Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 20, 2022

Final / OTThursday, Oct 20, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
DAL	1	0	1	0	2		DAL	11	6	10	1	28
TOR	0	1	1	1	3		TOR	6	17	17	3	43

: DAL 65TOR 63
: DAL 3.32TOR 4.57
PP goals: DAL 1TOR 1
Hits: DAL 41TOR 31
Blocks: DAL 15TOR 21
PIM: DAL 16TOR 8
: DAL 48%TOR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Dallas Stars 3–2 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Dallas Stars 3–2 in overtime at home. Nick Robertson (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Scott Wedgewood (DAL) faced 43 shots and stopped 40 (.930), +14 against a season average of 28.7; the overtime loss.

Points
Nick Robertson had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:24.Robertson
Points
Michael Bunting had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:59.Bunting
Goalie
Scott Wedgewood (DAL) faced 43 shots and stopped 40 (.930), +14 against a season average of 28.7; the overtime loss.Wedgewood
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Nylander–Robertson skated 7:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (63.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Nylander Robertson
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 26:46, +6:35 up on his 20:11 season average over 73 games.Matthews
Usage
Wyatt Johnston (DAL) played 9:18, −6:15 down on his 15:33 season average over 81 games.Johnston
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 27:19, +5:42 up on his 21:37 season average over 64 games.Rielly
Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 22:45, +4:16 up on his 18:29 season average over 81 games.Nylander

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DAL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DAL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 128 of 128 attempts · TOR 63 · DAL 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DAL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DAL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DAL 25% of the game, TOR 50%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DAL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DAL	TOR
	60	42
	1.98	1.79
	1.93	1.71
	12	11
	4	1
	24	26
	−0.014	+0.014
	25%	50%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Dallas Stars

L1Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson
10:2073% CF
L2Seguin – Marchment – Dellandrea
7:3650% CF
L3Glendening – Faksa – Kiviranta
3:01100% CF
L4Benn – Gurianov – Johnston
2:4378% CF
D1Miller – Heiskanen
12:5235% CF
D2Lindell – Lundkvist
9:3173% CF
D3Suter – Hakanpää
8:3780% CF

PP1Pavelski – Benn – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen
2:2571% CF
PP2Suter – Seguin – Marchment – Lundkvist – Johnston
0:49100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Dellandrea
5:29
PK2FFaksa – Kiviranta
3:24
PK1DHakanpää – Lindell
7:09
PK2DSuter – Heiskanen
2:19

Current DAL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
10:4629% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Robertson
7:2663% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Engvall
3:0280% CF
L4Aube-Kubel – Aston-Reese – Kampf
2:480% CF
D1Holl – Sandin
12:1035% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
9:2648% CF
D3Giordano – Mete
7:1936% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
9:0579% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Bunting – Sandin – Robertson
2:17100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:12
PK2FJarnkrok – Aston-Reese
0:21
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:39
PK2DRielly – Mete
0:34

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jason Robertson L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.42	0	0	2	16:26	—	—	68	86
Roope Hintz C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	75	88
Joe Pavelski C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	0	15:46	—	—	71	86
Ty Dellandrea C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	6	0	0	18:57	—	—	60	47
Mason Marchment L	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.15	4	2	2	17:51	—	—	47	46
Tyler Seguin C	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	1.27	2	0	0	17:31	—	—	52	46
Luke Glendening C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	2	1	2	14:32	—	—	47	61
Radek Faksa C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:22	—	—	58	8
Joel Kiviranta L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	2	1	0	10:54	—	—	60	13
Jamie Benn L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	4	0	2	14:05	—	—	65	55
Denis Gurianov R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.52	1	2	0	11:20	—	—	44	41
Wyatt Johnston C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	0	1	2	9:18	—	—	71	59
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	4	24:27	—	—	40	24
Colin Miller D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	5	0	0	16:16	—	—	39	36
Esa Lindell D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	23:27	—	—	67	68
Nils Lundkvist D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	1	2	0	16:40	—	—	66	49
Ryan Suter D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	3	1	0	23:11	—	—	69	64
Jani Hakanpää D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	5	2	2	19:47	—	—	68	73

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Wedgewood(start)	O	43	40	3	.930	4.57	63:34

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.39	2	2	0	26:46	—	—	32	53
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	1	0	2	26:31	—	—	28	53
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.27	1	1	0	15:59	—	—	32	52
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.44	1	1	0	22:45	—	—	67	78
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	8	1.60	1	0	0	22:41	—	—	52	61
Nick Robertson L	L2	2	0	2	+1	4	0.44	3	0	0	14:24	—	—	60	88
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.42	0	0	2	16:24	—	—	43	24
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	47	21
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:31	—	—	63	31
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:26	—	—	24	8
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	2	7:35	—	—	20	6
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:24	—	—	19	18
Rasmus Sandin D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	7	2	0	20:35	—	—	38	29
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	3	0	20:34	—	—	31	37
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.24	0	4	0	27:19	—	—	49	60
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	2	0	19:50	—	—	42	56
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	0	1	2	13:35	—	—	40	37
Victor Mete D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	2	0	10:02	—	—	39	29

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	3.32	63:33

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 20, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Dallas Stars 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Dallas Stars

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Dallas Stars

Toronto Maple Leafs