Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo SabresNov 22, 2017

FinalWednesday, Nov 22, 2017· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	3	2	0	5		MIN	13	14	5	32
BUF	1	2	1	4		BUF	14	11	9	34

: MIN 44BUF 63
: MIN 1.94BUF 2.44
PP goals: MIN 2BUF 0
Hits: MIN 11BUF 18
Blocks: MIN 15BUF 7
PIM: MIN 6BUF 6
: MIN 55%BUF 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4

Minnesota Wild beat Buffalo Sabres 5–4 at BUF. Mikael Granlund (MIN) led the scoring with 2G 0A. MIN's first power-play unit (Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Granlund and Niederreiter) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 1:43 together.

Points
Jordan Nolan had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:06.Nolan
Points
Mikael Granlund had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:07.Granlund
Points
Nino Niederreiter had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:38.Niederreiter
Points
Mikko Koivu had 2 assists (2 points) on 7 shots in 20:05.Koivu
Points
Ryan Suter had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 29:04.Suter
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Granlund and Niederreiter) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 1:43 together.Koivu Suter Spurgeon Granlund Niederreiter
New line
New look for MIN: Koivu–Winnik–Granlund skated 12:30 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Koivu Winnik Granlund
Luck
MIN scored 5 goals on 1.94 expected goals (44 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · BUF 63 · MIN 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 30% of the game, BUF 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	BUF
	43	61
	1.66	2.31
	1.64	2.30
	6	8
	5	6
	18	12
	+0.015	−0.016
	30%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Koivu – Winnik – Granlund
12:3058% CF
L2Staal – Zucker – Niederreiter
11:5842% CF
L3Ennis – Foligno – Coyle
11:1162% CF
L4Cullen – Stewart – Mitchell
6:1114% CF
D1Suter – Spurgeon
19:2651% CF
D2Brodin – Dumba
17:1840% CF
D3Reilly – Olofsson
6:1214% CF

PP1Koivu – Suter – Spurgeon – Granlund – Niederreiter
1:43100% CF
PP2Staal – Zucker – Coyle – Reilly – Dumba
1:3767% CF
PK1FKoivu – Granlund
2:22
PK2FStaal – Winnik
1:51
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
3:42
PK2DBrodin – Dumba
1:24

Current MIN line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Kane – Eichel
13:3552% CF
L2Pouliot – O'Reilly – Reinhart
12:1260% CF
L3Okposo – Josefson – Nolan
9:0775% CF
L4Larsson – Girgensons – Criscuolo
2:2086% CF
D1McCabe – Antipin
14:5476% CF
D2Falk – Scandella
13:0247% CF
D3Gorges – Beaulieu
11:4356% CF

PP1Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly – Kane – Eichel
2:5688% CF
PP2O'Reilly – Kane – Reinhart – Eichel – Antipin
1:20100% CF
PK1FPouliot – Larsson
1:50
PK2FO'Reilly – Girgensons
0:43
PK1DFalk – Scandella
2:18

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Granlund C	L1	2	0	2	0	6	0.18	1	0	0	20:07	—	—	52	66
Mikko Koivu C	L1	0	2	2	+1	7	0.36	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	50	66
Daniel Winnik L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	54	64
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:58	—	—	41	62
Eric Staal C	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.07	0	2	0	17:17	—	—	43	75
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	2	0	2	0	4	0.61	0	0	0	16:38	—	—	39	63
Charlie Coyle C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	15:33	—	—	53	47
Marcus Foligno L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:33	—	—	44	59
Tyler Ennis R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.08	1	0	0	12:13	—	—	62	65
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:03	—	—	15	7
Zack Mitchell R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	1	0	0	8:54	—	—	18	9
Chris Stewart R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	6:57	—	—	20	3
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	2	2	0	2	0.24	0	2	0	29:04	—	—	49	50
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5	0	26:27	—	—	51	48
Mathew Dumba D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	1	0	0	23:23	—	—	42	50
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	0	2	2	22:15	—	—	35	43
Gustav Olofsson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	2	0	10:55	—	—	21	20
Mike Reilly D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	4	8:26	—	—	25	26

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	W	34	30	4	.882	2.44	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evander Kane L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	2	0	0	23:38	—	—	52	48
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	22:01	—	—	50	47
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.49	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	47	42
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	1	0	0	20:46	—	—	59	57
Sam Reinhart C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.28	1	1	0	18:53	—	—	54	47
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	1	2	17:54	—	—	61	53
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.63	1	1	0	19:24	—	—	65	88
Jacob Josefson C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	12:04	—	—	60	89
Jordan Nolan C	L3	2	0	2	+1	2	0.04	1	0	0	11:06	—	—	67	88
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	7:21	—	—	85	74
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:32	—	—	58	41
Kyle Criscuolo C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	5:07	—	—	80	69
Victor Antipin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	21:40	—	—	67	50
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.08	3	0	0	18:24	—	—	75	64
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.18	0	0	0	24:07	—	—	50	47
Justin Falk D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	1	0	18:27	—	—	50	49
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	1	2	18:49	—	—	57	63
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	4	0	2	13:59	—	—	52	62

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner	L	19	17	2	.895	1.37	38:48
Chad Johnson(start)	—	13	10	3	.769	0.57	20:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo SabresNov 22, 2017

Fantasy takeaways

Minnesota Wild edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres