Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 8, 2017

FinalWednesday, Nov 8, 2017· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	0	1	2		MIN	9	14	14	37
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	6	6	7	19

: MIN 71TOR 42
: MIN 4.13TOR 1.67
PP goals: MIN 1TOR 0
Hits: MIN 27TOR 18
Blocks: MIN 15TOR 18
PIM: MIN 4TOR 8
: MIN 58%TOR 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2 at home. Jason Zucker (MIN) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for TOR: Komarov–Kadri–Nylander skated 11:12 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jason Zucker had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:05.Zucker
Points
Connor Brown had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:55.Brown
Points
Eric Staal had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:21.Staal
New line
New look for TOR: Komarov–Kadri–Nylander skated 11:12 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Komarov Kadri Nylander
New line
New look for MIN: Staal–Stewart–Zucker skated 7:37 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Stewart Zucker
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Hyman–Brown skated 9:52 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (36% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Hyman Brown
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +4 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Andersen
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 1.67 expected goals (42 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · TOR 42 · MIN 71

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 46% of the game, TOR 13%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TOR
	62	44
	3.45	1.33
	3.29	1.31
	11	2
	5	5
	22	30
	+0.095	−0.094
	46%	13%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Winnik – Eriksson Ek – Kunin
11:3374% CF
L2Staal – Stewart – Zucker
7:3754% CF
L3Koivu – Granlund – Niederreiter
6:5563% CF
L4Cullen – Ennis – Foligno
5:3729% CF
D1Suter – Spurgeon
16:4866% CF
D2Brodin – Dumba
16:1261% CF
D3Quincey – Olofsson
10:0459% CF

PP1Koivu – Suter – Spurgeon – Granlund – Niederreiter
3:37100% CF
PP2Staal – Stewart – Zucker – Brodin – Dumba
1:55100% CF
PK1FEriksson Ek – Kunin
0:31
PK2FStaal – Winnik
0:30
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
1:49
PK2DQuincey – Brodin
1:04

Current MIN line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Komarov – Kadri – Nylander
11:1255% CF
L2Marleau – Hyman – Brown
9:5236% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
9:1543% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Leivo
7:0340% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
17:0947% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
15:0435% CF
D3Carrick – Borgman
8:4931% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
1:35100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Leivo – Brown – Nylander
1:00100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
3:43
PK2FMoore – Brown
2:24
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
4:32
PK2DGardiner – Rielly
0:00

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	2	0	0	15:03	—	—	74	81
Daniel Winnik L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	1	0	14:45	—	—	71	77
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.66	5	1	0	12:36	—	—	76	84
Eric Staal C	L2	0	2	2	-1	3	0.28	3	0	0	20:21	—	—	50	58
Jason Zucker L	L2	2	0	2	0	5	0.46	2	0	0	19:05	—	—	64	74
Chris Stewart R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	4	0	0	12:10	—	—	50	45
Mikael Granlund C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	2	0	0	19:57	—	—	57	80
Mikko Koivu C	L3	0	0	0	-2	7	0.64	0	0	0	19:43	—	—	64	83
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.53	0	0	4	16:23	—	—	65	84
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	42	75
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	7:45	—	—	36	51
Marcus Foligno L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:07	—	—	33	56
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.18	0	1	0	26:23	—	—	63	73
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.20	1	2	0	25:08	—	—	62	68
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	4	0	21:34	—	—	57	67
Mathew Dumba D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	3	3	0	21:26	—	—	60	72
Kyle Quincey D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	13:33	—	—	52	76
Gustav Olofsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	11:56	—	—	56	74

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	18	15	3	.833	1.11	58:45

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leo Komarov R	L1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	3	2	0	18:07	—	—	52	24
Nazem Kadri C	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.09	1	0	0	16:53	—	—	52	33
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	56	23
Connor Brown R	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.70	0	2	0	16:55	—	—	33	32
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	16:24	—	—	39	32
Patrick Marleau C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.23	0	0	0	14:33	—	—	39	27
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	1	0	0	15:47	—	—	33	13
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	15:10	—	—	26	11
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	12:04	—	—	47	19
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.21	1	0	0	13:47	—	—	41	59
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	10:59	—	—	39	59
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:45	—	—	39	56
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	24:31	—	—	47	31
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	3	2	0	24:04	—	—	49	31
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	5	0	24:20	—	—	39	19
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	2	0	22:11	—	—	40	27
Connor Carrick D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	0	1	2	12:53	—	—	32	30
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	4	9:17	—	—	33	26

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	4.13	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 8, 2017

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs