Minnesota Wild vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 5, 2017

FinalThursday, Oct 5, 2017· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	0	2	2		MIN	15	11	13	39
DET	0	2	2	4		DET	13	10	8	31

: MIN 60DET 54
: MIN 4.02DET 2.12
PP goals: MIN 0DET 2
Hits: MIN 19DET 13
Blocks: MIN 10DET 11
PIM: MIN 10DET 6
: MIN 54%DET 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Minnesota Wild 4–2

Detroit Red Wings beat Minnesota Wild 4–2 at home. Mike Green (DET) led the scoring with 0G 4A. Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +10 against a season average of 29.5; the win.

Points
Mike Green had 4 assists (4 points) in 23:41.Green
Points
Anthony Mantha had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 13:18.Mantha
Points
Chris Stewart had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:24.Stewart
Points
Martin Frk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 10:38.Frk
Goalie
Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +10 against a season average of 29.5; the win.Howard
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 15:04, −4:50 down on his 19:54 season average over 81 games.Larkin
Luck
MIN scored 2 goals on 4.02 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
DET scored 4 goals on 2.12 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · DET 54 · MIN 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 45% of the game, DET 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	DET
	52	47
	2.27	1.62
	2.15	1.56
	12	10
	4	4
	20	13
	+0.045	−0.045
	45%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Staal – Coyle – Niederreiter
11:1745% CF
L2Koivu – Zucker – Granlund
9:3757% CF
L3Cullen – Winnik – Ennis
9:0656% CF
L4Stewart – Foligno – Eriksson Ek
8:4745% CF
D1Suter – Spurgeon
18:0550% CF
D2Brodin – Dumba
15:0450% CF
D3Quincey – Reilly
9:5068% CF

PP1Koivu – Suter – Coyle – Granlund – Niederreiter
4:16100% CF
PP2Staal – Suter – Foligno – Zucker – Dumba
1:22100% CF
PK1FCullen – Winnik
2:32
PK2FStaal – Zucker
1:19
PK1DQuincey – Brodin
2:53
PK2DSuter – Spurgeon
2:23

Current MIN line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Nyquist – Tatar
11:5235% CF
L2Nielsen – Abdelkader – Helm
10:2640% CF
L3Frk – Mantha – Larkin
6:4356% CF
L4Booth – Sheahan – Glendening
5:2150% CF
D1Daley – DeKeyser
15:3847% CF
D2Green – Ouellet
9:2647% CF
D3Ericsson – Jensen
4:2929% CF

PP1Zetterberg – Daley – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Tatar
2:47100% CF
PP2Green – Sheahan – Frk – Mantha – Larkin
2:04100% CF
PK1FNielsen – Helm
2:33
PK2FGlendening – Larkin
1:34
PK1DDaley – DeKeyser
2:21
PK2DJensen – Ouellet
0:36

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

14:40
DETAnthony ManthaPP (Martin Frk, Mike Green)wrist0.06 xG
MIN: Koivu, Suter, SpurgeonDET: Zetterberg, Green, Tatar, Frk, Mantha
MIN 0 – 1 DET
15:03
DETDylan LarkinPP (Mike Green, Anthony Mantha)tip-in0.15 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, ZuckerDET: Green, Sheahan, Frk, Mantha, Larkin
MIN 0 – 2 DET

3rd period

2:00
MINJoel Eriksson Ek (Chris Stewart, Marcus Foligno)wrist0.04 xG
MIN: Quincey, Stewart, Foligno, Reilly, Eriksson EkDET: Ericsson, Jensen, Frk, Mantha, Larkin
MIN 1 – 2 DET
2:48
MINChris Stewart (Tyler Ennis, Kyle Quincey)wrist0.23 xG
MIN: Stewart, Ennis, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson EkDET: Green, Tatar, Sheahan, Ouellet, Glendening
MIN 2 – 2 DET
7:07
DETHenrik Zetterberg (Mike Green, Tomas Tatar)snap0.14 xG
MIN: Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, GranlundDET: Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Ouellet
MIN 2 – 3 DET
10:39
DETMartin Frk (Anthony Mantha, Mike Green)slap0.08 xG
MIN: Stewart, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson EkDET: Green, Ouellet, Frk, Mantha, Larkin
MIN 2 – 4 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Charlie Coyle C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	4	3	2	18:39	—	—	42	62
Eric Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	1	0	2	18:27	—	—	48	63
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.77	3	1	0	17:40	—	—	48	68
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	0	1	2	17:27	—	—	56	45
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.17	1	0	0	16:25	—	—	67	51
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.25	1	0	0	16:17	—	—	44	30
Daniel Winnik L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	2	2	2	12:55	—	—	60	55
Matt Cullen C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	12:53	—	—	58	54
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.34	2	0	0	12:04	—	—	65	69
Marcus Foligno L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.69	1	0	0	13:13	—	—	54	71
Chris Stewart R	L4	1	1	2	+1	1	0.33	2	0	0	11:24	—	—	44	62
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.13	0	0	0	10:56	—	—	50	67
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.18	0	1	0	28:34	—	—	50	51
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	23:52	—	—	50	51
Mathew Dumba D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	0	2	19:39	—	—	46	55
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:15	—	—	48	61
Kyle Quincey D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:51	—	—	59	63
Mike Reilly D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:58	—	—	68	76

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	2.12	58:19

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	0	0	0	21:36	—	—	44	34
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.16	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	50	41
Tomas Tatar L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	38	21
Darren Helm C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	18:52	—	—	54	60
Justin Abdelkader L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	18:08	—	—	39	50
Frans Nielsen C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.32	0	2	0	17:04	—	—	48	54
Dylan Larkin C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.24	1	1	0	15:04	—	—	48	42
Anthony Mantha R	L3	1	2	3	0	2	0.17	0	1	0	13:18	—	—	54	54
Martin Frk R	L3	1	1	2	0	2	0.27	1	0	0	10:38	—	—	55	42
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	12:01	—	—	44	29
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	0	9:25	—	—	50	38
David Booth L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	2	6:23	—	—	50	39
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	23:47	—	—	41	30
Trevor Daley D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	2	21:33	—	—	57	51
Mike Green D	D2	0	4	4	+1	0	0.10	0	1	2	23:41	—	—	44	40
Xavier Ouellet D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.08	0	1	0	19:00	—	—	59	52
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	50	45
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:35	—	—	38	28

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	W	39	37	2	.949	4.02	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.