Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 6, 2019

FinalWednesday, Feb 6, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	1	2	4		OTT	11	16	17	44
TOR	1	3	1	5		TOR	11	12	7	30

: OTT 69TOR 63
: OTT 2.98TOR 2.71
PP goals: OTT 0TOR 0
Hits: OTT 27TOR 13
Blocks: OTT 21TOR 13
PIM: OTT 2TOR 4
: OTT 59%TOR 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 5–4

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 5–4 at home. Magnus Paajarvi (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 44 shots and stopped 40 (.909), +11 against a season average of 32.6; the win.

Points
Magnus Paajarvi had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 14:43.Paajarvi
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:22.Tavares
Points
Zach Hyman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:06.Hyman
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:09.Pageau
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:46.Marner
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 44 shots and stopped 40 (.909), +11 against a season average of 32.6; the win.Andersen
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 2.71 expected goals (63 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Tierney–Rodewald–Balcers skated 5:58 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (11.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tierney Rodewald Balcers

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · TOR 63 · OTT 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 35% of the game, TOR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	72	68
	2.88	2.90
	2.79	2.79
	18	11
	6	2
	25	22
	+0.070	−0.070
	35%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Stone – White – Tkachuk
13:3947% CF
L2Smith – Paajarvi – Pageau
12:2163% CF
L3Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
12:2163% CF
L4Tierney – Rodewald – Balcers
5:5811% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
16:0066% CF
D2Ceci – Lajoie
15:0743% CF
D3Borowiecki – Harpur
11:4326% CF

PP1Ryan – Duchene – Tierney – Balcers – Lajoie
2:0333% CF
PP2Stone – Dzingel – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
1:39100% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
0:53
PK2FStone – Pageau
0:45
PK1DDeMelo – Harpur
0:53
PK2DCeci – Lajoie
0:45

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
14:4263% CF
L2Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
12:5934% CF
L3Kadri – Brown – Nylander
8:2955% CF
L4Johnsson – Gauthier – Lindholm
4:0050% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
13:2342% CF
D2Muzzin – Rielly
12:5648% CF
D3Hainsey – Dermott
11:3362% CF

PP1Muzzin – Gardiner – Tavares – Marner – Matthews
1:00100% CF
PP2Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
0:53
PK1FMarner – Lindholm
0:43
PK2FHyman – Kapanen
0:42
PK1DMuzzin – Rielly
1:47
PK2DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:46

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.21	1	1	0	21:21	—	—	53	52
Colin White C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.27	2	2	0	19:18	—	—	44	45
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.45	2	0	0	16:22	—	—	47	48
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.11	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	57	56
Zack Smith C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	2	0	0	15:24	—	—	57	56
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	2	0	2	+1	5	0.36	2	1	0	14:43	—	—	61	58
Matt Duchene C	L3	1	0	1	-2	3	0.21	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	61	62
Bobby Ryan R	L3	0	1	1	-2	4	0.18	1	1	0	16:40	—	—	57	56
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	0	1	1	-3	5	0.25	0	1	0	16:36	—	—	55	50
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	0	12:10	—	—	31	28
Rudolfs Balcers L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	9:16	—	—	31	30
Jack Rodewald R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:06	—	—	25	28
Thomas Chabot D	D1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.23	1	3	0	23:53	—	—	65	62
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	2	2	0	20:26	—	—	66	61
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	4	2	0	20:46	—	—	53	54
Maxime Lajoie D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	1	3	0	20:03	—	—	39	37
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	5	0	2	16:16	—	—	48	44
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:06	—	—	25	27

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	30	25	5	.833	2.71	58:51

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.36	0	0	0	20:46	—	—	57	64
John Tavares C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.76	2	3	0	20:22	—	—	61	68
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.27	3	0	0	19:06	—	—	62	66
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:11	—	—	32	28
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	15:08	—	—	36	35
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	0	14:24	—	—	33	30
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	44	33
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:57	—	—	53	39
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:20	—	—	54	37
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	2	0	0	9:31	—	—	47	41
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	8:50	—	—	54	56
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.20	1	0	0	8:03	—	—	60	63
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	3	3	0	20:39	—	—	36	51
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	4	17:59	—	—	49	58
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.08	1	2	0	23:03	—	—	47	31
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	0	0	0	18:08	—	—	47	27
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	2	0	22:56	—	—	57	78
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	0	2	0	16:37	—	—	56	59

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	44	40	4	.909	2.98	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 6, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 5–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs