Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay LightningDec 23, 2017

FinalSaturday, Dec 23, 2017· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	0	0	0		MIN	10	7	5	22
TBL	0	0	3	3		TBL	12	8	11	31

: MIN 38TBL 72
: MIN 2.64TBL 3.98
PP goals: MIN 0TBL 0
Hits: MIN 17TBL 17
Blocks: MIN 19TBL 11
PIM: MIN 12TBL 12
: MIN 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Minnesota Wild 3–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Minnesota Wild 3–0 at home. Dan Girardi (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for MIN: Staal–Stewart–Zucker skated 7:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (8.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Dan Girardi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:15.Girardi
New line
New look for MIN: Staal–Stewart–Zucker skated 7:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (8.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Stewart Zucker
Luck
MIN scored 0 goals on 2.64 expected goals (38 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Tyler Johnson (TBL) played 22:55, +6:00 up on his 16:55 season average over 80 games.Johnson
New line
New look for MIN: Koivu–Foligno–Granlund skated 7:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Koivu Foligno Granlund
Usage
Dan Girardi (TBL) played 14:15, −3:11 down on his 17:26 season average over 76 games.Girardi
Usage
Mathew Dumba (MIN) played 28:51, +5:06 up on his 23:45 season average over 81 games.Dumba
Usage
Tyler Ennis (MIN) played 7:41, −4:21 down on his 12:02 season average over 72 games.Ennis

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · TBL 72 · MIN 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 28% of the game, TBL 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TBL
	19	55
	0.81	2.35
	0.77	2.27
	4	6
	0	1
	7	8
	+0.012	−0.012
	28%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Winnik – Coyle – Eriksson Ek
9:2060% CF
L2Staal – Stewart – Zucker
7:298% CF
L3Koivu – Foligno – Granlund
7:2227% CF
L4Cullen – Ennis – Mitchell
3:250% CF
D1Suter – Dumba
15:4822% CF
D2Spurgeon – Brodin
11:1126% CF
D3Prosser – Reilly
5:1311% CF

PP1Koivu – Suter – Ennis – Granlund – Dumba
5:30100% CF
PP2Cullen – Staal – Spurgeon – Zucker – Reilly
3:3675% CF
PK1FKoivu – Granlund
1:51
PK2FWinnik – Coyle
1:31
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
4:25
PK2DSuter – Dumba
1:54

Current MIN line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
9:5570% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
8:0792% CF
L3Kunitz – Brown – Paquette
6:2769% CF
L4Killorn – Conacher – Gourde
5:4290% CF
D1Hedman – Dotchin
11:5275% CF
D2Stralman – Sergachev
9:4069% CF
D3Coburn – Girardi
6:4873% CF

PP1Stamkos – Johnson – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
6:43100% CF
PP2Killorn – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
2:2975% CF
PK1FKillorn – Johnson
3:46
PK2FGourde – Point
3:25
PK1DStralman – Hedman
3:26
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
2:32

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

17:18
TBLDan Girardi (Brayden Point)wrist0.16 xG
MIN: Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, DumbaTBL: Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point
MIN 0 – 1 TBL
18:10
TBLTyler Johnson (Jake Dotchin)wrist0.06 xG
MIN: Koivu, Staal, Spurgeon, Granlund, ReillyTBL: Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Dotchin, Point
MIN 0 – 2 TBL
19:07
TBLNikita KucherovEN (Vladislav Namestnikov, Dan Girardi)backhand0.91 xG
MIN: Koivu, Staal, Suter, Coyle, Granlund, DumbaTBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov
MIN 0 – 3 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Charlie Coyle C	L1	-1	4	0.39	2	1	0	18:21	—	—	45	58
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	0	2	0.10	2	0	0	16:10	—	—	53	63
Daniel Winnik L	L1	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	15:51	—	—	50	58
Eric Staal C	L2	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:02	—	—	11	14
Jason Zucker L	L2	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:50	—	—	13	13
Chris Stewart R	L2	0	2	0.17	0	1	0	8:18	—	—	13	20
Mikael Granlund C	L3	-3	3	0.29	0	0	0	20:14	—	—	21	12
Mikko Koivu C	L3	-3	1	0.65	0	0	2	19:33	—	—	29	17
Marcus Foligno L	L3	0	2	0.09	4	1	0	11:46	—	—	22	20
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	10:16	—	—	0	0
Zack Mitchell R	L4	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:20	—	—	0	0
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	1	0.48	0	2	0	7:41	—	—	0	0
Mathew Dumba D	D1	-2	1	0.04	3	0	2	28:51	—	—	31	34
Ryan Suter D	D1	-2	1	0.12	2	2	6	28:18	—	—	25	19
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	-1	2	0.06	0	4	0	23:40	—	—	21	16
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:09	—	—	29	42
Mike Reilly D	D3	-1	1	0.03	1	1	0	10:48	—	—	9	2
Nate Prosser D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:25	—	—	36	36

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Stalock(start)	L	30	28	2	.933	3.06	59:27

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	1.25	1	0	4	22:15	—	—	64	45
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.35	0	0	0	21:25	—	—	61	42
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	19:24	—	—	64	42
Tyler Johnson C	L2	1	0	1	+2	4	0.33	0	2	0	22:55	—	—	80	91
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.04	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	86	85
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.24	1	0	0	15:45	—	—	92	91
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	2	2	11:05	—	—	67	88
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	7:57	—	—	71	95
JT Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	6:27	—	—	69	95
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	2	16:02	—	—	85	85
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	13:02	—	—	91	93
Cory Conacher C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.45	0	0	0	7:04	—	—	83	87
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+3	3	0.23	3	1	0	28:31	—	—	72	84
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	5	1	0	17:11	—	—	82	84
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	19:47	—	—	76	68
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	0	1	2	15:20	—	—	71	55
Dan Girardi D	D3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.27	3	1	0	14:15	—	—	71	82
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	13:56	—	—	77	90

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	22	22	0	.1000	2.64	58:37

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.