Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 13, 2023

Final / OTThursday, Apr 13, 2023· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	0	3	0	0	3		OTT	11	12	10	0	33
BUF	0	2	1	1	4		BUF	12	13	10	1	36

: OTT 56BUF 68
: OTT 2.57BUF 3.89
PP goals: OTT 1BUF 1
Hits: OTT 33BUF 10
Blocks: OTT 15BUF 11
PIM: OTT 8BUF 6
: OTT 63%BUF 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 in overtime at home. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 0G 3A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 3:17 together.

Points
Jeff Skinner had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:54.Skinner
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:33.Mittelstadt
Points
Tim Stützle had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:53.Stützle
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 3:17 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:03 together.DeBrincat Batherson Tkachuk Sanderson Stützle
Usage
Jake Sanderson (OTT) played 29:52, +8:03 up on his 21:49 season average over 76 games.Sanderson
Goalie
Mads Sogaard (OTT) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +8 against a season average of 27.6; the overtime loss.Sogaard
Usage
Nick Holden (OTT) played 23:13, +6:37 up on his 16:36 season average over 64 games.Holden

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · BUF 68 · OTT 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 24% of the game, BUF 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	58	61
	2.49	3.28
	2.46	3.03
	11	16
	2	6
	13	19
	+0.127	−0.127
	24%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
12:3259% CF
L2DeBrincat – Batherson – Pinto
11:4336% CF
L3Brown – Joseph – Kastelic
8:2844% CF
L4Gauthier – Gambrell – Sokolov
3:5729% CF
D1Sanderson – Zub
16:4947% CF
D2Holden – Brannstrom
14:0743% CF
D3Guenette – Kleven
8:3953% CF

PP1DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Sanderson – Stützle
3:0388% CF
PP2Giroux – Joseph – Brannstrom – Pinto – Kleven
0:42
PK1FGiroux – Gambrell
1:31
PK2FBrown – Pinto
1:22
PK1DHolden – Sanderson
3:20
PK2DKleven – Zub
0:49

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt
9:5654% CF
L2Greenway – Thompson – Cozens
8:2840% CF
L3Krebs – Quinn – Peterka
5:5567% CF
L4Okposo – Girgensons – Olofsson
3:17100% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
18:2855% CF
D2Lyubushkin – Power
14:5748% CF
D3Stillman – Bryson
8:3153% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:17100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
3:14100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Cozens
1:35
PK2FTuch – Quinn
0:55
PK1DJokiharju – Dahlin
1:56
PK2DLyubushkin – Power
1:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	1	1	2	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	22:53	—	—	59	42
Claude Giroux R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.24	0	1	0	20:07	—	—	59	43
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	-1	6	0.48	4	0	0	19:16	—	—	58	43
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	1	0	18:11	—	—	38	35
Shane Pinto C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	44	49
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.20	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	35	34
Patrick Brown C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	3	0	0	16:09	—	—	48	53
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:18	—	—	47	41
Mark Kastelic C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.26	7	0	0	11:05	—	—	41	41
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.25	2	1	2	9:23	—	—	43	42
Julien Gauthier R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	6:47	—	—	43	44
Egor Sokolov L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	6:44	—	—	40	49
Jake Sanderson D	D1	0	1	1	0	7	0.23	0	3	0	29:52	—	—	53	52
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	2	23:43	—	—	44	45
Nick Holden D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.08	0	1	0	23:13	—	—	49	37
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	2	20:50	—	—	44	27
Tyler Kleven D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	2	12:11	—	—	53	46
Maxence Guenette D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	1	1	0	8:47	—	—	53	46

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mads Sogaard(start)	O	36	32	4	.889	3.89	61:18

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.66	1	0	0	18:46	—	—	59	60
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	18:33	—	—	46	53
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	3	3	+1	4	0.65	0	0	0	16:54	—	—	55	60
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	18:58	—	—	52	84
Tage Thompson C	L2	1	0	1	0	8	0.50	1	1	2	15:43	—	—	60	83
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	1	0	12:06	—	—	57	81
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.18	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	60	41
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	0	0	2	16:13	—	—	48	40
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	44	40
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	0	1	2	13:11	—	—	38	50
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.17	0	0	0	12:08	—	—	44	51
Victor Olofsson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.45	0	0	0	10:57	—	—	54	75
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.19	0	1	0	27:17	—	—	55	64
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.07	0	3	0	23:38	—	—	51	59
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	1	0	24:00	—	—	46	40
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	2	0	19:15	—	—	46	48
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	10:04	—	—	58	64
Riley Stillman D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	9:54	—	—	55	59

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	2.57	61:18

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 13, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Ottawa Senators 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres