Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 27, 2023

FinalFriday, Jan 27, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	3	2	6		OTT	14	12	8	34
TOR	1	1	0	2		TOR	15	12	6	33

: OTT 56TOR 64
: OTT 3.51TOR 3.69
PP goals: OTT 1TOR 1
Hits: OTT 22TOR 22
Blocks: OTT 15TOR 7
PIM: OTT 6TOR 12
: OTT 60%TOR 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators rout Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2 at TOR. Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:14 together.

Points
Brady Tkachuk had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:19.Tkachuk
Points
Claude Giroux had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 16:26.Giroux
Points
Tim Stützle had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:23.Stützle
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting and Marner) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:14 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Bunting Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Bunting–Marner skated 11:33 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (65.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Bunting Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Jarnkrok–Nylander–Holmberg skated 5:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Nylander Holmberg
Luck
OTT scored 6 goals on 3.51 expected goals (56 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Erik Brannstrom (OTT) played 12:21, −3:49 down on his 16:10 season average over 73 games.Brannstrom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TOR 64 · OTT 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 23% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	TOR
	42	60
	2.84	2.97
	2.68	2.79
	12	15
	5	2
	19	24
	+0.054	−0.054
	23%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Joseph – Tkachuk – Stützle
11:0646% CF
L2Brassard – Batherson – Pinto
9:4841% CF
L3Giroux – DeBrincat – Greig
8:4461% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
5:400% CF
D1Holden – Chabot
15:0348% CF
D2Hamonic – Sanderson
13:0531% CF
D3Zaitsev – Brannstrom
9:1764% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
5:06100% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Pinto – Greig – Sanderson
3:3091% CF
PK1FGambrell – Kelly
0:49
PK2FWatson – Joseph
0:42
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
2:13
PK2DHolden – Zaitsev
1:20

Current OTT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bunting – Marner
11:3366% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Nylander – Holmberg
5:3256% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – McMann
5:1329% CF
L4Kerfoot – Anderson – Aston-Reese
3:2157% CF
D1Timmins – Sandin
12:2964% CF
D2Giordano – Liljegren
10:3846% CF
D3Holl – Rielly
10:3067% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Bunting – Marner
3:1488% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Engvall – Timmins – Sandin – Holmberg
1:090% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
2:53
PK2FMarner – Kampf
2:29
PK1DGiordano – Holl
5:18
PK2DRielly – Liljegren
3:06

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	2	2	+3	3	0.23	0	1	2	20:23	—	—	42	40
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	0.53	3	0	2	18:19	—	—	41	44
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.10	4	0	0	14:31	—	—	43	41
Drake Batherson R	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.36	2	0	0	17:27	—	—	42	59
Shane Pinto C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	1	0	0	16:47	—	—	45	57
Derick Brassard C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.59	3	1	0	15:08	—	—	42	59
Alex DeBrincat R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	3	0	0	18:02	—	—	50	51
Claude Giroux R	L3	1	1	2	0	6	0.49	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	60	88
Ridly Greig C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:41	—	—	63	91
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:05	—	—	10	3
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	7	11
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:24	—	—	0	0
Thomas Chabot D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.54	1	1	0	24:38	—	—	41	47
Nick Holden D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	3	0	19:49	—	—	45	67
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	1	1	+3	3	0.06	0	1	0	22:40	—	—	29	38
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	5	0	19:27	—	—	33	45
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	0	12:21	—	—	59	46
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:08	—	—	56	52

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	W	33	31	2	.939	3.69	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.39	0	0	0	22:22	—	—	66	55
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.89	5	0	0	18:13	—	—	69	61
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	1	0	4	16:39	—	—	66	56
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	-3	3	0.49	2	0	0	15:29	—	—	39	14
Pontus Holmberg R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	6	14:44	—	—	60	47
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.10	1	0	0	13:06	—	—	50	23
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.30	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	43	48
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	0	0	0	13:15	—	—	59	73
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.41	1	0	0	11:02	—	—	53	75
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.13	1	0	0	12:30	—	—	50	19
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	4	2	0	11:25	—	—	60	42
Joey Anderson R	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	0	0	0	8:15	—	—	67	65
Rasmus Sandin D	D1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.11	3	0	2	18:00	—	—	63	48
Conor Timmins D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:44	—	—	62	39
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	3	0	21:22	—	—	52	57
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	17:55	—	—	46	49
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	1	0	21:40	—	—	64	50
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:57	—	—	67	59

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	34	28	6	.824	3.51	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 27, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators rout Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs