Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 7, 2019

FinalThursday, Mar 7, 2019· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	0	2	3		MIN	10	6	14	30
TBL	0	0	0	0		TBL	11	9	5	25

: MIN 59TBL 53
: MIN 3.93TBL 1.51
PP goals: MIN 0TBL 0
Hits: MIN 18TBL 27
Blocks: MIN 18TBL 21
PIM: MIN 4TBL 8
: MIN 43%TBL 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–0

Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–0 at TBL. Jason Zucker (MIN) led the scoring with 3G 0A. Luke Kunin (MIN) played 8:17, −7:46 down on his 16:03 season average over 48 games.

Points
Jason Zucker had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:16.Zucker
Points
Ryan Donato had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:38.Donato
Usage
Luke Kunin (MIN) played 8:17, −7:46 down on his 16:03 season average over 48 games.Kunin
Usage
Eric Fehr (MIN) played 15:12, +4:13 up on his 10:59 season average over 71 games.Fehr
Luck
TBL scored 0 goals on 1.51 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Joel Eriksson Ek (MIN) played 18:30, +5:05 up on his 13:25 season average over 57 games.Eriksson Ek
Usage
JT Brown (MIN) played 13:09, +4:03 up on his 9:06 season average over 55 games.Brown
Usage
Brad Hunt (MIN) played 11:41, −3:17 down on his 14:58 season average over 41 games.Hunt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · TBL 53 · MIN 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 39% of the game, TBL 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TBL
	52	54
	1.76	1.46
	1.70	1.43
	6	5
	7	6
	11	12
	−0.041	+0.041
	39%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Aberg – Greenway – Eriksson Ek
8:3767% CF
L2Fehr – Foligno – Brown
8:2827% CF
L3Staal – Zucker – Donato
7:5161% CF
L4Parise – Fiala – Kunin
6:5633% CF
D1Pateryn – Brodin
18:2349% CF
D2Suter – Spurgeon
17:5155% CF
D3Seeler – Hunt
7:2847% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Parise – Spurgeon – Fiala
2:40100% CF
PP2Suter – Parise – Aberg – Fiala – Kunin
1:47
PK1FParise – Eriksson Ek
1:41
PK2FFehr – Foligno
1:24
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
1:04
PK2DPateryn – Brodin
0:47

Current MIN line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
9:5642% CF
L2Paquette – Erne – Joseph
7:2285% CF
L3Stamkos – Palat – Gourde
5:5433% CF
L4Killorn – Miller – Cirelli
5:3863% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
14:4646% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
12:2465% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
12:1940% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
3:04100% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Sergachev
0:560% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
1:48
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:39
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:18
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
1:55

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:50
MINJason Zucker (Ryan Donato, Ryan Suter)tip-in0.05 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Zucker, Seeler, DonatoTBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Gourde
MIN 1 – 0 TBL

3rd period

6:04
MINJason Zucker (Ryan Donato)backhand0.06 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, DonatoTBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Erne
MIN 2 – 0 TBL
18:14
MINJason ZuckerEN (Eric Staal, Eric Fehr)wrist0.87 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Fehr, Spurgeon, ZuckerTBL: Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller, Point
MIN 3 – 0 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.54	2	1	0	18:30	—	—	61	79
Pontus Aberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:03	—	—	55	50
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	2	2	0	13:04	—	—	64	51
Eric Fehr C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.30	0	0	0	15:12	—	—	40	17
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	1	0	13:34	—	—	40	23
JT Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:09	—	—	33	26
Eric Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+3	2	0.28	0	0	0	18:09	—	—	56	36
Jason Zucker L	L3	3	0	3	+3	3	1.57	0	2	0	15:16	—	—	57	62
Ryan Donato C	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:38	—	—	54	60
Zach Parise L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	1	0	0	19:28	—	—	43	69
Kevin Fiala L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	40	65
Luke Kunin C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	2	8:17	—	—	33	51
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	2	0	22:32	—	—	47	46
Greg Pateryn D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	20:05	—	—	45	45
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	1	1	+3	2	0.02	1	3	0	29:16	—	—	55	86
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.04	2	3	2	25:47	—	—	55	87
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:41	—	—	41	37
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:45	—	—	47	42

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	W	25	25	0	.1000	1.51	59:04

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	-2	5	0.25	0	0	2	23:15	—	—	47	43
Brayden Point C	L1	-1	2	0.12	0	2	0	20:07	—	—	44	41
Tyler Johnson C	L1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	16:51	—	—	52	57
Cedric Paquette C	L2	0	1	0.14	3	0	2	12:29	—	—	68	45
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	0	0	0.07	2	0	2	11:36	—	—	67	43
Adam Erne L	L2	-1	2	0.05	2	2	0	9:20	—	—	68	81
Steven Stamkos C	L3	-3	1	0.10	1	1	0	18:04	—	—	44	36
Yanni Gourde C	L3	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	13:33	—	—	31	4
Ondrej Palat L	L3	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	11:31	—	—	35	15
J.T. Miller C	L4	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	14:26	—	—	52	63
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:08	—	—	57	53
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	4	0.34	1	1	0	13:22	—	—	52	59
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	2	0.17	0	3	0	21:52	—	—	41	30
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	20:56	—	—	50	41
Victor Hedman D	D2	-3	4	0.12	2	2	0	22:52	—	—	58	40
Dan Girardi D	D2	-2	1	0.03	3	2	0	17:31	—	—	62	55
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0.00	5	2	0	17:06	—	—	44	63
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	2	0.06	2	1	0	14:30	—	—	46	63

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	2.46	58:31

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.