Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresDec 12, 2017

FinalTuesday, Dec 12, 2017· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	2	2		OTT	6	13	7	26
BUF	0	3	0	3		BUF	5	10	10	25

: OTT 64BUF 47
: OTT 2.42BUF 1.72
PP goals: OTT 0BUF 1
Hits: OTT 17BUF 21
Blocks: OTT 15BUF 26
PIM: OTT 4BUF 6
: OTT 61%BUF 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Ottawa Senators 3–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 3–2 at home. Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) led the scoring with 0G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Rodrigues) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:53 together.

Points
Rasmus Ristolainen had 2 assists (2 points) in 22:31.Ristolainen
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Rodrigues) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:53 together.Kane Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel Rodrigues
New line
New look for OTT: Smith–Hoffman–Pageau skated 10:20 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (64% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Hoffman Pageau
New line
New look for BUF: Nolan–Larsson–Wilson skated 7:24 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nolan Larsson Wilson
New line
New look for OTT: Pyatt–Brassard–Dzingel skated 5:40 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pyatt Brassard Dzingel
Usage
Nate Thompson (OTT) played 8:07, −4:43 down on his 12:50 season average over 68 games.Thompson
Usage
Mark Stone (OTT) played 24:40, +4:04 up on his 20:36 season average over 57 games.Stone
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 22:31, −4:02 down on his 26:33 season average over 72 games.Ristolainen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · BUF 47 · OTT 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 41% of the game, BUF 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	62	48
	2.01	1.82
	1.92	1.79
	10	7
	6	1
	8	14
	+0.071	−0.071
	41%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Duchene – Stone
12:3157% CF
L2Smith – Hoffman – Pageau
10:2064% CF
L3Pyatt – Brassard – Dzingel
5:4050% CF
L4Burrows – Thompson – Dumont
2:510% CF
D1Oduya – Karlsson
12:4458% CF
D2Phaneuf – Ceci
9:2065% CF
D3Claesson – Harpur
5:3736% CF

PP1Ryan – Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Stone
3:32100% CF
PP2Burrows – Phaneuf – Brassard – Dzingel – Ceci
1:150% CF
PK1FThompson – Pyatt
1:46
PK2FStone – Pageau
0:49
PK1DPhaneuf – Ceci
1:31
PK2DOduya – Karlsson
1:04

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Pouliot – Eichel
9:4947% CF
L2Okposo – O'Reilly – Girgensons
9:4523% CF
L3Kane – Reinhart – Rodrigues
9:1250% CF
L4Nolan – Larsson – Wilson
7:2444% CF
D1Bogosian – McCabe
17:4062% CF
D2Scandella – Ristolainen
15:5738% CF
D3Gorges – Falk
13:3530% CF

PP1Kane – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Rodrigues
1:53100% CF
PP2Pominville – Pouliot – Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly
1:07100% CF
PK1FO'Reilly – Larsson
1:21
PK2FKane – Eichel
0:29
PK1DFalk – Scandella
1:21
PK2DGorges – McCabe
1:10

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:13
BUFBenoit Pouliot (Marco Scandella, Rasmus Ristolainen)backhand0.04 xG
OTT: Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Stone, CeciBUF: Pominville, Pouliot, Scandella, Ristolainen, Eichel
OTT 0 – 1 BUF
5:25
BUFKyle Okposo (Ryan O'Reilly, Josh Gorges)wrist0.24 xG
OTT: Oduya, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, PageauBUF: Gorges, Okposo, Falk, O'Reilly, Girgensons
OTT 0 – 2 BUF
12:33
BUFEvander KanePP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Jack Eichel)slap0.14 xG
OTT: Phaneuf, Thompson, Pyatt, CeciBUF: Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Rodrigues
OTT 0 – 3 BUF

3rd period

6:43
OTTCody Ceci (Mark Stone, Nate Thompson)snap0.13 xG
OTT: Thompson, Brassard, Stone, Ceci, HarpurBUF: Pominville, Pouliot, Scandella, Ristolainen, Eichel
OTT 1 – 3 BUF
19:08
OTTDerick Brassard (Erik Karlsson, Mike Hoffman)slap0.04 xG
OTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, PageauBUF: Okposo, Scandella, Kane, Ristolainen, Rodrigues
OTT 2 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.34	0	1	0	24:40	—	—	53	56
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	0	0	0	22:13	—	—	56	50
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.13	1	2	0	18:11	—	—	58	53
Mike Hoffman C	L2	0	1	1	0	6	0.50	0	0	2	18:45	—	—	61	60
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	2	0	18:38	—	—	63	61
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	0	1	2	16:43	—	—	63	55
Derick Brassard C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	56	53
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	52	44
Tom Pyatt L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	3	0	10:25	—	—	55	9
Alexandre Burrows R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	8:09	—	—	63	66
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:07	—	—	46	56
Gabriel Dumont C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	5:39	—	—	33	22
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	29:00	—	—	53	58
Johnny Oduya D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	17:09	—	—	59	52
Cody Ceci D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.23	5	0	0	22:16	—	—	65	66
Dion Phaneuf D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	3	1	0	16:48	—	—	54	40
Fredrik Claesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	3	2	0	15:34	—	—	54	54
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:19	—	—	52	38

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Condon(start)	L	25	22	3	.880	1.72	57:59

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	18:33	—	—	44	49
Benoit Pouliot L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.06	1	3	2	16:16	—	—	58	67
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	0	0	0	14:41	—	—	58	67
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.26	2	2	0	19:19	—	—	38	56
Kyle Okposo R	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.44	0	2	0	16:07	—	—	40	61
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.09	4	2	0	14:32	—	—	30	44
Evander Kane L	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.14	1	1	0	16:35	—	—	46	33
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	14:19	—	—	48	32
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	1	0	14:09	—	—	47	26
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	2	14:30	—	—	47	37
Scott Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:38	—	—	38	26
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	2	8:32	—	—	31	1
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	4	1	0	20:42	—	—	60	60
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	20:00	—	—	62	60
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	2	2	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	22:31	—	—	38	36
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	1	3	0	20:39	—	—	38	39
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	4	0	15:40	—	—	29	41
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	3	0	15:33	—	—	32	41

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	2.42	59:44

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.