	36	40
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	2	2	0	14:05	—	—	19	23
Tom Pyatt L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	0	12:31	—	—	15	16
Magnus Paajarvi L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:26	—	—	25	18
Paul Carey C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:03	—	—	22	37
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	4	2	22:00	—	—	27	16
Maxime Lajoie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	3	0	21:56	—	—	24	13
Thomas Chabot D	D2	2	1	3	+4	5	0.49	0	1	0	21:31	—	—	50	74
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	1	0	1	+4	1	0.17	2	2	0	18:34	—	—	52	77
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	4	0	0	17:58	—	—	26	19
Chris Wideman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	0	16:08	—	—	31	26

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	37	34	3	.919	4.25	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.43	2	0	0	19:37	—	—	74	77
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	+1	6	0.94	2	0	0	19:06	—	—	73	77
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.08	3	1	0	17:08	—	—	74	78
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	1	2	0	4	0.54	1	1	0	20:20	—	—	60	69
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.19	4	1	0	16:29	—	—	62	70
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.77	2	0	0	15:22	—	—	62	73
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.11	2	0	0	15:33	—	—	57	41
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.39	2	1	0	13:28	—	—	59	43
Josh Leivo L	L3	0	0	0	-4	0	0.05	2	0	2	12:15	—	—	53	43
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	12:31	—	—	70	56
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	0	1	2	10:39	—	—	60	50
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	0	0	9:24	—	—	77	65
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	1	0	0	22:16	—	—	62	61
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	22:13	—	—	67	63
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	1	2	0	5	0.15	1	2	0	22:54	—	—	65	67
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	17:35	—	—	76	98
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	3	0	0	19:46	—	—	68	61
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	2	0	0	12:38	—	—	56	42

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	2.20	56:46

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 6, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs