Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple LeafsOct 3, 2026

7:00 PM ETSaturday, Oct 3, 2026· Scotiabank Arena

away

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

at

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

No schedule edge

OTTaway±0.0 pts

First game · 330 km travel

TORhome±0.0 pts

2 days rest

No meaningful schedule edge: OTT (first game) at TOR (2 days rest).

· Every game this week →

Ottawa Senators

Goalie: Linus Ullmark Confirmed
Start probability: Linus Ullmark97%Confirmed
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 2–4 vs CAR · Apr 25

L1Tkachuk – Cozens – Greig
7:23
L2Giroux – Amadio – Pinto
5:40
L3Foegele – Batherson – Stützle
4:26
L4Eller – Cousins – Zetterlund
3:33
D1Kleven – Matinpalo
9:23
D2Chabot – Yakemchuk
7:14
D3Gilbert – Spence
4:36
PP1Batherson – Tkachuk – Pinto – Stützle – Yakemchuk
7:41

Projected OTT lines →·OTT goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goalie: Sergei Bobrovsky Expected
Start probability: Sergei Bobrovsky88%Expected
Anthony Stolarz8%
Elvis Merzlikins4%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 2–1 vs NYI · Sep 30

L1Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko
9:16
L2Tavares – Nylander – McKenna
9:10
L3Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx
6:35
L4Sissons – Paul – Cowan
5:54
D1Rielly – Raddysh
13:05
D2Tanev – McCabe
12:08
D3Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
8:31
PP1Tavares – Nylander – Raddysh – Matthews – Marchenko
4:26

Projected TOR lines →·TOR goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Oct 3.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.