Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 16, 2021

FinalSaturday, Oct 16, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	1	0	1		OTT	6	10	5	21
TOR	2	0	1	3		TOR	8	15	6	29

: OTT 45TOR 68
: OTT 1.83TOR 3.02
PP goals: OTT 1TOR 0
Hits: OTT 37TOR 29
Blocks: OTT 22TOR 9
PIM: OTT 6TOR 4
: OTT 35%TOR 65%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 3–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 3–1 at home. Alexander Kerfoot (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT's first power-play unit (Ennis, Chabot, Norris, Batherson and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 1:21 together.

Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:43.Kerfoot
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Ennis, Chabot, Norris, Batherson and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 1:21 together.Ennis Chabot Norris Batherson Stützle
Usage
Shane Pinto (OTT) played 18:12, +6:34 up on his 11:39 season average over 4 games.Pinto
Luck
John Tavares (TOR) generated 1.16 xG on 6 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Tavares
Usage
Logan Shaw (OTT) played 5:54, −3:42 down on his 9:36 season average over 16 games.Shaw
Usage
Nick Ritchie (TOR) played 16:04, +3:26 up on his 12:38 season average over 56 games.Ritchie
Usage
Nick Paul (OTT) played 13:24, −3:09 down on his 16:33 season average over 79 games.Paul
Usage
Nikita Zaitsev (OTT) played 15:55, −3:07 down on his 19:02 season average over 61 games.Zaitsev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · TOR 68 · OTT 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 31% of the game, TOR 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	47	61
	1.82	1.63
	1.79	1.56
	10	10
	4	5
	23	28
	−0.124	+0.124
	31%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Norris – Batherson – Stützle
11:3943% CF
L2Brown – Paul – Pinto
6:3538% CF
L3Shaw – Formenton – Kelly
3:4120% CF
L4Ennis – Tierney – Sanford
3:4075% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
19:5248% CF
D2Mete – Zaitsev
12:1742% CF
D3Holden – Brown
11:3140% CF

PP1Ennis – Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Stützle
1:21100% CF
PP2Tierney – Brown – Sanford – Mete – Pinto
1:01100% CF
PK1FFormenton – Pinto
1:04
PK2FBrown – Paul
1:01
PK1DBrown – Mete
1:05
PK2DHolden – Zaitsev
1:02

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Ritchie – Marner
12:0855% CF
L2Engvall – Kase – Kampf
11:0464% CF
L3Kerfoot – Nylander – Bunting
9:5447% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Amadio
8:2356% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
17:1960% CF
D2Dermott – Sandin
13:3752% CF
D3Muzzin – Liljegren
12:5145% CF

PP1Spezza – Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner
3:13100% CF
PP2Spezza – Simmonds – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin
0:32100% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Marner
0:50
PK2FNylander – Kampf
0:31
PK1DMuzzin – Liljegren
1:04
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
1:04

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	3	0	20:35	—	—	55	74
Drake Batherson R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.18	1	1	0	18:56	—	—	55	73
Josh Norris C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.21	2	1	0	18:39	—	—	42	49
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	0	0	0	20:11	—	—	38	28
Shane Pinto C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	0	0	0	18:12	—	—	32	32
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	13:24	—	—	38	41
Alex Formenton L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	0	13:17	—	—	27	58
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	7:51	—	—	33	38
Logan Shaw R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:54	—	—	30	35
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	2	0	15:16	—	—	63	82
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.16	2	0	0	13:17	—	—	56	76
Zachary Sanford L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	3	1	0	13:14	—	—	47	35
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	4	3	2	28:13	—	—	46	50
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	3	0	0	22:49	—	—	50	52
Victor Mete D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.02	1	2	0	17:37	—	—	48	52
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.02	4	2	2	15:55	—	—	32	33
Nick Holden D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	2	0	17:21	—	—	42	69
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	5	5	0	15:42	—	—	31	70

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.42	57:29

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	0	0	20:37	—	—	54	55
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	1.16	3	0	0	19:54	—	—	52	56
Nick Ritchie L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	6	0	2	16:04	—	—	59	62
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	70	28
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	2	0	2	14:51	—	—	73	57
Ondrej Kase R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	1	0	0	14:04	—	—	72	41
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.44	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	40	35
Michael Bunting L	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.27	4	1	0	15:20	—	—	56	45
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.06	1	0	0	14:43	—	—	56	35
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	1	2	0	12:11	—	—	54	50
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	3	0	0	10:45	—	—	55	53
Michael Amadio R	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	2	0	0	9:58	—	—	50	39
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.16	1	1	0	25:49	—	—	61	51
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	1	0	20:58	—	—	62	49
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.07	3	0	0	17:50	—	—	61	48
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:22	—	—	45	39
Jake Muzzin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	20:11	—	—	63	53
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	0	2	0	14:52	—	—	42	40

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	21	20	1	.952	1.83	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 16, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 3–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs