Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 24, 2022

FinalThursday, Feb 24, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	1	0	1		MIN	6	11	13	30
TOR	0	1	2	3		TOR	5	10	10	25

: MIN 57TOR 50
: MIN 2.54TOR 2.60
PP goals: MIN 0TOR 0
Hits: MIN 21TOR 14
Blocks: MIN 13TOR 16
PIM: MIN 4TOR 8
: MIN 30%TOR 70%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 3–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 3–1 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Ilya Mikheyev (TOR) played 4:39, −10:49 down on his 15:28 season average over 52 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:06.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:10.Marner
Usage
Ilya Mikheyev (TOR) played 4:39, −10:49 down on his 15:28 season average over 52 games.Mikheyev
New line
New look for MIN: Foligno–Bjugstad–Eriksson Ek skated 9:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Foligno Bjugstad Eriksson Ek
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Nylander–Kase skated 6:04 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Nylander Kase
Luck
MIN scored 1 goal on 2.54 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
John Tavares (TOR) played 15:06, −3:01 down on his 18:07 season average over 78 games.Tavares
Usage
Nico Sturm (MIN) played 7:09, −4:49 down on his 11:58 season average over 73 games.Sturm

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · TOR 50 · MIN 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 35% of the game, TOR 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TOR
	49	49
	1.97	1.75
	1.95	1.74
	5	4
	1	10
	17	36
	−0.204	+0.204
	35%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
10:5644% CF
L2Foligno – Bjugstad – Eriksson Ek
9:3238% CF
L3Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy
9:2068% CF
L4Duhaime – Dewar – Sturm
6:2154% CF
D1Kulikov – Brodin
16:5569% CF
D2Goligoski – Spurgeon
14:4942% CF
D3Merrill – Addison
8:2822% CF

PP1Spurgeon – Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
4:1389% CF
PP2Foligno – Hartman – Gaudreau – Fiala – Addison
2:2450% CF
PK1FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
1:25
PK2FGaudreau – Fiala
1:01
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
2:02
PK2DGoligoski – Merrill
1:01

Current MIN line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
14:0848% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Kase
6:0457% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
2:42
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Mikheyev
0:00
D1Brodie – Rielly
15:2132% CF
D2Sandin – Lyubushkin
11:5147% CF
D3Dermott – Liljegren
10:5965% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:24100% CF
PP2Spezza – Bunting – Kase – Sandin – Mikheyev
1:00
PK1FEngvall – Kase
2:36
PK2FKerfoot – Kampf
1:24
PK1DBrodie – Liljegren
3:35
PK2DRielly – Lyubushkin
0:50

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

8:37
MINFrederick Gaudreau (Matt Boldy, Kevin Fiala)snap0.13 xG
MIN: Kulikov, Brodin, Gaudreau, Fiala, BoldyTOR: Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
MIN 1 – 0 TOR
9:04
TORAuston Matthews (Timothy Liljegren, Travis Dermott)wrist0.07 xG
MIN: Kulikov, Brodin, Hartman, Fiala, BoldyTOR: Brodie, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
MIN 1 – 1 TOR

3rd period

10:22
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner)wrist0.12 xG
MIN: Kulikov, Merrill, Duhaime, Dewar, SturmTOR: Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin
MIN 1 – 2 TOR
19:18
TORAlexander KerfootEN (Mitch Marner, John Tavares)wrist0.85 xG
MIN: Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, KaprizovTOR: Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner
MIN 1 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	20:24	—	—	47	57
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	2	2	0	19:40	—	—	40	49
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	1	0	0	19:23	—	—	36	40
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.40	3	2	0	19:55	—	—	46	48
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	6	1	0	19:25	—	—	36	40
Nick Bjugstad C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:24	—	—	40	15
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.22	1	0	2	17:14	—	—	62	70
Matt Boldy L	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.12	1	0	0	17:02	—	—	65	80
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.47	0	0	0	16:24	—	—	64	85
Brandon Duhaime L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.34	3	0	0	9:12	—	—	55	60
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	1	0	0	8:37	—	—	53	38
Nico Sturm C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	0	0	7:09	—	—	50	32
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	22:16	—	—	72	75
Dmitry Kulikov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	2	2	19:24	—	—	64	64
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	2	0	25:18	—	—	47	51
Alex Goligoski D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	19:09	—	—	41	34
Calen Addison D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:08	—	—	20	13
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:01	—	—	27	10

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kaapo Kahkonen(start)	L	24	22	2	.917	1.75	57:55

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.15	0	0	0	22:10	—	—	47	51
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	0	2	+1	4	0.35	1	1	0	20:06	—	—	47	53
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.26	1	0	2	18:24	—	—	50	58
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	0	1	0	16:45	—	—	48	45
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:06	—	—	57	51
Ondrej Kase R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:29	—	—	57	43
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	17:07	—	—	27	3
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.85	1	1	0	14:58	—	—	38	35
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:30	—	—	57	11
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	2	0	0	9:37	—	—	67	59
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	8:55	—	—	42	64
Ilya Mikheyev R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:39	—	—	0	0
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	1	5	0	24:48	—	—	32	30
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	0	1	0	23:46	—	—	38	36
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	2	18:01	—	—	48	61
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	2	16:22	—	—	47	52
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.11	2	0	0	18:38	—	—	67	47
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.20	0	1	0	15:01	—	—	67	58

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.54	59:38

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.