Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 17, 2022

FinalThursday, Feb 17, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	1	2	3		OTT	12	8	8	28
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	10	10	4	24

: OTT 55BUF 41
: OTT 2.97BUF 2.04
PP goals: OTT 0BUF 1
Hits: OTT 13BUF 12
Blocks: OTT 12BUF 13
PIM: OTT 17BUF 19
: OTT 55%BUF 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1 at BUF. Nick Holden (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Nick Holden (OTT) played 25:15, +5:28 up on his 19:47 season average over 75 games.

Points
Nick Holden had 2 assists (2 points) in 25:15.Holden
Usage
Nick Holden (OTT) played 25:15, +5:28 up on his 19:47 season average over 75 games.Holden
New line
New look for OTT: Watson–Gambrell–Kelly skated 4:36 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Watson Gambrell Kelly
Usage
Dylan Gambrell (OTT) played 7:30, −4:43 down on his 12:13 season average over 62 games.Gambrell
Usage
Alex Tuch (BUF) played 22:11, +3:51 up on his 18:20 season average over 49 games.Tuch
Usage
John Hayden (BUF) played 6:42, −4:13 down on his 10:55 season average over 54 games.Hayden
Usage
Joshua Brown (OTT) played 18:03, +3:55 up on his 14:08 season average over 51 games.Brown
Usage
Mark Pysyk (BUF) played 13:50, −4:03 down on his 17:53 season average over 67 games.Pysyk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · BUF 41 · OTT 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 53% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	56	28
	2.59	0.76
	2.48	0.76
	17	2
	2	4
	6	6
	+0.030	−0.030
	53%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Brown – Paul – Tkachuk
11:3867% CF
L2Gaudette – Formenton – Stützle
7:49100% CF
L3Ennis – Tierney – Sanford
7:1853% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
4:36100% CF
D1Holden – Zaitsev
16:0365% CF
D2Brannstrom – Zub
14:1167% CF
D3Brown – Mete
11:5067% CF

PP1Brown – Gaudette – Brannstrom – Tkachuk – Stützle
1:32100% CF
PP2Ennis – Tierney – Paul – Sanford – Mete
0:54100% CF
PK1FWatson – Paul
3:14
PK2FBrown – Formenton
2:48
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
5:25
PK2DBrown – Zub
3:47

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:3722% CF
L2Olofsson – Krebs – Cozens
9:0462% CF
L3Okposo – Eakin – Asplund
8:2327% CF
L4Jankowski – Hayden – Bjork
5:590% CF
D1Fitzgerald – Bryson
14:3855% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
13:5020% CF
D3Pysyk – Hagg
9:469% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Krebs
5:4191% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Asplund – Jokiharju – Cozens
3:2980% CF
PK1FJankowski – Cozens
1:03
PK2FTuch – Thompson
0:43
PK1DPysyk – Hagg
1:46
PK2DJokiharju – Dahlin
1:02

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.16	0	1	0	21:44	—	—	73	65
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.30	0	0	0	19:33	—	—	67	65
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	0	1	+1	7	0.79	3	0	0	19:06	—	—	72	64
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:04	—	—	80	93
Alex Formenton L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.36	0	1	0	15:52	—	—	80	98
Adam Gaudette R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:18	—	—	93	98
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:56	—	—	55	85
Zachary Sanford L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.46	1	2	0	13:52	—	—	46	80
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.27	0	0	2	12:24	—	—	52	87
Austin Watson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	1	5	10:44	—	—	70	89
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	2	7:30	—	—	75	82
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	7:09	—	—	63	70
Nick Holden D	D1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.03	0	2	0	25:15	—	—	66	70
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	2	1	0	22:50	—	—	67	72
Artem Zub D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	1	2	19:27	—	—	70	78
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	6	17:31	—	—	64	76
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	18:03	—	—	70	89
Victor Mete D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	14:37	—	—	67	88

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	W	24	23	1	.958	2.04	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.52	1	2	0	22:11	—	—	23	22
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	1	0	0	20:12	—	—	21	19
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	0	0	0	20:07	—	—	23	18
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	16:37	—	—	60	25
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	16:37	—	—	65	36
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	2	16:35	—	—	61	27
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.42	0	0	0	17:46	—	—	25	0
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	14:36	—	—	27	2
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:25	—	—	29	36
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	11:08	—	—	25	39
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:32	—	—	10	41
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	17	6:42	—	—	0	0
Casey Fitzgerald D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	4	1	0	19:13	—	—	55	52
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	50	50
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	-2	3	0.06	2	3	0	23:32	—	—	23	19
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	4	0	21:06	—	—	21	17
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:47	—	—	13	0
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:50	—	—	21	2

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	2.48	59:32

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 17, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres