Minnesota Wild vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 5, 2019

Final / SOTuesday, Mar 5, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
MIN	1	1	2	0	0	4		MIN	12	6	14	1	33
NSH	1	1	2	0	1	5		NSH	9	8	8	0	25

: MIN 60NSH 53
: MIN 3.36NSH 2.03
PP goals: MIN 0NSH 1
Hits: MIN 14NSH 20
Blocks: MIN 14NSH 16
PIM: MIN 2NSH 8
: MIN 46%NSH 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Minnesota Wild 5–4 (SO)

Nashville Predators beat Minnesota Wild 5–4 in a shootout at home. Kevin Fiala (MIN) led the scoring with 2G 0A. NSH's first power-play unit (Boyle, Subban, Smith, Johansen and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:12 together.

Points
Kevin Fiala had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:16.Fiala
Points
Viktor Arvidsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:56.Arvidsson
Points
Rocco Grimaldi had 2 assists (2 points) in 9:51.Grimaldi
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Boyle, Subban, Smith, Johansen and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:12 together.Boyle Subban Smith Johansen Arvidsson
Usage
Jared Spurgeon (MIN) played 28:52, +4:47 up on his 24:05 season average over 81 games.Spurgeon
New line
New look for NSH: Boyle–Jarnkrok–Sissons skated 7:32 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (90% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Boyle Jarnkrok Sissons
Luck
NSH scored 4 goals on 2.03 expected goals (53 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
P.K. Subban (NSH) played 27:05, +4:29 up on his 22:36 season average over 62 games.Subban

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · NSH 53 · MIN 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 43% of the game, NSH 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	NSH
	62	61
	3.61	2.26
	3.50	2.19
	17	7
	2	7
	23	17
	−0.077	+0.077
	43%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Parise – Fiala – Kunin
12:0839% CF
L2Fehr – Foligno – Brown
8:1973% CF
L3Staal – Zucker – Greenway
6:4739% CF
L4Aberg – Donato – Eriksson Ek
5:5367% CF
D1Suter – Spurgeon
22:4155% CF
D2Pateryn – Brodin
14:4736% CF
D3Bitetto – Hunt
9:5356% CF

PP1Suter – Parise – Aberg – Fiala – Kunin
2:53
PP2Staal – Spurgeon – Zucker – Hunt – Donato
2:22100% CF
PK1FFehr – Foligno
1:12
PK1DPateryn – Brodin
1:12

Current MIN line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
14:1163% CF
L2Bonino – Simmonds – Grimaldi
7:4550% CF
L3Boyle – Jarnkrok – Sissons
7:3290% CF
L4Turris – Smith – Granlund
7:2429% CF
D1Subban – Ekholm
21:2956% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
18:0153% CF
D3Donovan – Irwin
10:4932% CF

PP1Boyle – Subban – Smith – Johansen – Arvidsson
1:12100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:51
PK2FForsberg – Arvidsson
0:17
PK1DJosi – Ellis
4:19
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
1:34

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: MIN 4 – 5 NSH.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	2	0	0	19:54	—	—	49	35
Kevin Fiala L	L1	2	0	2	0	2	0.16	1	0	0	19:16	—	—	41	32
Zach Parise L	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.16	1	0	0	17:55	—	—	39	24
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.16	2	2	0	12:19	—	—	74	87
JT Brown R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	3	0	0	10:54	—	—	75	86
Eric Fehr C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.50	0	0	0	10:32	—	—	69	83
Eric Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.21	1	0	0	21:41	—	—	44	44
Jason Zucker L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	1	2	17:42	—	—	35	36
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	0	1	0	15:29	—	—	45	65
Ryan Donato C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	0	0	0	19:01	—	—	50	51
Pontus Aberg L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	15:18	—	—	55	84
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.81	1	0	0	13:50	—	—	57	83
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	31:13	—	—	54	59
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.02	0	1	0	28:52	—	—	58	69
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	2	0	21:16	—	—	50	68
Greg Pateryn D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	1	5	0	15:59	—	—	36	62
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.12	0	0	0	15:06	—	—	63	63
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	0	1	0	11:10	—	—	46	49

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	O	25	21	4	.840	2.03	64:10

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	1	2	-1	3	0.25	1	0	0	19:56	—	—	61	42
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	4	0	4	19:43	—	—	55	39
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.28	2	0	0	17:12	—	—	59	40
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.05	0	2	0	16:38	—	—	44	60
Wayne Simmonds R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	2	0	0	10:01	—	—	47	46
Rocco Grimaldi R	L2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:51	—	—	46	58
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	0	0	17:37	—	—	70	59
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:28	—	—	45	26
Brian Boyle C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.32	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	50	29
Mikael Granlund C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	2	16:10	—	—	40	15
Craig Smith C	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.32	0	0	0	16:09	—	—	44	38
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:43	—	—	24	8
P.K. Subban D	D1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.20	1	0	0	27:05	—	—	54	33
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.11	0	2	0	26:09	—	—	57	36
Roman Josi D	D2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.18	0	3	0	26:02	—	—	54	57
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	2	0	24:29	—	—	53	53
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	2	11:56	—	—	27	30
Matt Donovan D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	3	0	11:18	—	—	35	38

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	33	29	4	.879	3.36	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 5, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Nashville Predators edge Minnesota Wild 5–4 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Nashville Predators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Nashville Predators