Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo SabresNov 10, 2023

FinalFriday, Nov 10, 2023· KeyBank Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	0	1	2		MIN	10	14	11	35
BUF	1	1	1	3		BUF	11	6	8	25

: MIN 80BUF 55
: MIN 4.45BUF 2.34
PP goals: MIN 2BUF 0
Hits: MIN 31BUF 20
Blocks: MIN 18BUF 22
PIM: MIN 8BUF 10
: MIN 73%BUF 27%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 3–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Minnesota Wild 3–2 at home. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. MIN's first power-play unit (Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy) scored 2 power-play goals on 14 attempts in 4:07 together.

Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:42.Skinner
Points
JJ Peterka had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:47.Peterka
Points
Kirill Kaprizov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:56.Kaprizov
Points
Mats Zuccarello had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:16.Zuccarello
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Johansson, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy) scored 2 power-play goals on 14 attempts in 4:07 together.Johansson Zuccarello Eriksson Ek Kaprizov Boldy
Luck
MIN scored 2 goals on 4.45 expected goals (80 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Devon Levi (BUF) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +6 against a season average of 29.0; the win.Levi
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Thompson–Cozens skated 4:50 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Thompson Cozens

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · BUF 55 · MIN 80

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 48% of the game, BUF 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	BUF
	55	43
	2.92	1.76
	2.69	1.70
	18	4
	1	0
	10	6
	+0.151	−0.151
	48%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
8:4565% CF
L2Maroon – Foligno – Eriksson Ek
7:4567% CF
L3Duhaime – Lettieri – Dewar
7:1715% CF
L4Johansson – Boldy – Rossi
7:0750% CF
D1Brodin – Faber
14:0163% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
12:4556% CF
D3Bogosian – Mermis
11:1844% CF

PP1Johansson – Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
4:0782% CF
PP2Maroon – Spurgeon – Hartman – Lettieri – Rossi
1:3150% CF
PK1FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
2:11
PK2FDuhaime – Dewar
1:14
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
4:10
PK2DMiddleton – Faber
1:08

Current MIN line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
6:4736% CF
L2Greenway – Mittelstadt – Peterka
5:3436% CF
L3Skinner – Thompson – Cozens
4:5064% CF
L4Krebs – Rousek – Savoie
3:1167% CF
D1Dahlin – Johnson
14:1843% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
14:0354% CF
D3Johnson – Clifton
8:4624% CF

PP1Skinner – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Cozens
4:4383% CF
PP2Okposo – Krebs – Rousek – Peterka – Power
0:38100% CF
PK1FSkinner – Cozens
1:36
PK2FGreenway – Thompson
1:35
PK1DJohnson – Clifton
2:11
PK2DDahlin – Johnson
1:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	1	1	2	-1	4	0.67	0	0	2	20:56	—	—	65	81
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	2	2	-1	6	0.53	0	0	0	19:16	—	—	61	77
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-2	5	0.95	1	1	0	15:22	—	—	64	79
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	1	0	1	-1	7	0.78	0	0	2	19:47	—	—	82	59
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	9	1	0	15:29	—	—	75	51
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	2	0	0	14:48	—	—	64	55
Vinni Lettieri C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	3	0	0	11:11	—	—	21	4
Connor Dewar C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:59	—	—	27	4
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	4	1	0	9:55	—	—	21	2
Matt Boldy L	L4	0	1	1	-1	4	0.52	0	1	0	17:02	—	—	65	66
Marcus Johansson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	16:55	—	—	53	60
Marco Rossi C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	0	0	15:02	—	—	50	56
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	4	0	23:31	—	—	63	64
Brock Faber D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.13	1	1	2	19:26	—	—	60	62
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	2	3	0	21:52	—	—	61	68
Jake Middleton D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	2	0	16:08	—	—	57	64
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	2	13:30	—	—	44	44
Dakota Mermis D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	12:36	—	—	39	34

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Filip Gustavsson(start)	L	25	22	3	.880	2.34	58:15

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	14:40	—	—	29	8
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.39	3	1	0	14:29	—	—	29	8
Tyson Jost C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:29	—	—	27	8
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	2	3	2	22:31	—	—	46	30
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	0	2	4	22:18	—	—	46	37
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.39	0	0	2	15:47	—	—	45	42
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.14	0	2	0	21:16	—	—	48	50
Jeff Skinner L	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	0.61	2	0	0	18:42	—	—	48	53
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	0	0	14:05	—	—	42	32
Lukas Rousek R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:14	—	—	64	55
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:05	—	—	67	96
Matt Savoie C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	3:55	—	—	50	90
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	5	2	0	25:43	—	—	44	41
Ryan Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	1	0	2	18:00	—	—	44	23
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.11	0	3	0	22:18	—	—	55	47
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	1	0	0	17:46	—	—	54	40
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	15:47	—	—	30	46
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	5	0	14:22	—	—	26	19

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devon Levi(start)	W	35	33	2	.943	4.45	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Henri Jokiharju (BUF) 1st 18:02 · assists Owen Power · Forecheck turnover · 66.2 mph shot.

Henri Jokiharju · 1st 18:02 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 66.2 mph
Distance: 56 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 19:30 · MIN PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 56.4 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 19:02 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 16.8 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

JJ Peterka · 3rd 3:33 · BUF

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 41.3 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 3.2 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 12:27 · MIN PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 5-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 46.2 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 4.0 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo SabresNov 10, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 3–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

Henri Jokiharju · 1st 18:02 · BUF

Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 19:30 · MIN PP

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 19:02 · BUF

JJ Peterka · 3rd 3:33 · BUF

Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 12:27 · MIN PP