Minnesota Wild vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 5, 2019

FinalSaturday, Jan 5, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	3	1	4		MIN	8	13	5	26
OTT	1	1	1	3		OTT	15	4	8	27

: MIN 58OTT 60
: MIN 3.02OTT 1.93
PP goals: MIN 0OTT 0
Hits: MIN 24OTT 26
Blocks: MIN 18OTT 16
PIM: MIN 2OTT 6
: MIN 56%OTT 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Ottawa Senators 4–3

Minnesota Wild beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 at OTT. Zach Parise (MIN) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Maxime Lajoie (OTT) played 10:49, −8:14 down on his 19:03 season average over 55 games.

Points
Zach Parise had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 17:20.Parise
Points
Jared Spurgeon had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:36.Spurgeon
Points
Charlie Coyle had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:44.Coyle
Points
Luke Kunin had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:03.Kunin
Usage
Maxime Lajoie (OTT) played 10:49, −8:14 down on his 19:03 season average over 55 games.Lajoie
New line
New look for MIN: Koivu–Zucker–Niederreiter skated 7:04 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Koivu Zucker Niederreiter
New line
New look for MIN: Staal–Granlund–Greenway skated 6:36 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Granlund Greenway
Usage
Matt Duchene (OTT) played 21:52, +3:04 up on his 18:48 season average over 72 games.Duchene

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · OTT 60 · MIN 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 33% of the game, OTT 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	OTT
	59	66
	2.89	2.04
	2.69	1.99
	11	16
	6	6
	20	18
	+0.033	−0.033
	33%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Parise – Coyle – Kunin
12:3758% CF
L2Hendricks – Fehr – Foligno
7:1133% CF
L3Koivu – Zucker – Niederreiter
7:0463% CF
L4Staal – Granlund – Greenway
6:3655% CF
D1Pateryn – Brodin
19:5950% CF
D2Suter – Spurgeon
19:5850% CF
D3Seeler – Murphy
8:0030% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Parise – Zucker – Granlund
2:55100% CF
PP2Koivu – Spurgeon – Coyle – Niederreiter – Greenway
2:33100% CF
PK1FFehr – Foligno
1:07
PK2FCoyle – Kunin
0:35
PK1DPateryn – Brodin
1:07
PK2DSuter – Spurgeon
0:45

Current MIN line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Stone – White – Tkachuk
11:2458% CF
L2Smith – Boedker – Tierney
11:0254% CF
L3Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
10:4343% CF
D1DeMelo – Harpur
12:5335% CF
D2Borowiecki – Jaros
8:4648% CF
D3Ceci – Wolanin
7:4163% CF

PP1Duchene – Stone – White – Wolanin – Tkachuk
1:23100% CF
PP2Ryan – Boedker – Dzingel – Tierney – Lajoie
0:35100% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
3:00
PK2FStone – Tierney
1:55
PK1DCeci – Harpur
2:31
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:55

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Charlie Coyle C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	2	1	0	19:44	—	—	63	60
Zach Parise L	L1	1	2	3	+3	1	0.20	2	0	0	17:20	—	—	56	70
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	2	2	+3	1	0.20	0	0	0	15:03	—	—	63	73
Eric Fehr C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.34	0	2	0	10:09	—	—	33	51
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	9:26	—	—	33	48
Matt Hendricks C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	8:11	—	—	33	48
Jason Zucker L	L3	0	0	0	0	6	0.32	2	2	0	18:27	—	—	48	46
Mikko Koivu C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	1	0	2	18:09	—	—	49	57
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	16:28	—	—	53	56
Mikael Granlund C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:51	—	—	32	58
Eric Staal C	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	1	2	0	17:32	—	—	36	58
Jordan Greenway L	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.94	2	1	0	15:44	—	—	44	70
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	1	0	22:39	—	—	51	57
Greg Pateryn D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	2	0	22:04	—	—	50	57
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.19	1	1	0	27:29	—	—	52	66
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	2	0	2	+1	3	0.16	2	3	0	24:36	—	—	50	47
Ryan Murphy D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:25	—	—	33	74
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	8:17	—	—	33	55

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	1.93	59:59

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	2	2	0	22:12	—	—	54	47
Colin White C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	0	0	0	16:07	—	—	55	43
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	3	0	0	14:48	—	—	54	42
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	2	1	0	17:21	—	—	52	41
Zack Smith C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	3	1	0	17:20	—	—	55	42
Mikkel Boedker L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:54	—	—	48	38
Matt Duchene C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.21	0	0	2	21:52	—	—	49	39
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.41	2	0	0	19:07	—	—	50	38
Bobby Ryan R	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	3	2	14:37	—	—	42	29
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.07	1	0	0	21:43	—	—	33	45
Ben Harpur D	D1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.02	1	1	0	18:53	—	—	41	21
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	3	3	0	16:04	—	—	46	31
Christian Jaros D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	0	12:31	—	—	56	53
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	1	1	0	4	0.12	2	0	0	23:19	—	—	62	39
Christian Wolanin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	4	0	14:59	—	—	60	56
Maxime Lajoie D	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	1	2	10:49	—	—	74	65
Magnus Paajarvi L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	10:38	—	—	77	81
Rudolfs Balcers L	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	1	0	0	7:45	—	—	67	66

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	L	26	22	4	.846	3.02	58:59

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 5, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Minnesota Wild edge Ottawa Senators 4–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Ottawa Senators