Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 31, 2022

FinalSaturday, Dec 31, 2022· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	2	0	0	2		OTT	11	2	10	23
DET	0	1	3	4		DET	6	7	12	25

: OTT 60DET 54
: OTT 2.34DET 2.48
PP goals: OTT 0DET 0
Hits: OTT 31DET 31
Blocks: OTT 17DET 21
PIM: OTT 6DET 8
: OTT 47%DET 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Ottawa Senators 4–2

Detroit Red Wings beat Ottawa Senators 4–2 at home. Lucas Raymond (DET) led the scoring with 1G 1A. DET scored 4 goals on 2.48 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Lucas Raymond had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:17.Raymond
Luck
DET scored 4 goals on 2.48 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Michael Rasmussen (DET) played 18:21, +3:19 up on his 15:02 season average over 55 games.Rasmussen
Usage
Artem Zub (OTT) played 16:51, −3:28 down on his 20:19 season average over 52 games.Zub
Usage
Dominik Kubalik (DET) played 11:13, −3:45 down on his 14:58 season average over 80 games.Kubalik
Usage
Moritz Seider (DET) played 19:56, −3:15 down on his 23:11 season average over 81 games.Seider
PP1
DET's PP1 (Perron, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider and Raymond) went scoreless in 3:52 of 5v4 time with 8 attempts.Perron Larkin Rasmussen Seider Raymond
PP1
OTT's PP1 (Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk and Stützle) went scoreless in 4:07 of 5v4 time with 6 attempts.Chabot DeBrincat Batherson Tkachuk Stützle

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · DET 54 · OTT 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 22% of the game, DET 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	DET
	54	49
	1.91	1.71
	1.83	1.62
	11	7
	1	4
	10	11
	−0.053	+0.053
	22%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
10:3543% CF
L2DeBrincat – Batherson – Pinto
10:1971% CF
L3Gambrell – Kelly – Lucchini
7:5956% CF
L4Brassard – Watson – Kastelic
7:4117% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
13:4324% CF
D2Hamonic – Sanderson
12:0452% CF
D3Holden – Bernard-Docker
10:0981% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
4:0775% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Kastelic – Pinto – Sanderson
1:28100% CF
PK1FGiroux – Stützle
1:37
PK2FWatson – Kelly
0:53
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
3:46
PK2DHolden – Bernard-Docker
1:18

Current OTT line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Perron – Larkin – Rasmussen
9:3863% CF
L2Kubalik – Veleno – Soderblom
8:0847% CF
L3Copp – Berggren – Raymond
7:4141% CF
L4Sundqvist – Erne – Suter
7:1930% CF
D1Chiarot – Hronek
15:0641% CF
D2Maatta – Oesterle
13:5440% CF
D3Walman – Seider
10:5064% CF

PP1Perron – Larkin – Rasmussen – Seider – Raymond
3:5289% CF
PP2Sundqvist – Kubalik – Walman – Veleno – Berggren
1:5933% CF
PK1FCopp – Larkin
1:20
PK2FErne – Suter
1:09
PK1DChiarot – Hronek
2:31
PK2DWalman – Seider
2:02

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.41	1	1	0	22:57	—	—	42	46
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.23	2	0	2	19:45	—	—	46	51
Claude Giroux R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.40	2	0	0	18:13	—	—	50	47
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.39	3	0	0	20:19	—	—	69	64
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.19	3	0	0	19:17	—	—	65	61
Shane Pinto C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	0	14:21	—	—	73	67
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	4	1	0	11:48	—	—	56	48
Jake Lucchini C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	0	0	11:17	—	—	58	56
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	2	0	10:15	—	—	60	55
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	11:16	—	—	31	32
Austin Watson L	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.18	2	2	0	11:01	—	—	27	47
Derick Brassard C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	10:02	—	—	23	32
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	2	25:44	—	—	28	27
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	16:51	—	—	32	30
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	1	0	21:35	—	—	54	61
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	3	0	18:55	—	—	56	63
Nick Holden D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:37	—	—	77	74
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:17	—	—	67	72

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	L	25	21	4	.840	2.48	58:39

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.40	1	0	0	19:25	—	—	63	56
Michael Rasmussen C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.33	3	0	0	18:21	—	—	62	55
David Perron L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	1	0	2	17:27	—	—	61	56
Joseph Veleno C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:12	—	—	46	47
Dominik Kubalik L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:13	—	—	48	44
Elmer Soderblom L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	2	0	0	10:10	—	—	55	55
Lucas Raymond L	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.30	2	1	6	16:17	—	—	36	37
Andrew Copp C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:34	—	—	46	41
Jonatan Berggren R	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.06	0	0	0	13:32	—	—	46	42
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	15:36	—	—	38	42
Pius Suter C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.07	1	1	0	14:10	—	—	29	34
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	0	0	13:03	—	—	40	24
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	7	5	0	23:11	—	—	41	33
Filip Hronek D	D1	0	0	0	+3	0	0.03	3	1	0	22:09	—	—	44	38
Olli Maatta D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:46	—	—	39	48
Jordan Oesterle D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	15:10	—	—	44	51
Moritz Seider D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	5	0	19:56	—	—	65	62
Jake Walman D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.14	0	3	0	18:48	—	—	60	59

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Magnus Hellberg(start)	W	23	21	2	.913	2.34	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 31, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Detroit Red Wings beat Ottawa Senators 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Detroit Red Wings

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Detroit Red Wings