Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 17, 2021

FinalWednesday, Feb 17, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	1	0	1		OTT	10	12	6	28
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	5	13	10	28

: OTT 55TOR 40
: OTT 2.75TOR 2.58
PP goals: OTT 0TOR 0
Hits: OTT 30TOR 13
Blocks: OTT 5TOR 14
PIM: OTT 4TOR 6
: OTT 48%TOR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 2–1 at home. Jake Muzzin (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Joe Thornton (TOR) played 18:15, +4:38 up on his 13:37 season average over 43 games.

Points
Jake Muzzin had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:19.Muzzin
Usage
Joe Thornton (TOR) played 18:15, +4:38 up on his 13:37 season average over 43 games.Thornton
Luck
OTT scored 1 goal on 2.75 expected goals (55 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jimmy Vesey (TOR) played 7:31, −5:18 down on his 12:49 season average over 49 games.Vesey
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 20:24, −3:16 down on his 23:40 season average over 54 games.Rielly
Usage
Artem Zub (OTT) played 15:16, −3:11 down on his 18:27 season average over 46 games.Zub
Shots
Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led everyone with 7 shot on goals, scoring once.Tkachuk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 95 of 95 attempts · TOR 40 · OTT 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 39% of the game, TOR 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	55	40
	2.71	2.61
	2.62	2.50
	14	12
	8	4
	20	16
	−0.016	+0.017
	39%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Dadonov – Paul – White
10:2854% CF
L2Brown – Norris – Tkachuk
8:3881% CF
L3Stepan – Batherson – Stützle
7:2753% CF
L4Anisimov – Watson – Tierney
5:5845% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
16:3750% CF
D2Reilly – Zub
10:5264% CF
D3Gudbranson – Brannstrom
9:4577% CF

PP1Dadonov – Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk
2:3967% CF
PP2Anisimov – Stepan – White – Brannstrom – Stützle
2:29
PK1FStepan – Watson
2:00
PK2FBrown – Paul
1:53
PK1DChabot – Zub
1:08
PK2DReilly – Zaitsev
1:00

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Thornton – Marner – Matthews
12:1947% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Nylander
11:3436% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Mikheyev
7:1531% CF
L4Spezza – Boyd – Vesey
5:0256% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
15:4350% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
13:1027% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
10:4146% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:440% CF
PP2Thornton – Boyd – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:41100% CF
PK1FMarner – Mikheyev
1:08
PK2FVesey – Engvall
0:56
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
3:02
PK2DBogosian – Brodie
1:46

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:41
TORAuston Matthews (Justin Holl, Jake Muzzin)slap0.10 xG
OTT: Dadonov, Paul, White, Chabot, ZaitsevTOR: Thornton, Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews
OTT 0 – 1 TOR
18:51
OTTBrady Tkachuk (Chris Tierney, Josh Norris)wrist0.17 xG
OTT: Gudbranson, Tierney, Chabot, Norris, TkachukTOR: Holl, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews, Mikheyev
OTT 1 – 1 TOR

3rd period

10:46
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Joe Thornton, Jake Muzzin)wrist0.09 xG
OTT: Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev, ZubTOR: Thornton, Muzzin, Brodie, Boyd, Kerfoot
OTT 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.29	1	0	0	17:36	—	—	45	32
Colin White C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.25	1	0	0	17:09	—	—	61	44
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	15:35	—	—	50	32
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.25	1	1	0	18:11	—	—	68	55
Josh Norris C	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.11	1	0	0	17:29	—	—	78	76
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	+1	7	0.71	3	0	0	17:26	—	—	83	72
Tim Stützle C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	50	48
Derek Stepan C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	1	0	15:21	—	—	55	53
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	3	0	0	13:44	—	—	50	55
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	13:08	—	—	53	48
Artem Anisimov C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:11	—	—	53	43
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	9:13	—	—	46	41
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	26:09	—	—	51	40
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	0	0	2	22:32	—	—	54	46
Mike Reilly D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	0	0	16:52	—	—	68	78
Artem Zub D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:16	—	—	47	52
Erik Gudbranson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	0	2	19:05	—	—	57	45
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:18	—	—	79	69

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	28	26	2	.929	2.58	58:18

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.36	0	0	0	23:48	—	—	46	48
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	0	0	2	23:37	—	—	45	57
Joe Thornton C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.15	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	52	57
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	2	4	2	19:55	—	—	36	39
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	18:01	—	—	40	42
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	2	1	0	17:37	—	—	42	45
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	30	33
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	1	0	0	11:58	—	—	41	49
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	0	0	10:17	—	—	26	35
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	1	0	0	8:11	—	—	50	72
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	7:55	—	—	64	77
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	7:31	—	—	50	71
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.05	1	2	0	22:19	—	—	55	59
Justin Holl D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	22:00	—	—	43	45
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	2	2	0	21:29	—	—	33	49
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	1	0	20:24	—	—	30	39
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	15:13	—	—	44	57
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	2	13:12	—	—	53	58

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	28	27	1	.964	2.75	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.