Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 15, 2019

FinalTuesday, Oct 15, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	0	1	2		MIN	8	10	11	29
TOR	0	4	0	4		TOR	9	19	6	34

: MIN 52TOR 62
: MIN 1.94TOR 4.33
PP goals: MIN 0TOR 2
Hits: MIN 31TOR 11
Blocks: MIN 15TOR 11
PIM: MIN 6TOR 6
: MIN 45%TOR 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2 at home. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 4A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 6 attempts in 2:11 together.

Points
Morgan Rielly had 4 assists (4 points) on 6 shots in 21:44.Rielly
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 17:18.Marner
Points
Andreas Johnsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:50.Johnsson
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 6 attempts in 2:11 together.Tavares Rielly Johnsson Marner Matthews
New line
New look for MIN: Rask–Greenway–Mayhew skated 4:31 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Rask Greenway Mayhew
New line
New look for MIN: Staal–Hartman–Donato skated 6:25 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Hartman Donato
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Kapanen–Mikheyev skated 7:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (69.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Kapanen Mikheyev
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Marner–Moore skated 7:06 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Marner Moore

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · TOR 62 · MIN 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 23% of the game, TOR 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TOR
	43	66
	1.22	3.73
	1.21	3.63
	7	6
	8	5
	17	18
	+0.013	−0.013
	23%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Foligno – Eriksson Ek – Kunin
11:1252% CF
L2Koivu – Parise – Zucker
11:0722% CF
L3Staal – Hartman – Donato
6:2527% CF
L4Rask – Greenway – Mayhew
4:31100% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
17:0236% CF
D2Suter – Spurgeon
15:4842% CF
D3Hunt – Soucy
12:0739% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Parise – Dumba – Donato
3:02100% CF
PP2Koivu – Spurgeon – Zucker – Rask – Hunt
2:29100% CF
PK1FKoivu – Kunin
0:58
PK2FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
0:12
PK1DBrodin – Dumba
1:13
PK2DSpurgeon – Soucy
0:41

Current MIN line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
12:1968% CF
L2Shore – Gauthier – Timashov
9:0850% CF
L3Kerfoot – Kapanen – Mikheyev
7:2369% CF
L4Tavares – Marner – Moore
7:0667% CF
D1Muzzin – Barrie
18:0767% CF
D2Rielly – Ceci
16:5456% CF
D3Marincin – Holl
11:0860% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:11100% CF
PP2Rielly – Kerfoot – Kapanen – Matthews – Moore
0:270% CF
PK1FGauthier – Kapanen
1:09
PK2FShore – Marner
1:03
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
4:21
PK2DHoll – Rielly
0:56

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Kunin C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.11	0	1	0	15:13	—	—	50	30
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	3	0	0	14:51	—	—	52	32
Marcus Foligno L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.47	6	1	0	14:46	—	—	50	32
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	18:18	—	—	21	8
Zach Parise L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	2	2	0	16:54	—	—	28	16
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	1	0	16:54	—	—	28	14
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	1	2	15:59	—	—	25	17
Eric Staal C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	3	0	0	14:59	—	—	36	25
Ryan Donato C	L3	0	1	1	0	5	0.29	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	35	20
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	2	1	0	12:58	—	—	44	13
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:57	—	—	71	58
Gerry Mayhew C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.08	3	0	0	10:09	—	—	47	15
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.12	4	3	0	23:20	—	—	36	34
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	20:00	—	—	39	44
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	1	0	2	22:47	—	—	36	7
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	1	0	2	21:57	—	—	46	9
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	2	0	17:59	—	—	41	37
Carson Soucy D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:20	—	—	39	38

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	4.33	59:36

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.28	0	0	0	17:42	—	—	61	85
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	1	1	2	0	3	1.22	0	0	0	16:50	—	—	64	87
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	1.44	0	0	0	15:30	—	—	69	92
Frederik Gauthier C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:22	—	—	38	32
Nicholas Shore C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	0	1	0	12:57	—	—	44	43
Dmytro Timashov L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	2	1	0	10:41	—	—	40	33
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	15:47	—	—	71	84
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	14:30	—	—	63	52
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	4	13:04	—	—	65	52
Mitch Marner R	L4	1	2	3	+2	3	0.22	1	1	0	17:18	—	—	61	64
John Tavares C	L4	1	0	1	+2	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	61	81
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.30	2	0	0	12:59	—	—	71	60
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.06	0	2	0	24:20	—	—	66	87
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	20:22	—	—	68	88
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.09	1	2	0	24:03	—	—	54	67
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	4	4	+2	6	0.19	0	0	2	21:44	—	—	59	69
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	13:41	—	—	54	67
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	12:50	—	—	64	72

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	1.94	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 15, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs