Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 3, 2019

FinalThursday, Jan 3, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	2	1	4		MIN	19	11	4	34
TOR	2	1	0	3		TOR	10	12	19	41

: MIN 53TOR 80
: MIN 2.89TOR 5.71
PP goals: MIN 0TOR 0
Hits: MIN 16TOR 17
Blocks: MIN 18TOR 13
PIM: MIN 8TOR 4
: MIN 38%TOR 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Minnesota Wild beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 at TOR. Jared Spurgeon (MIN) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for TOR: Tavares–Brown–Marner skated 11:13 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jared Spurgeon had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 25:57.Spurgeon
Points
Mitch Marner had two goals (2 points) on 9 shots in 24:06.Marner
Points
Charlie Coyle had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:54.Coyle
Points
Zach Parise had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:19.Parise
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 22:07.Tavares
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Brown–Marner skated 11:13 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Brown Marner
Goalie
Devan Dubnyk (MIN) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +13 against a season average of 28.0; the win.Dubnyk
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Kadri–Kapanen skated 8:49 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Kadri Kapanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · TOR 80 · MIN 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 31% of the game, TOR 49%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TOR
	58	59
	3.05	4.35
	3.03	4.26
	8	14
	5	4
	23	13
	−0.164	+0.164
	31%	49%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Staal – Zucker – Granlund
11:2344% CF
L2Koivu – Niederreiter – Greenway
10:5153% CF
L3Parise – Coyle – Kunin
10:1359% CF
L4Fehr – Foligno – Brown
6:3731% CF
D1Suter – Spurgeon
17:3552% CF
D2Pateryn – Brodin
14:3252% CF
D3Seeler – Murphy
8:0138% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Parise – Zucker – Granlund
1:0575% CF
PP2Koivu – Spurgeon – Coyle – Niederreiter – Greenway
0:42100% CF
PK1FCoyle – Kunin
3:02
PK2FFehr – Foligno
2:42
PK1DPateryn – Brodin
3:50
PK2DSuter – Spurgeon
3:09

Current MIN line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Brown – Marner
11:1352% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Kapanen
8:4963% CF
L3Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
8:2342% CF
L4Gauthier – Moore – Lindholm
5:0967% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
12:2247% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
12:1150% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
10:0644% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
5:2593% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Moore
1:49100% CF
PK1FKapanen – Marner
0:39
PK2FTavares – Brown
0:32
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:24
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:18

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Eric Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	2	14:58	—	—	45	35
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.42	0	0	2	14:47	—	—	44	38
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	46	38
Mikko Koivu C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.13	0	2	0	19:23	—	—	57	26
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	2	0	0	13:45	—	—	52	19
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	1	0	13:13	—	—	48	17
Zach Parise L	L3	1	1	2	+2	5	1.03	0	1	0	17:19	—	—	59	62
Charlie Coyle C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.12	0	1	0	16:54	—	—	60	63
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	2	1	0	14:23	—	—	55	51
Eric Fehr C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	13:16	—	—	33	50
Marcus Foligno L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	11:22	—	—	35	17
JT Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	8:27	—	—	40	58
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	2	0	27:16	—	—	53	47
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	1	2	3	+1	1	0.09	0	5	0	25:57	—	—	50	45
Greg Pateryn D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	1	1	0	21:49	—	—	50	40
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	3	2	2	21:42	—	—	58	44
Ryan Murphy D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	10:48	—	—	44	16
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:38	—	—	33	4

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	W	41	38	3	.927	5.71	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	0	2	+1	9	0.79	0	0	0	24:06	—	—	54	61
John Tavares C	L1	0	2	2	+2	6	1.31	1	1	2	22:07	—	—	55	58
Connor Brown R	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.19	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	52	46
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.48	2	1	0	21:07	—	—	48	80
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.95	1	1	0	17:10	—	—	57	83
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	2	0	0	14:44	—	—	62	87
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	1	1	-1	6	0.58	0	1	0	20:28	—	—	41	49
William Nylander R	L3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.22	0	1	0	14:15	—	—	39	41
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.20	2	3	0	14:00	—	—	38	36
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	8:48	—	—	54	45
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	2	8:39	—	—	64	45
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:15	—	—	64	45
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	25:36	—	—	51	74
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:02	—	—	50	69
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	1	1	0	22:23	—	—	54	51
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	2	0	17:54	—	—	52	38
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	3	1	0	17:39	—	—	48	41
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:24	—	—	45	34

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	2.89	57:03

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 3, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Minnesota Wild edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs