Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresOct 13, 2022

FinalThursday, Oct 13, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	0	0	1		OTT	16	9	11	36
BUF	0	2	2	4		BUF	9	15	12	36

: OTT 52BUF 55
: OTT 2.55BUF 3.09
PP goals: OTT 0BUF 0
Hits: OTT 18BUF 9
Blocks: OTT 10BUF 11
PIM: OTT 8BUF 8
: OTT 55%BUF 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–1 at home. Victor Olofsson (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Craig Anderson (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +4 against a season average of 31.7; the win.

Points
Victor Olofsson had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 14:42.Olofsson
Goalie
Craig Anderson (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +4 against a season average of 31.7; the win.Anderson
Luck
OTT scored 1 goal on 2.55 expected goals (52 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Artem Zub (OTT) played 16:02, −4:18 down on his 20:20 season average over 52 games.Zub
Usage
Rasmus Asplund (BUF) played 15:07, +4:15 up on his 10:52 season average over 45 games.Asplund
Usage
Josh Norris (OTT) played 20:42, +3:06 up on his 17:36 season average over 7 games.Norris
PP1
BUF's PP1 (Okposo, Olofsson, Krebs, Cozens and Power) went scoreless in 3:51 of 5v4 time with 2 attempts.Okposo Olofsson Krebs Cozens Power
PP1
OTT's PP1 (Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk and Stützle) went scoreless in 3:08 of 5v4 time with 4 attempts.Chabot Norris Batherson Tkachuk Stützle

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · BUF 55 · OTT 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 26% of the game, BUF 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	48	48
	2.18	2.02
	2.13	1.94
	12	10
	5	4
	12	5
	+0.000	+0.000
	26%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – DeBrincat – Norris
11:3455% CF
L2Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
10:3853% CF
L3Motte – Joseph – Pinto
6:4036% CF
L4Watson – Kastelic – Kelly
5:2360% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
13:3838% CF
D2Hamonic – Sanderson
12:4950% CF
D3Holden – Brannstrom
9:2356% CF

PP1Chabot – Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:0867% CF
PP2Giroux – Motte – DeBrincat – Pinto – Sanderson
1:55100% CF
PK1FMotte – Norris
1:59
PK2FJoseph – Kastelic
0:57
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
3:49
PK2DHolden – Brannstrom
3:24

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Mittelstadt – Quinn
9:2450% CF
L2Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson
8:3835% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Asplund
7:1250% CF
L4Krebs – Cozens – Peterka
6:5765% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
13:3339% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
12:5948% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
9:1965% CF

PP1Okposo – Olofsson – Krebs – Cozens – Power
3:51100% CF
PP2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
3:4867% CF
PK1FAsplund – Cozens
1:51
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
1:02
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
1:54
PK2DJokiharju – Power
1:02

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Josh Norris C	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.15	1	0	0	20:42	—	—	46	49
Alex DeBrincat R	L1	0	0	0	-2	7	0.69	0	0	2	19:06	—	—	50	50
Claude Giroux R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	0	1	0	17:54	—	—	54	49
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	1	1	0	19:17	—	—	62	80
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	18:31	—	—	58	77
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.63	2	0	0	17:13	—	—	53	63
Tyler Motte C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	2	2	0	13:52	—	—	33	27
Shane Pinto C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.11	1	0	0	13:12	—	—	44	32
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	3	0	2	12:27	—	—	28	32
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	0	9:42	—	—	63	36
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	9:35	—	—	57	54
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	8:49	—	—	67	67
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	0	1	4	24:16	—	—	49	53
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:02	—	—	38	54
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	22:21	—	—	52	51
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	2	0	19:12	—	—	55	49
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	0	1	0	16:58	—	—	52	49
Nick Holden D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	13:50	—	—	56	55

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	34	32	2	.941	2.55	59:01

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	0	0	0	17:07	—	—	43	26
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.29	0	0	2	17:04	—	—	50	37
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	50	27
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	0	0	16:50	—	—	32	22
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	32	28
Victor Olofsson L	L2	2	0	2	+2	6	0.70	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	36	24
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	0	16:49	—	—	55	70
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	54	73
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	1	1	0	13:09	—	—	53	62
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	67	60
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:29	—	—	67	71
JJ Peterka R	L4	1	0	1	0	4	0.47	0	0	0	11:55	—	—	65	68
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:53	—	—	37	37
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	2	2	20:33	—	—	44	32
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.46	2	1	0	24:16	—	—	48	48
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	4	2	19:16	—	—	52	54
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	5	2	2	14:59	—	—	65	77
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:19	—	—	67	60

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	36	35	1	.972	2.55	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresOct 13, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres