Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 1, 2020

Final / OTSaturday, Feb 1, 2020· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	0	1	0	0	1		OTT	6	11	6	2	25
TOR	0	1	0	1	2		TOR	10	9	15	2	36

: OTT 48TOR 69
: OTT 3.14TOR 3.12
PP goals: OTT 0TOR 1
Hits: OTT 31TOR 23
Blocks: OTT 19TOR 8
PIM: OTT 6TOR 4
: OTT 43%TOR 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 2–1 in overtime at home. Jason Spezza (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +6 against a season average of 29.9; the overtime loss.

Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +6 against a season average of 29.9; the overtime loss.Anderson
Luck
OTT scored 1 goal on 3.14 expected goals (48 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Gauthier–Timashov–Moore skated 6:04 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gauthier Timashov Moore
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Johnsson–Engvall skated 8:07 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (83.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Johnsson Engvall
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 25:28, +3:59 up on his 21:29 season average over 58 games.Marner
Usage
Brady Tkachuk (OTT) played 25:03, +6:12 up on his 18:51 season average over 70 games.Tkachuk
Usage
Mark Borowiecki (OTT) played 14:59, −3:01 down on his 18:00 season average over 52 games.Borowiecki
Usage
Tyson Barrie (TOR) played 27:11, +5:23 up on his 21:48 season average over 69 games.Barrie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · TOR 69 · OTT 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 28% of the game, TOR 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	34	50
	1.68	1.64
	1.59	1.62
	6	12
	2	5
	20	14
	−0.023	+0.023
	28%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Brown – Tkachuk
12:1238% CF
L2Ennis – White – Batherson
9:4538% CF
L3Namestnikov – Tierney – Duclair
9:0644% CF
D1Hainsey – Chabot
14:2043% CF
D2Reilly – Zaitsev
13:2135% CF
D3Borowiecki – DeMelo
11:1950% CF

PP1Ennis – Pageau – Reilly – Batherson – Tkachuk
2:02
PP2Anisimov – Brown – Duclair – White – Chabot
1:20
PK1FTierney – Brown
1:44
PK2FPageau – Namestnikov
1:16
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:40
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:20

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
16:1348% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
12:2267% CF
L3Spezza – Johnsson – Engvall
8:0783% CF
L4Gauthier – Timashov – Moore
6:0417% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
15:4033% CF
D2Barrie – Marincin
10:3688% CF
D3Ceci – Sandin
7:3383% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:530% CF
PP2Spezza – Hyman – Kerfoot – Johnsson – Sandin
0:28
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:17
PK2FKerfoot – Engvall
1:04
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
1:58
PK2DMarincin – Holl
1:24

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:08
OTTMark Borowiecki (Dylan DeMelo, Drake Batherson)slap0.02 xG
OTT: Ennis, Borowiecki, DeMelo, White, BathersonTOR: Marincin, Gauthier, Timashov, Moore, Sandin
OTT 1 – 0 TOR
10:41
TORJason Spezza (Rasmus Sandin, Zach Hyman)slap0.08 xG
OTT: Hainsey, Pageau, Namestnikov, ZaitsevTOR: Spezza, Hyman, Kerfoot, Johnsson, Sandin
OTT 1 – 1 TOR

OT period

3:54
TORMitch MarnerPP (William Nylander, Auston Matthews)slap0.18 xG
OTT: Hainsey, Pageau, ZaitsevTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
OTT 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	4	0	2	25:03	—	—	30	58
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.30	1	0	0	23:30	—	—	33	49
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	4	0	0	21:55	—	—	44	57
Colin White C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	2	0	0	15:28	—	—	35	30
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.28	3	0	0	15:23	—	—	47	57
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.56	3	0	2	15:22	—	—	53	70
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	0	0	19:21	—	—	41	52
Anthony Duclair L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	1	1	0	19:17	—	—	50	56
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	2	0	13:48	—	—	46	49
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	0	0	25:45	—	—	42	49
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	3	0	20:48	—	—	43	42
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	0	21:24	—	—	36	42
Mike Reilly D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	19:14	—	—	36	66
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	4	4	0	19:06	—	—	41	53
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	2	3	0	14:59	—	—	44	49
Artem Anisimov C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:44	—	—	39	52
Filip Chlapik C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	7:19	—	—	38	53
Scott Sabourin R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	2:31	—	—	20	40

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	36	34	2	.944	3.12	63:54

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.35	0	1	0	25:28	—	—	52	39
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.31	0	0	0	23:44	—	—	56	43
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.13	3	0	0	20:38	—	—	48	28
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.49	1	0	0	19:29	—	—	71	71
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	17:52	—	—	65	71
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	75	70
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:39	—	—	90	83
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	12:07	—	—	78	80
Jason Spezza C	L3	1	0	1	0	6	0.53	0	0	0	10:33	—	—	83	89
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:22	—	—	30	21
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	8:49	—	—	30	21
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	0	7:15	—	—	44	47
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	1	0	25:44	—	—	41	22
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	3	1	0	21:10	—	—	33	18
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	2	2	2	27:11	—	—	74	71
Martin Marincin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	0	0	15:36	—	—	79	74
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	1	0	21:58	—	—	59	47
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.05	2	1	2	11:40	—	—	64	60

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	3.14	63:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.