Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo SabresOct 14, 2019

FinalMonday, Oct 14, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DAL	0	0	0	0		DAL	5	8	12	25
BUF	0	2	2	4		BUF	6	13	3	22

: DAL 45BUF 42
: DAL 1.66BUF 1.60
PP goals: DAL 0BUF 1
Hits: DAL 18BUF 19
Blocks: DAL 8BUF 8
PIM: DAL 2BUF 4
: DAL 57%BUF 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout Dallas Stars 4–0

Buffalo Sabres beat Dallas Stars 4–0 at home. Victor Olofsson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:41 together.

Points
Victor Olofsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:12.Olofsson
Points
Jack Eichel had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:29.Eichel
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:41 together.Skinner Reinhart Olofsson Eichel Dahlin
New line
New look for DAL: Faksa–Janmark–Caamano skated 10:54 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Faksa Janmark Caamano
Luck
BUF scored 4 goals on 1.60 expected goals (42 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for DAL: Cogliano–Dowling–Gardner skated 6:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cogliano Dowling Gardner
Luck
DAL scored 0 goals on 1.66 expected goals (45 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jake McCabe (BUF) played 22:19, +3:51 up on his 18:28 season average over 65 games.McCabe

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DAL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DAL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 87 of 87 attempts · BUF 42 · DAL 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DAL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DAL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DAL 29% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DAL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DAL	BUF
	48	48
	1.52	1.74
	1.51	1.65
	6	1
	2	1
	8	7
	+0.029	−0.029
	29%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Dallas Stars

L1Faksa – Janmark – Caamano
10:5467% CF
L2Radulov – Benn – Hintz
7:1317% CF
L3Cogliano – Dowling – Gardner
6:2357% CF
L4Pavelski – Seguin – Dickinson
5:4314% CF
D1Klingberg – Lindell
14:0422% CF
D2Fedun – Oleksiak
11:2965% CF
D3Sekera – Heiskanen
11:0077% CF

PP1Pavelski – Radulov – Seguin – Hintz – Heiskanen
2:11100% CF
PP2Benn – Dowling – Klingberg – Faksa – Lindell
1:37100% CF
PK1FCogliano – Janmark
1:19
PK2FFaksa – Dickinson
1:17
PK1DSekera – Lindell
1:17
PK2DOleksiak – Heiskanen
0:38

Current DAL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:3248% CF
L2Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
10:5650% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
10:4246% CF
L4Vesey – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
8:2280% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
17:4848% CF
D2Miller – Dahlin
15:1359% CF
D3Scandella – Jokiharju
14:4833% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:41100% CF
PP2Okposo – Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Mittelstadt
0:36
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:35
PK2FSobotka – Vesey
0:52
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
3:06
PK2DScandella – Miller
0:25

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:27
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Rasmus Dahlin, Jack Eichel)slap0.09 xG
DAL: Cogliano, Oleksiak, Lindell, JanmarkBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
DAL 0 – 1 BUF
17:56
BUFSam Reinhart (Victor Olofsson, Jack Eichel)slap0.18 xG
DAL: Pavelski, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, LindellBUF: Scandella, McCabe, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
DAL 0 – 2 BUF

3rd period

4:20
BUFJeff Skinner (Vladimir Sobotka, Henri Jokiharju)backhand0.16 xG
DAL: Radulov, Fedun, Oleksiak, Dickinson, HintzBUF: Sobotka, Scandella, Johansson, Skinner, Jokiharju
DAL 0 – 3 BUF
6:02
BUFMarcus Johansson (Jake McCabe, Rasmus Ristolainen)slap0.05 xG
DAL: Radulov, Sekera, Lindell, Dickinson, HintzBUF: Sobotka, Johansson, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen
DAL 0 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Radek Faksa C	L1	0	4	0.08	0	1	0	18:08	—	—	65	72
Mattias Janmark C	L1	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	14:24	—	—	71	69
Nick Caamano R	L1	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	13:01	—	—	61	66
Alexander Radulov R	L2	-2	1	0.06	2	1	0	17:30	—	—	40	20
Jamie Benn L	L2	-1	1	0.21	4	2	0	16:24	—	—	44	22
Roope Hintz C	L2	-2	2	0.07	0	0	0	16:13	—	—	38	17
Justin Dowling C	L3	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	12:14	—	—	53	81
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:19	—	—	46	67
Rhett Gardner C	L3	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	54	72
Tyler Seguin C	L4	-1	2	0.21	2	0	0	17:33	—	—	46	37
Joe Pavelski C	L4	-1	1	0.00	0	1	0	17:16	—	—	59	45
Jason Dickinson C	L4	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:48	—	—	26	22
John Klingberg D	D1	-1	4	0.49	0	0	2	22:00	—	—	38	38
Esa Lindell D	D1	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	20:52	—	—	26	35
Jamie Oleksiak D	D2	-1	1	0.01	2	2	0	16:59	—	—	59	43
Taylor Fedun D	D2	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	58	48
Miro Heiskanen D	D3	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	21:54	—	—	65	81
Andrej Sekera D	D3	-1	2	0.03	1	0	0	19:52	—	—	58	58

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ben Bishop(start)	L	22	18	4	.818	1.60	59:58

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.06	0	0	0	18:29	—	—	53	73
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.16	0	0	2	18:12	—	—	48	67
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.38	0	1	0	17:40	—	—	52	73
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	0	1	+2	4	0.19	0	0	0	15:59	—	—	40	59
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	2	1	0	14:52	—	—	43	60
Marcus Johansson L	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.05	2	0	0	13:33	—	—	46	59
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	15:38	—	—	35	51
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:17	—	—	35	20
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:11	—	—	35	22
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	67	55
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	11:38	—	—	60	35
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:29	—	—	72	53
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	2	1	0	23:46	—	—	46	48
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.08	2	3	0	22:19	—	—	50	61
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	0	18:53	—	—	61	64
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.15	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	59	62
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:07	—	—	44	48
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	3	0	2	16:27	—	—	33	32

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	25	25	0	.1000	1.66	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.