Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 15, 2022

FinalSaturday, Oct 15, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	0	1	2		OTT	11	7	10	28
TOR	0	1	2	3		TOR	13	11	8	32

: OTT 52TOR 67
: OTT 2.64TOR 3.36
PP goals: OTT 1TOR 1
Hits: OTT 53TOR 37
Blocks: OTT 19TOR 14
PIM: OTT 4TOR 4
: OTT 51%TOR 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 3–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 3–2 at home. Claude Giroux (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT's first power-play unit (Giroux, Motte, DeBrincat, Pinto and Sanderson) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:39 together.

Points
Claude Giroux had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:46.Giroux
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Giroux, Motte, DeBrincat, Pinto and Sanderson) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:39 together.Giroux Motte DeBrincat Pinto Sanderson
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:09 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
Usage
David Kampf (TOR) played 12:00, −3:21 down on his 15:21 season average over 81 games.Kampf
Usage
Tyler Motte (OTT) played 18:14, +5:45 up on his 12:29 season average over 61 games.Motte
Usage
Claude Giroux (OTT) played 15:46, −3:04 down on his 18:50 season average over 81 games.Giroux
Usage
Nikita Zaitsev (OTT) played 12:12, −4:22 down on his 16:34 season average over 45 games.Zaitsev
Usage
Rasmus Sandin (TOR) played 15:05, −4:18 down on his 19:23 season average over 70 games.Sandin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 67 · OTT 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 21% of the game, TOR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	50	72
	2.57	3.62
	2.52	3.32
	18	18
	6	5
	25	18
	−0.017	+0.017
	21%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
14:3852% CF
L2Giroux – DeBrincat – Norris
10:5552% CF
L3Motte – Joseph – Pinto
10:3122% CF
L4Watson – Kastelic – Kelly
4:4033% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
19:1530% CF
D2Hamonic – Sanderson
16:1746% CF
D3Zaitsev – Brannstrom
9:5233% CF

PP1Giroux – Motte – DeBrincat – Pinto – Sanderson
1:39100% CF
PP2Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
1:0860% CF
PK1FMotte – Norris
1:21
PK2FJoseph – Kelly
0:25
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
1:29
PK2DZaitsev – Brannstrom
1:06

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
14:2176% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Malgin
10:3446% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Engvall
8:4869% CF
L4Aube-Kubel – Aston-Reese – Kampf
7:2925% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
18:2457% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
14:5861% CF
D3Giordano – Sandin
12:5570% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:0975% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Bunting – Malgin
0:40100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kampf
0:47
PK2FMarner – Aston-Reese
0:36
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:04
PK2DGiordano – Brodie
0:39

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Drake Batherson R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.18	3	0	0	20:13	—	—	47	56
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.36	2	0	2	20:06	—	—	53	56
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.33	5	0	0	18:42	—	—	47	62
Josh Norris C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.22	2	2	0	17:14	—	—	52	57
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	5	0	0	17:10	—	—	52	51
Claude Giroux R	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.49	2	3	0	15:46	—	—	54	51
Tyler Motte C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	3	0	18:14	—	—	31	25
Shane Pinto C	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.55	2	0	0	15:28	—	—	21	26
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:45	—	—	25	26
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	0	0	8:36	—	—	33	10
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:30	—	—	29	10
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	6:38	—	—	27	6
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.22	3	5	0	26:59	—	—	42	43
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:40	—	—	30	41
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	3	0	0	20:48	—	—	48	44
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	3	2	0	20:40	—	—	50	45
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	17:00	—	—	48	48
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	0	12:12	—	—	32	30

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	32	29	3	.906	3.36	58:24

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	3	1	2	21:21	—	—	71	81
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	7	0.76	6	1	0	20:48	—	—	75	84
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	17:46	—	—	76	86
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.51	2	1	0	17:32	—	—	53	56
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	2	0	0	16:25	—	—	48	56
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	12:49	—	—	50	50
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.26	1	0	0	15:39	—	—	72	69
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	0	13:04	—	—	73	68
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	5	0	0	12:44	—	—	61	61
David Kampf C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.05	0	0	2	12:00	—	—	38	17
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	6	0	0	10:55	—	—	24	4
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	9:15	—	—	21	5
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	1	1	0	22:34	—	—	56	57
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.22	1	1	0	21:15	—	—	57	57
Justin Holl D	D2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.12	1	1	0	20:42	—	—	58	53
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.15	4	2	0	19:37	—	—	58	51
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	2	0	17:42	—	—	70	71
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	15:05	—	—	56	71

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.64	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 15, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs