Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 24, 2023

Final / OTFriday, Feb 24, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
MIN	1	0	0	0	1		MIN	6	12	7	0	25
TOR	1	0	0	1	2		TOR	9	10	3	2	24

: MIN 65TOR 55
: MIN 3.27TOR 2.43
PP goals: MIN 0TOR 0
Hits: MIN 42TOR 27
Blocks: MIN 18TOR 26
PIM: MIN 4TOR 2
: MIN 29%TOR 71%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Minnesota Wild 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 2–1 in overtime at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. MIN scored 1 goal on 3.27 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:41.Nylander
Luck
MIN scored 1 goal on 3.27 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Alex Goligoski (MIN) played 22:54, +5:21 up on his 17:33 season average over 45 games.Goligoski
Usage
Jake Middleton (MIN) played 23:37, +4:38 up on his 18:59 season average over 78 games.Middleton
Usage
Noel Acciari (TOR) played 10:23, −3:59 down on his 14:22 season average over 76 games.Acciari
Usage
Pierre Engvall (TOR) played 9:51, −3:50 down on his 13:41 season average over 75 games.Engvall
Usage
Calen Addison (MIN) played 13:08, −3:02 down on his 16:10 season average over 61 games.Addison
Usage
Mats Zuccarello (MIN) played 17:13, −3:01 down on his 20:14 season average over 77 games.Zuccarello

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TOR 55 · MIN 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 29% of the game, TOR 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	TOR
	72	53
	3.54	2.28
	3.35	2.22
	13	6
	1	6
	26	25
	−0.167	+0.167
	29%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
12:3970% CF
L2Foligno – Eriksson Ek – Boldy
10:3955% CF
L3Reaves – Shaw – Dewar
8:2510% CF
L4Gaudreau – Greenway – Duhaime
8:2060% CF
D1Spurgeon – Middleton
19:4658% CF
D2Goligoski – Dumba
19:0867% CF
D3Mermis – Addison
9:4040% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Addison – Boldy
1:55100% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
2:21
PK2FShaw – Dewar
0:53
PK1DSpurgeon – Middleton
1:05
PK2DGoligoski – Mermis
0:45

Current MIN line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
11:2437% CF
L2O'Reilly – Tavares – Marner
10:2158% CF
L3Kerfoot – Acciari – Aston-Reese
6:1558% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Engvall – Kampf
5:4050% CF
D1Holl – Rielly
14:5843% CF
D2Giordano – Liljegren
14:5041% CF
D3Brodie – Timmins
13:0137% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:42100% CF
PP2O'Reilly – Jarnkrok – Bunting – Timmins – Liljegren
0:4875% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
0:47
PK2FAcciari – Kampf
0:44
PK1DGiordano – Liljegren
0:47
PK2DBrodie – Holl
0:44

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:10
MINBrandon Duhaime (Frederick Gaudreau)snap0.52 xG
MIN: Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Middleton, Greenway, DuhaimeTOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf
MIN 1 – 0 TOR
16:07
TORDavid Kampf (William Nylander, Mark Giordano)wrist0.14 xG
MIN: Zuccarello, Hartman, Mermis, Kaprizov, AddisonTOR: Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Liljegren, Kampf
MIN 1 – 1 TOR

OT period

1:05
TORWilliam Nylanderwrist0.25 xG
MIN: Goligoski, Gaudreau, BoldyTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Matthews
MIN 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.40	4	0	0	21:07	—	—	71	48
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	70	48
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	3	0	0	16:44	—	—	72	54
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.98	3	1	0	21:36	—	—	61	76
Matt Boldy L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	0	0	0	18:56	—	—	52	36
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	6	1	0	14:35	—	—	58	73
Ryan Reaves R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	4	1	0	11:34	—	—	35	29
Mason Shaw C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:56	—	—	17	27
Connor Dewar C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	0	0	10:02	—	—	25	30
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	14:24	—	—	44	69
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	2	0	0	11:46	—	—	57	82
Brandon Duhaime L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.67	6	0	0	11:20	—	—	71	95
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	3	5	0	24:39	—	—	58	62
Jake Middleton D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	1	4	2	23:37	—	—	59	60
Alex Goligoski D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	0	0	22:54	—	—	67	77
Mathew Dumba D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	2	22:11	—	—	63	71
Calen Addison D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	1	0	13:08	—	—	46	30
Dakota Mermis D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:54	—	—	41	38

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Filip Gustavsson(start)	O	24	22	2	.917	2.43	60:44

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.41	2	4	0	20:25	—	—	35	30
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.43	0	1	0	17:41	—	—	44	31
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	35	38
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.44	0	1	2	22:09	—	—	43	54
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	4	0	0	17:27	—	—	48	60
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	50	63
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:37	—	—	40	40
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	3	2	0	10:23	—	—	63	82
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	8:00	—	—	64	70
David Kampf C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.15	1	1	0	15:22	—	—	31	21
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	14:52	—	—	40	24
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:51	—	—	30	9
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	2	2	0	21:56	—	—	49	56
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	3	0	19:52	—	—	45	25
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	2	0	20:13	—	—	44	37
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	1	3	0	19:55	—	—	45	31
TJ Brodie D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	20:38	—	—	32	47
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:46	—	—	44	51

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	3.27	61:03

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.