Minnesota Wild vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 3, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 3, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	2	0	2		MIN	6	6	12	24
NSH	0	1	4	5		NSH	14	8	10	32

: MIN 46NSH 68
: MIN 1.97NSH 3.76
PP goals: MIN 1NSH 0
Hits: MIN 19NSH 17
Blocks: MIN 18NSH 12
PIM: MIN 4NSH 4
: MIN 42%NSH 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Minnesota Wild 5–2

Nashville Predators beat Minnesota Wild 5–2 at home. Matt Duchene (NSH) led the scoring with 0G 3A. MIN's first power-play unit (Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt and Fiala) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:23 together.

Points
Matt Duchene had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 18:31.Duchene
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 18:52.Forsberg
Points
Ryan Ellis had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:53.Ellis
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt and Fiala) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:23 together.Koivu Spurgeon Zucker Hunt Fiala
Usage
Ryan Johansen (NSH) played 13:25, −3:42 down on his 17:07 season average over 67 games.Johansen
Usage
Calle Jarnkrok (NSH) played 10:40, −5:21 down on his 16:01 season average over 63 games.Jarnkrok
Usage
Eric Staal (MIN) played 13:40, −3:31 down on his 17:11 season average over 65 games.Staal
Usage
Zach Parise (MIN) played 13:56, −3:19 down on his 17:15 season average over 68 games.Parise

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · NSH 68 · MIN 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 23% of the game, NSH 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	NSH
	48	66
	2.02	2.50
	1.91	2.45
	8	8
	7	2
	23	14
	−0.062	+0.062
	23%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Donato – Greenway – Kunin
11:4145% CF
L2Koivu – Zucker – Fiala
11:2447% CF
L3Staal – Parise – Zuccarello
10:1939% CF
L4Foligno – Hartman – Eriksson Ek
10:1635% CF
D1Suter – Dumba
18:5439% CF
D2Spurgeon – Brodin
16:0057% CF
D3Seeler – Hunt
9:5632% CF

PP1Koivu – Spurgeon – Zucker – Hunt – Fiala
2:23100% CF
PP2Staal – Suter – Parise – Zuccarello – Dumba
2:0550% CF
PK1FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
1:44
PK2FKoivu – Kunin
1:12
PK1DSuter – Dumba
1:59
PK2DSpurgeon – Brodin
0:57

Current MIN line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
12:5455% CF
L2Bonino – Watson – Sissons
10:3647% CF
L3Smith – Johansen – Arvidsson
9:2171% CF
L4Turris – Jarnkrok – Grimaldi
7:2556% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
15:1856% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
14:5259% CF
D3Hamhuis – Weber
11:3460% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
2:41100% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
1:19100% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:58
PK2FJohansen – Arvidsson
1:08
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:44
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:43

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:37
NSHRyan Ellis (Filip Forsberg, Matt Duchene)tip-in0.05 xG
MIN: Staal, Parise, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, BrodinNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg
MIN 0 – 1 NSH
16:04
MINJason ZuckerPP (Brad Hunt, Mikko Koivu)tip-in0.11 xG
MIN: Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt, FialaNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Sissons
MIN 1 – 1 NSH
16:47
MINMathew Dumba (Marcus Foligno, Ryan Suter)wrist0.08 xG
MIN: Suter, Foligno, Dumba, Hartman, Eriksson EkNSH: Hamhuis, Weber, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg
MIN 2 – 1 NSH

3rd period

0:27
NSHMikael Granlund (Roman Josi, Matt Duchene)slap0.16 xG
MIN: Staal, Parise, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, BrodinNSH: Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg
MIN 2 – 2 NSH
1:56
NSHAustin Watson (Ryan Ellis, Nick Bonino)tip-in0.11 xG
MIN: Suter, Dumba, Donato, Greenway, KuninNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons
MIN 2 – 3 NSH
7:32
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Craig Smith, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.05 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Parise, Zuccarello, DumbaNSH: Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson
MIN 2 – 4 NSH
18:34
NSHFilip ForsbergEN (Mattias Ekholm, Matt Duchene)tip-in0.95 xG
MIN: Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Dumba, Fiala, KuninNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro
MIN 2 – 5 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.52	3	1	0	16:20	—	—	52	63
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	3	1	0	14:19	—	—	42	63
Ryan Donato C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	44	47
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	47	64
Kevin Fiala L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	1	0	16:18	—	—	47	64
Jason Zucker L	L2	1	0	1	-1	5	0.53	1	0	0	16:03	—	—	52	75
Mats Zuccarello R	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.09	0	0	2	16:07	—	—	39	25
Zach Parise L	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:56	—	—	42	20
Eric Staal C	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:40	—	—	42	19
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	14:13	—	—	35	30
Marcus Foligno L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	4	0	0	13:17	—	—	40	32
Ryan Hartman R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:24	—	—	30	20
Mathew Dumba D	D1	1	0	1	-2	3	0.16	2	2	0	25:24	—	—	41	55
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.07	2	2	0	24:13	—	—	38	46
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	2	0	21:40	—	—	48	33
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	1	2	0	20:06	—	—	55	37
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	14:31	—	—	29	32
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	36	67

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	2.81	59:16

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	+2	6	1.49	1	0	0	18:52	—	—	52	70
Mikael Granlund C	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.25	2	0	0	18:33	—	—	66	76
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	3	3	+2	1	0.44	0	0	0	18:31	—	—	54	73
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	48	44
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	15:27	—	—	58	47
Austin Watson L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	4	4	0	13:45	—	—	47	40
Viktor Arvidsson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.36	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	65	70
Craig Smith C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	2	1	2	14:20	—	—	73	79
Ryan Johansen C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	2	0	0	13:25	—	—	71	79
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	13:30	—	—	65	30
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	11:06	—	—	56	28
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	55	30
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	0	0	0	21:40	—	—	55	50
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	0	0	0	19:15	—	—	55	60
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	+3	3	0.21	0	1	2	23:39	—	—	60	69
Ryan Ellis D	D2	1	1	2	+4	3	0.18	0	4	0	21:53	—	—	58	70
Dan Hamhuis D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	52	28
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	13:32	—	—	63	50

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	1.97	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.