Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 4, 2018

FinalWednesday, Apr 4, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	2	1	1	4		OTT	10	14	8	32
BUF	1	1	0	2		BUF	14	7	13	34

: OTT 41BUF 51
: OTT 2.26BUF 1.63
PP goals: OTT 0BUF 0
Hits: OTT 14BUF 18
Blocks: OTT 8BUF 5
PIM: OTT 6BUF 2
: OTT 47%BUF 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2 at BUF. Alexandre Burrows (OTT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Bobby Ryan (OTT) played 2:51, −13:49 down on his 16:40 season average over 61 games.

Points
Alexandre Burrows had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:19.Burrows
Points
Ryan Dzingel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:01.Dzingel
Usage
Bobby Ryan (OTT) played 2:51, −13:49 down on his 16:40 season average over 61 games.Ryan
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Eichel–Mittelstadt skated 9:16 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Eichel Mittelstadt
Usage
Mark Borowiecki (OTT) played 20:30, +5:58 up on his 14:32 season average over 51 games.Borowiecki
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Rodrigues–Nylander skated 7:47 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Rodrigues Nylander
New line
New look for OTT: Burrows–Dzingel–Pageau skated 4:26 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Burrows Dzingel Pageau
Usage
Max McCormick (OTT) played 12:35, +4:23 up on his 8:12 season average over 29 games.McCormick

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 92 of 92 attempts · BUF 51 · OTT 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 30% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	42	54
	1.74	1.72
	1.68	1.62
	13	11
	4	8
	22	12
	+0.000	+0.000
	30%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Hoffman – Duchene – White
12:0225% CF
L2Pyatt – Smith – Paajarvi
6:4150% CF
L3Burrows – Dzingel – Pageau
4:2633% CF
L4Ryan – McCormick – Chlapik
0:00
D1Ceci – Wolanin
15:0848% CF
D2Borowiecki – Chabot
10:3931% CF
D3Claesson – Harpur
8:3954% CF

PP1Burrows – Dzingel – Ceci – Chlapik – Wolanin
1:00100% CF
PP2Hoffman – Duchene – Pageau – White – Chabot
1:00100% CF
PK1FPyatt – Smith
2:54
PK2FPaajarvi – Pageau
1:20
PK1DBorowiecki – Ceci
1:40
PK2DClaesson – Chabot
1:06

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Wilson – Reinhart
12:0676% CF
L2Pominville – Eichel – Mittelstadt
9:1650% CF
L3Okposo – Rodrigues – Nylander
7:4773% CF
L4Nolan – Larsson – Baptiste
5:4864% CF
D1Guhle – Nelson
17:1153% CF
D2Scandella – Ristolainen
15:5667% CF
D3Falk – Beaulieu
11:3848% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
3:58100% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Baptiste – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
1:400% CF
PK1FLarsson – Wilson
0:50
PK2FO'Reilly – Eichel
0:22
PK1DRistolainen – Nelson
0:50
PK2DFalk – Guhle
0:22

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.26	0	1	2	17:00	—	—	30	28
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	24	15
Colin White C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	22	12
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	50	61
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:33	—	—	50	66
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	48	61
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.19	0	2	0	15:59	—	—	50	54
Alexandre Burrows R	L3	1	1	2	+3	4	0.74	1	0	0	14:19	—	—	39	47
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	0.22	0	0	0	14:01	—	—	56	61
Filip Chlapik C	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	0	0	0	13:26	—	—	57	77
Max McCormick L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	2	0	0	12:35	—	—	47	57
Bobby Ryan R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	2:51	—	—	100	—
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.05	3	1	2	27:00	—	—	47	47
Christian Wolanin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	50	50
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	5	2	0	20:30	—	—	31	56
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	19:20	—	—	35	56
Fredrik Claesson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	1	0	18:59	—	—	50	50
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	16:13	—	—	47	42

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	1.63	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.19	0	0	0	20:32	—	—	74	68
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.15	1	0	0	18:50	—	—	72	67
Scott Wilson C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.41	2	0	0	15:20	—	—	71	58
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	2	0	20:59	—	—	47	43
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	1	0	0	18:07	—	—	44	34
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	16:29	—	—	32	42
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.31	2	0	0	19:04	—	—	46	55
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.05	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	57	52
Alex Nylander L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	12:22	—	—	48	45
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:26	—	—	50	27
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	8:38	—	—	65	34
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	0	0	0	7:34	—	—	64	44
Brendan Guhle D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	20:56	—	—	55	50
Casey Nelson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	20:37	—	—	47	43
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	25:23	—	—	62	64
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	1	2	20:12	—	—	66	61
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	13:28	—	—	52	28
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	0	0	13:10	—	—	50	26

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	1.66	58:34

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 4, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres