Ottawa Senators vs. Florida PanthersMar 3, 2019

FinalSunday, Mar 3, 2019· BB&T Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	2	0	3		OTT	11	14	8	33
FLA	2	0	0	2		FLA	13	10	9	32

: OTT 55FLA 59
: OTT 3.36FLA 2.55
PP goals: OTT 1FLA 0
Hits: OTT 30FLA 21
Blocks: OTT 16FLA 12
PIM: OTT 4FLA 6
: OTT 42%FLA 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Florida Panthers 3–2

Ottawa Senators beat Florida Panthers 3–2 at FLA. Zack Smith (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 0A. OTT's first power-play unit (Boedker, DeMelo, Tierney, Wolanin and Balcers) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:39 together.

PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Boedker, DeMelo, Tierney, Wolanin and Balcers) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:39 together.Boedker DeMelo Tierney Wolanin Balcers
New line
New look for OTT: Paajarvi–Tierney–Balcers skated 5:35 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paajarvi Tierney Balcers
Usage
Rudolfs Balcers (OTT) played 18:00, +5:48 up on his 12:12 season average over 35 games.Balcers
Usage
Keith Yandle (FLA) played 26:36, +4:12 up on his 22:24 season average over 81 games.Yandle
Usage
Dylan DeMelo (OTT) played 22:56, +3:42 up on his 19:14 season average over 76 games.DeMelo
Usage
Magnus Paajarvi (OTT) played 16:45, +3:19 up on his 13:26 season average over 79 games.Paajarvi
Usage
Zack Smith (OTT) played 20:00, +3:42 up on his 16:18 season average over 69 games.Smith
Usage
Ian McCoshen (FLA) played 9:02, −4:31 down on his 13:33 season average over 18 games.McCoshen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · FLA 59 · OTT 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 27% of the game, FLA 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	FLA
	59	60
	2.41	2.67
	2.34	2.42
	11	11
	10	7
	28	23
	−0.050	+0.050
	27%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Smith – Pageau
6:0864% CF
L2Paajarvi – Tierney – Balcers
5:3564% CF
L3Boedker – Lindberg – Duclair
4:0329% CF
L4Gibbons – White – Tkachuk
3:5050% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
15:5550% CF
D2Ceci – Wolanin
14:4744% CF
D3Borowiecki – Harpur
11:4943% CF

PP1Boedker – DeMelo – Tierney – Wolanin – Balcers
2:3967% CF
PP2Ryan – DeMelo – Duclair – White – Chabot
2:29100% CF
PK1FPageau – Tierney
2:00
PK2FSmith – Paajarvi
1:12
PK1DCeci – Harpur
1:43
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:21

Current OTT line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
14:2260% CF
L2Brouwer – Sheahan – Vatrano
9:2152% CF
L3Dadonov – Trocheck – Hawryluk
8:4747% CF
L4McGinn – Hunt – Borgstrom
6:5835% CF
D1Yandle – Pysyk
19:5445% CF
D2Matheson – Ekblad
17:5163% CF
D3Brown – McCoshen
8:4335% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
3:2975% CF
PP2McGinn – Trocheck – Matheson – Ekblad – Vatrano
0:10
PK1FSheahan – Trocheck
2:31
PK2FBrouwer – Barkov
1:42
PK1DMatheson – Ekblad
3:43
PK2DPysyk – Brown
0:48

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:10
OTTZack Smith (Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Magnus Paajarvi)slap0.03 xG
OTT: Smith, Paajarvi, Lindberg, DeMelo, WolaninFLA: Dadonov, Trocheck, Brown, McCoshen, Hawryluk
OTT 1 – 0 FLA
9:02
FLAAleksander Barkov (Mark Pysyk, Keith Yandle)tip-in0.06 xG
OTT: Ryan, Smith, Borowiecki, Pageau, HarpurFLA: Yandle, Hoffman, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Barkov
OTT 1 – 1 FLA
15:36
FLATroy Brouwer (Riley Sheahan)wrist0.10 xG
OTT: Ryan, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, BalcersFLA: Brouwer, Sheahan, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano
OTT 1 – 2 FLA

2nd period

5:06
OTTBrian Gibbons (Cody Ceci, Colin White)snap0.13 xG
OTT: Gibbons, Ceci, White, Wolanin, TkachukFLA: Yandle, Pysyk, Trocheck, Hawryluk, Vatrano
OTT 2 – 2 FLA
17:25
OTTRudolfs BalcersPP (Dylan DeMelo, Christian Wolanin)tip-in0.07 xG
OTT: Boedker, DeMelo, Tierney, Wolanin, BalcersFLA: Trocheck, Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad
OTT 3 – 2 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zack Smith C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.09	3	0	0	20:00	—	—	56	52
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.53	0	2	0	16:11	—	—	45	38
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.24	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	50	27
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	2	0	0	19:07	—	—	54	50
Rudolfs Balcers L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.32	1	0	0	18:00	—	—	54	53
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.19	1	1	0	16:45	—	—	64	72
Oscar Lindberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	0	2	11:08	—	—	53	58
Mikkel Boedker L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:02	—	—	31	22
Anthony Duclair L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	10:28	—	—	36	41
Colin White C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:43	—	—	36	18
Brady Tkachuk L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	4	0	0	13:11	—	—	38	41
Brian Gibbons C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.28	1	1	0	9:48	—	—	65	64
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.12	1	3	0	22:56	—	—	55	62
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	2	2	22:40	—	—	50	41
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	4	1	0	22:57	—	—	46	39
Christian Wolanin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	2	0	19:01	—	—	50	58
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	1.05	2	2	0	17:05	—	—	46	39
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	5	1	0	14:41	—	—	46	36

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	2.55	60:00

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	0	0	0	22:39	—	—	55	67
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	0	0	2	19:49	—	—	63	68
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.32	0	0	2	19:46	—	—	59	69
Frank Vatrano R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.69	2	1	0	15:25	—	—	55	66
Riley Sheahan C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	0	0	0	15:15	—	—	50	68
Troy Brouwer R	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	1	0	0	15:14	—	—	53	71
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.09	5	0	0	17:22	—	—	50	32
Evgenii Dadonov L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	0	0	0	15:52	—	—	48	40
Jayce Hawryluk R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:06	—	—	44	27
Henrik Borgstrom C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	2	0	11:33	—	—	42	52
Jamie McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	38	40
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	7:13	—	—	37	34
Keith Yandle D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	1	1	0	26:36	—	—	46	54
Mark Pysyk D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:07	—	—	46	58
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	0	3	0	24:33	—	—	63	69
Mike Matheson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	2	4	0	23:58	—	—	64	69
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	4	0	0	11:09	—	—	32	29
Ian McCoshen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	2	0	2	9:02	—	—	35	30

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Roberto Luongo(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	2.35	58:51

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.