Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red WingsMar 31, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 31, 2018· Little Caesars Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	10	9	12	31
DET	0	1	1	2		DET	5	11	11	27

: OTT 52DET 46
: OTT 3.26DET 2.39
PP goals: OTT 0DET 0
Hits: OTT 14DET 13
Blocks: OTT 11DET 14
PIM: OTT 8DET 10
: OTT 47%DET 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Ottawa Senators 2–0

Detroit Red Wings beat Ottawa Senators 2–0 at home. Dylan Larkin (DET) led the scoring with 1G 0A. OTT scored 0 goals on 3.26 expected goals (52 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 3.26 expected goals (52 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Colin White (OTT) played 17:06, +3:57 up on his 13:09 season average over 20 games.White
Usage
Gustav Nyquist (DET) played 13:53, −4:01 down on his 17:54 season average over 81 games.Nyquist
Usage
Justin Abdelkader (DET) played 12:38, −3:58 down on his 16:36 season average over 74 games.Abdelkader
Usage
Erik Karlsson (OTT) played 30:04, +3:22 up on his 26:42 season average over 70 games.Karlsson
Usage
Henrik Zetterberg (DET) played 15:50, −3:43 down on his 19:33 season average over 81 games.Zetterberg
Usage
Matt Duchene (OTT) played 21:37, +3:20 up on his 18:17 season average over 81 games.Duchene
PP1
DET's PP1 (Nielsen, Frk, Mantha, Larkin and Hicketts) went scoreless in 3:11 of 5v4 time with 1 attempt.Nielsen Frk Mantha Larkin Hicketts

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · DET 46 · OTT 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 40% of the game, DET 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	DET
	40	46
	2.38	2.26
	2.30	2.19
	7	7
	5	1
	8	10
	−0.047	+0.047
	40%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Pyatt – Hoffman – Pageau
7:1129% CF
L2Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
6:2667% CF
L3Burrows – McCormick – Chlapik
4:2267% CF
L4Smith – Paajarvi – White
4:050% CF
D1Karlsson – Chabot
12:0052% CF
D2Ceci – Wolanin
5:0267% CF
D3Borowiecki – Claesson
3:3757% CF

PP1Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Pageau – Chabot
5:04100% CF
PP2Ryan – Dzingel – Ceci – White – Wolanin
2:17100% CF
PK1FPyatt – Smith
1:44
PK2FPaajarvi – Pageau
1:20
PK1DBorowiecki – Ceci
2:05
PK2DKarlsson – Claesson
1:40

Current OTT line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Nyquist – Bertuzzi
10:0840% CF
L2Nielsen – Abdelkader – Athanasiou
6:1960% CF
L3Helm – Mantha – Larkin
5:0488% CF
L4Glendening – Frk – Svechnikov
3:0443% CF
D1Daley – Ericsson
13:3846% CF
D2DeKeyser – Hicketts
9:2064% CF
D3Kronwall – Jensen
8:1054% CF

PP1Nielsen – Frk – Mantha – Larkin – Hicketts
3:11100% CF
PP2Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Bertuzzi
2:0875% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
3:05
PK2FNielsen – Helm
3:01
PK1DDaley – DeKeyser
4:41
PK2DEricsson – Jensen
1:40

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:10
DETDylan Larkin (Anthony Mantha, Nick Jensen)wrist0.11 xG
OTT: Ryan, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel, WolaninDET: Jensen, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Svechnikov
OTT 0 – 1 DET

3rd period

4:29
DETAndreas Athanasiou (Evgeny Svechnikov, Niklas Kronwall)wrist0.13 xG
OTT: Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Paajarvi, ChabotDET: Kronwall, Athanasiou, Mantha, Hicketts, Svechnikov
OTT 0 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	1	0.01	1	1	2	19:16	—	—	35	45
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	5	0.35	1	1	2	19:14	—	—	37	25
Tom Pyatt L	L1	-1	1	0.12	2	1	0	13:02	—	—	28	36
Matt Duchene C	L2	-1	3	0.26	0	0	0	21:37	—	—	50	50
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	17:43	—	—	58	54
Bobby Ryan R	L2	-1	2	0.76	0	0	2	14:28	—	—	71	80
Alexandre Burrows R	L3	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	10:36	—	—	50	71
Max McCormick L	L3	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	7:48	—	—	71	82
Filip Chlapik C	L3	0	2	0.18	2	0	0	7:36	—	—	60	77
Colin White C	L4	0	1	0.47	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	35	9
Zack Smith C	L4	-1	1	0.05	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	36	34
Magnus Paajarvi L	L4	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	12:27	—	—	33	30
Erik Karlsson D	D1	-2	6	0.23	0	1	0	30:04	—	—	51	30
Thomas Chabot D	D1	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	20:22	—	—	48	52
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	23:58	—	—	35	64
Christian Wolanin D	D2	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:46	—	—	61	39
Fredrik Claesson D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:49	—	—	50	73
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	1	0.43	4	3	2	14:32	—	—	29	63

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Condon(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	2.39	59:44

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	15:50	—	—	43	69
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	13:53	—	—	40	67
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	2	0	0	12:52	—	—	40	67
Andreas Athanasiou C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.34	0	0	4	17:00	—	—	65	48
Frans Nielsen C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:18	—	—	50	64
Justin Abdelkader L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	2	0	0	12:38	—	—	50	69
Dylan Larkin C	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.44	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	70	72
Anthony Mantha R	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.20	1	0	0	16:42	—	—	94	95
Darren Helm C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	15:31	—	—	60	41
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	13:32	—	—	33	9
Evgeny Svechnikov L	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	0	1	2	11:08	—	—	53	41
Martin Frk R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:09	—	—	31	3
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	22:39	—	—	50	50
Jonathan Ericsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	5	0	19:45	—	—	44	46
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:56	—	—	63	42
Joe Hicketts D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	2	0	2	18:52	—	—	59	39
Niklas Kronwall D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	0	1	0	16:56	—	—	52	63
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	3	2	16:10	—	—	57	61

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	3.26	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.