Minnesota Wild vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 20, 2018

FinalThursday, Dec 20, 2018· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	0	0	1		MIN	17	10	14	41
PIT	1	0	1	2		PIT	14	11	12	37

: MIN 62PIT 56
: MIN 3.06PIT 3.79
PP goals: MIN 0PIT 0
Hits: MIN 29PIT 27
Blocks: MIN 8PIT 16
PIM: MIN 6PIT 6
: MIN 40%PIT 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins edge Minnesota Wild 2–1

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Minnesota Wild 2–1 at home. Bryan Rust (PIT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Casey DeSmith (PIT) faced 41 shots and stopped 40 (.976), +12 against a season average of 29.4; the win.

Points
Bryan Rust had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:30.Rust
Points
Jake Guentzel had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:16.Guentzel
Goalie
Casey DeSmith (PIT) faced 41 shots and stopped 40 (.976), +12 against a season average of 29.4; the win.DeSmith
New line
New look for MIN: Koivu–Parise–Niederreiter skated 11:30 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (78.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Koivu Parise Niederreiter
New line
New look for PIT: Cullen–Sheahan–Aston-Reese skated 8:21 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cullen Sheahan Aston-Reese
Goalie
Devan Dubnyk (MIN) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +9 against a season average of 28.0; the loss.Dubnyk
Luck
MIN scored 1 goal on 3.06 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for MIN: Coyle–Greenway–Kunin skated 11:12 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Coyle Greenway Kunin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · PIT 56 · MIN 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 33% of the game, PIT 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	PIT
	62	54
	2.90	3.34
	2.80	3.32
	14	12
	5	4
	11	10
	−0.111	+0.111
	33%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Staal – Zucker – Granlund
13:1366% CF
L2Koivu – Parise – Niederreiter
11:3079% CF
L3Coyle – Greenway – Kunin
11:1243% CF
L4Fehr – Foligno – Eriksson Ek
7:428% CF
D1Suter – Spurgeon
18:4757% CF
D2Pateryn – Brodin
17:5548% CF
D3Prosser – Seeler
7:3938% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Zucker – Coyle – Granlund
2:00100% CF
PP2Koivu – Staal – Parise – Spurgeon – Brodin
0:50
PK1FKoivu – Parise
1:02
PK2FFehr – Foligno
1:00
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
2:33
PK2DPateryn – Brodin
0:55

Current MIN line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
11:4756% CF
L2Cullen – Sheahan – Aston-Reese
8:2143% CF
L3Malkin – Kessel – Simon
6:4038% CF
L4Hornqvist – Brassard – Pearson
4:5750% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
15:5157% CF
D2Johnson – Pettersson
12:5437% CF
D3Maatta – Riikola
11:4148% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – Kessel
3:28100% CF
PP2Brassard – Pearson – Guentzel – Pettersson – Riikola
0:43
PK1FCullen – Rust
1:00
PK2FCrosby – Guentzel
0:59
PK1DJohnson – Maatta
1:37
PK2DLetang – Dumoulin
1:24

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:13
MINJordan Greenway (Charlie Coyle, Jonas Brodin)snap0.02 xG
MIN: Prosser, Coyle, Seeler, Greenway, KuninPIT: Hornqvist, Brassard, Pearson, Maatta, Riikola
MIN 1 – 0 PIT
13:30
PITBryan Rust (Jake Guentzel)wrist0.16 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, GranlundPIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel
MIN 1 – 1 PIT

3rd period

8:12
PITBryan Rust (Jake Guentzel)snap0.04 xG
MIN: Koivu, Parise, Pateryn, Niederreiter, BrodinPIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel
MIN 1 – 2 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Eric Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.32	1	0	0	18:00	—	—	64	62
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.58	0	0	2	16:53	—	—	62	67
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.60	0	0	2	16:18	—	—	62	59
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.26	1	1	0	17:25	—	—	71	70
Zach Parise L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	0	1	0	16:48	—	—	75	81
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	3	0	0	13:36	—	—	68	54
Charlie Coyle C	L3	0	1	1	+1	7	0.71	3	0	0	16:49	—	—	46	42
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	4	1	0	14:27	—	—	48	41
Jordan Greenway L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	13:09	—	—	41	39
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:00	—	—	28	0
Marcus Foligno L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	10:39	—	—	24	0
Eric Fehr C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:49	—	—	8	0
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	1	0	0	28:20	—	—	60	69
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	0	25:28	—	—	60	61
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.05	2	1	2	23:59	—	—	52	63
Greg Pateryn D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	4	0	0	21:05	—	—	48	44
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:35	—	—	50	6
Nate Prosser D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	5	1	0	9:08	—	—	37	2

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	37	35	2	.946	3.79	59:32

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.16	1	0	0	19:45	—	—	56	46
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.30	1	1	0	17:16	—	—	57	49
Bryan Rust R	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	0.27	1	1	0	15:30	—	—	50	40
Riley Sheahan C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:18	—	—	36	49
Matt Cullen C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.71	1	0	0	12:05	—	—	39	49
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.34	3	0	0	10:57	—	—	43	78
Evgeni Malkin C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	2	18:07	—	—	41	36
Phil Kessel R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	50	77
Dominik Simon C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	1	0	12:56	—	—	47	47
Patric Hornqvist R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.99	1	0	0	15:53	—	—	44	38
Derick Brassard C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	3	0	0	13:59	—	—	50	75
Tanner Pearson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	2	2	0	13:02	—	—	48	73
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	+2	6	0.18	1	0	0	26:37	—	—	58	54
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.07	3	0	0	21:07	—	—	56	54
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	6	2	18:18	—	—	39	75
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	16:13	—	—	33	72
Olli Maatta D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	4	0	17:39	—	—	47	41
Juuso Riikola D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	2	0	2	16:23	—	—	44	37

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	W	41	40	1	.976	3.06	59:49

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.