2026 season · Week 10 waivers
Week 10 Waiver Wire Pickups (2026): Bam Knight, Antonio Williams, Kendre Miller
Updated Mon, Nov 9, 11:30 PM ET — Monday night (complete)
This week’s waiver wire pickups (always current) →Interactive rankings and FAAB →
Top 5 adds this week
Why now: Jeremiyah Love’s injury left 8% of the ARI targets up for grabs, and Bam Knight has absorbed 8% of it (target share 4% → 8%).
Target share 4% → 8% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (4th vs RB), @KC.
Next 3: @SEALAR@KC
Projection this week: not projected · rest of season 6.9 PPR per game
Best for: Bye-week fill-in
Snap shareCarry share Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections · method
- 2

Antonio Williams WR, Washington Commanders
AddInjury openingRostered 20% (+1 this week)FAAB (12-team) 9% (6–12%)No. 14 most addedWhy now: Terry McLaurin’s injury left 22% of the WAS targets up for grabs, and Antonio Williams has absorbed 23% of it (target share 14% → 19%).
Target share 14% → 19% after Terry McLaurin's injury; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN.
Next 3: LAR@NYGCIN
Projection this week: not projected · rest of season 9.8 PPR per game
Best for: PPR leagues, Bye-week fill-in
Snap shareTarget share Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections · method
Why now: Travis Etienne’s injury left 37% of the NO carries up for grabs, and Kendre Miller has absorbed 58% of it (carry share 28% → 50%).
Carry share 28% → 50% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: CLE, CAR (29th vs RB), @CHI.
Next 3: CLECAR@CHI
Projection this week: not projected · rest of season 6.4 PPR per game
Best for: TD-dependent, Bye-week fill-in
Snap shareCarry share Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections · method
Why now: Keon Coleman’s role has grown: snap share 63% → 81% and target share 14% → 15%.
Snap share 63% → 81%, target share 14% → 15%: bigger role; next 3: @MIN (1st vs WR), @NYJ (6th vs WR), MIA (3rd vs WR).
Next 3: @MIN@NYJMIA
Projection this week: not projected · rest of season 9.6 PPR per game
Best for: Bye-week fill-in
Snap shareTarget share Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections · method
Why now: Caleb Douglas scored 6.6 more PPR points per game than his baseline on similar usage. Treat it as a regression risk, not a new role.
Projects 9.8 points per game (recent points up 6.6 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: DET (30th vs WR), @IND (7th vs WR), @BUF (31st vs WR).
Next 3: DET@IND@BUF
Projection this week: not projected · rest of season 9.8 PPR per game
Best for: PPR leagues, TD-dependent, Bye-week fill-in
Snap shareTarget share Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections · method
Latest edition · Mon, Nov 9, 11:30 PM ET
Monday night (complete): Monday night
1 game final (Monday night). No skill player left hurt. No clear box-score breakout.
The full rankings below are provisional: they use rostered % and usage through Week 8. They are rebuilt Tuesday morning with Week 9 usage, before most waiver runs.
Finals covered: BUF 23, MIN 6
Get them before they pop off
Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.
- ARIJalen Brooks (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 9% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Brooks’s role yet.
- LVMike Washington Jr. (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 53% by our Ascension model. Still 30% rostered. The points have not caught up with Washington’s role yet.
- PHIElijah Mitchell (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 44% by our Ascension model. Still 13% rostered. The points have not caught up with Mitchell’s role yet.
- NOKendre Miller (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 20% rostered. The points have not caught up with Miller’s role yet.
- PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 39% by our Ascension model. Still 2% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
- NYGMalachi Fields (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 38% by our Ascension model. Still 6% rostered. The points have not caught up with Fields’s role yet.
Waiver pickups by position
QBs
Jacoby BrissettARIQBProjection valueRostered 14%FAAB 1%ROS/g 16.2 PPR · 16.1 half · 16.1 stdBye-week fill-inJacoby Brissett projects for 16.2 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.
Joe FagnanoBALQBInjury openingRostered 0%FAAB $0ROS/g 11.5 PPR · 11.5 half · 11.5 stdBye-week fill-inJoe Fagnano is the clearest beneficiary of Lamar Jackson’s absence: snap share 5% → 40%.
Tanner McKeePHIQBInjury openingRostered 2%FAAB $0ROS/g 11.7 PPR · 11.7 half · 11.7 stdBye-week fill-inTanner McKee is the clearest beneficiary of Jalen Hurts’ absence: snap share 40% → 100%.
Sam DarnoldSEAQBProjection valueRostered 28%FAAB 1%ROS/g 15.6 PPR · 15.6 half · 15.6 stdBye-week fill-inOur rest-of-season projection has Sam Darnold at 15.6 PPR points per game over 8 games, 1 points above a 12-team replacement.
RBs
Bam KnightARIRBInjury openingRostered 8%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 6.9 PPR · 6.3 half · 5.7 stdBye-week fill-inJeremiyah Love’s injury left 8% of the ARI targets up for grabs, and Bam Knight has absorbed 8% of it (target share 4% → 8%).
Kendre MillerNORBInjury openingRostered 27%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 6.4 PPR · 5.8 half · 5.2 stdTD-dependentBye-week fill-inTravis Etienne’s injury left 37% of the NO carries up for grabs, and Kendre Miller has absorbed 58% of it (carry share 28% → 50%).
Dylan SampsonCLERBInjury openingRostered 18%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 6.2 PPR · 5.1 half · 4.0 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inWith Raheim Sanders and Jaleel McLaughlin out, Dylan Sampson’s target share jumped from 6% to 14% over the last two games.
Justice HillBALRBUsage growthRostered 7%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 6.0 PPR · 5.1 half · 4.2 stdBye-week fill-inJustice Hill’s target share rose 8% → 21% without more snaps. Gains like this kept only about a quarter of their size the next week in 2024–25, so bid modestly.
Devin SingletaryNYGRBProjection valueRostered 27%FAAB 7% (5–9%)ROS/g 6.2 PPR · 5.6 half · 5.0 stdBye-week fill-inDevin Singletary projects for 6.2 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.
Ty JohnsonBUFRBProjection valueRostered 2%FAAB 5% (4–7%)ROS/g 5.6 PPR · 4.8 half · 3.9 stdBye-week fill-inTy Johnson projects for 5.6 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.
WRs
Antonio WilliamsWASWRInjury openingRostered 20%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 9.8 PPR · 8.0 half · 6.1 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inTerry McLaurin’s injury left 22% of the WAS targets up for grabs, and Antonio Williams has absorbed 23% of it (target share 14% → 19%).
Keon ColemanBUFWRRole changeRostered 22%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 9.6 PPR · 8.0 half · 6.5 stdBye-week fill-inKeon Coleman’s role has grown: snap share 63% → 81% and target share 14% → 15%.
Caleb DouglasMIAWREfficiency spikeRostered 28%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 9.8 PPR · 7.9 half · 6.1 stdPPR leaguesTD-dependentBye-week fill-inCaleb Douglas scored 6.6 more PPR points per game than his baseline on similar usage. Treat it as a regression risk, not a new role.
Ryan FlournoyDALWRProjection valueRostered 25%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 9.8 PPR · 8.1 half · 6.4 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inRyan Flournoy projects for 9.8 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.
Efton Chism IIINEWRInjury openingRostered 2%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 8.3 PPR · 6.8 half · 5.4 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inMack Hollins and Romeo Doubs’ injury left 32% of the NE targets up for grabs, and Efton Chism III has absorbed 27% of it (target share 6% → 15%).
Malachi FieldsNYGWRRole changeRostered 6%FAAB 2% (1–3%)ROS/g 7.6 PPR · 6.3 half · 5.1 stdBye-week fill-inMalachi Fields’ role has grown: snap share 69% → 84% and target share 11% → 19%.
TEs
Dalton SchultzHOUTEProjection valueRostered 24%FAAB 1%ROS/g 9.3 PPR · 7.4 half · 5.5 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inDalton Schultz projects for 9.3 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.
Tyler HigbeeLARTEDepth chart promotionRostered 11%FAAB 1%ROS/g 8.9 PPR · 8.9 half · 8.9 stdBye-week fill-inTyler Higbee has moved up the LAR depth chart and played 78% of snaps over the last two games, up from 54%.
Chig OkonkwoWASTERole changeRostered 13%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.8 PPR · 6.3 half · 4.7 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inMore snaps (61% → 77%) and more targets (15% → 17%) point to a real role change for Chig Okonkwo, the kind that has held up best in our backtests.
Greg DulcichMIATERole changeRostered 5%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.4 PPR · 5.9 half · 4.3 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-inThe MIA staff is using Greg Dulcich more: 67% of snaps over the last two games against 55% before.
Mason TaylorNYJTEDepth chart promotionRostered 8%FAAB 1%ROS/g 6.6 PPR · 6.6 half · 6.6 stdBye-week fill-inA depth chart promotion put Mason Taylor in a starter’s role: target share 13% → 18% on 62% of snaps.
AJ BarnerSEATEProjection valueRostered 7%FAAB 1%ROS/g 0.0 PPR · 0.0 half · 4.9 stdBye-week fill-inAJ Barner projects for 7.5 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.
Defenses
- NO D/STNODSTStreamerRostered 12%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter
NO D/ST: 7.1 projected vs CLE (implied 19.5).
- BUF D/STBUFDSTStreamerRostered 26%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter
BUF D/ST: 6.3 projected vs MIN (implied 20.3).
- DAL D/STDALDSTStreamerRostered 16%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter
DAL D/ST: 6.0 projected vs IND (implied 23.5).
Kickers
Evan McPhersonCINKStreamerRostered 21%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starterEvan McPherson: 9.2 projected: team total 27.8, indoors.
Nick FolkATLKStreamerRostered 5%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starterNick Folk: 8.5 projected: team total 24.8, indoors.
Brandon McManusLARKStreamerRostered 1%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starterBrandon McManus: 8.4 projected: team total 26.
Rankings by league type
Shallow (10-team)
Ten teams, so only players rostered in under 50% of ESPN leagues count as available. Shallow benches mean you can chase upside and cut bait quickly.
- 1.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 8% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)
Target share 4% → 8% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (4th vs RB), @KC
- 2.Kendre Miller RB, NO · 27% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)
Carry share 28% → 50% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: CLE, CAR (29th vs RB), @CHI
- 3.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 18% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)
Target share 6% → 14% after Raheim Sanders and Jaleel McLaughlin's injury; next 3: @NO (27th vs RB), HOU, BYE
- 4.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 7% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)
Target share 8% → 21% at steady snaps; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)
- 5.Devin Singletary RB, NYG · 27% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)
Projects 6.2 points per game; next 3: @PHI, WAS, JAX (6th vs RB)
- 6.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 2% (1–3%)
Projects 5.6 points per game; next 3: @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB), MIA (31st vs RB)
- 7.Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB, JAX · 19% rostered · FAAB 2% (1–3%)
Projects 5.6 points per game; next 3: @BAL, @TEN, @NYG (25th vs RB)
- 8.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 11% rostered · FAAB 2% (1–3%)
Projects 5.5 points per game; next 3: @ATL, PIT (7th vs RB), @WAS
- 9.Adonai Mitchell WR, NYJ · 38% rostered · FAAB 1%
Projects 10.1 points per game; next 3: @KC, BUF (31st vs WR), @LAC
- 10.Kimani Vidal RB, LAC · 13% rostered · FAAB 1%
Projects 5.1 points per game; next 3: HOU, @BAL, NYJ (26th vs RB)
- 1.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 8% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)
Standard (12-team)
Twelve teams, players rostered in under 35% of ESPN leagues. This is the default list the rest of the article uses.
- 1.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 8% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)
Target share 4% → 8% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (4th vs RB), @KC
- 2.Antonio Williams WR, WAS · 20% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)
Target share 14% → 19% after Terry McLaurin's injury; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN
- 3.Kendre Miller RB, NO · 27% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)
Carry share 28% → 50% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: CLE, CAR (29th vs RB), @CHI
- 4.Keon Coleman WR, BUF · 22% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)
Snap share 63% → 81%, target share 14% → 15%: bigger role; next 3: @MIN (1st vs WR), @NYJ (6th vs WR), MIA (3rd vs WR)
- 5.Caleb Douglas WR, MIA · 28% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)
Projects 9.8 points per game (recent points up 6.6 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: DET (30th vs WR), @IND (7th vs WR), @BUF (31st vs WR)
- 6.Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL · 25% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)
Projects 9.8 points per game; next 3: @IND (7th vs WR), SF, TEN (32nd vs WR)
- 7.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 18% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)
Target share 6% → 14% after Raheim Sanders and Jaleel McLaughlin's injury; next 3: @NO (27th vs RB), HOU, BYE
- 8.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 7% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)
Target share 8% → 21% at steady snaps; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)
- 9.Devin Singletary RB, NYG · 27% rostered · FAAB 7% (5–9%)
Projects 6.2 points per game; next 3: @PHI, WAS, JAX (6th vs RB)
- 10.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)
Projects 5.6 points per game; next 3: @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB), MIA (31st vs RB)
- 1.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 8% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)
Deep (14+ teams)
Fourteen-plus teams: only players rostered in under 10% of ESPN leagues, ranked on rest-of-season value over a deeper replacement level.
- 1.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 8% rostered · FAAB 16% (11–21%)
Target share 4% → 8% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (4th vs RB), @KC
- 2.Efton Chism III WR, NE · 2% rostered · FAAB 15% (11–20%)
Target share 6% → 15% after Mack Hollins and Romeo Doubs's injury; next 3: GB, @DET (30th vs WR), BYE
- 3.Malachi Fields WR, NYG · 6% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)
Snap share 69% → 84%, target share 11% → 19%: bigger role; next 3: @PHI (27th vs WR), WAS, JAX (29th vs WR)
- 4.Xavier Hutchinson WR, HOU · 2% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)
Target share 15% → 15% after a depth-chart promotion; next 3: @LAC, @CLE, IND (7th vs WR)
- 5.Elic Ayomanor WR, TEN · 0% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)
Snap share 66% → 77%, target share 12% → 18%: bigger role; next 3: BYE, JAX (29th vs WR), @DAL (28th vs WR)
- 6.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 7% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)
Target share 8% → 21% at steady snaps; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)
- 7.Jahan Dotson WR, ATL · 5% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)
Projects 7.8 points per game; next 3: CIN, KC, BYE
- 8.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)
Projects 5.6 points per game; next 3: @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB), MIA (31st vs RB)
- 9.Kalif Raymond WR, CHI · 8% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)
Snap share 51% → 70%, target share 12% → 8%: bigger role; next 3: TB (2nd vs WR), BYE, NO
- 10.Cooper Kupp WR, SEA · 9% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)
Projects 7.5 points per game; next 3: ARI, @LV (26th vs WR), BYE
- 1.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 8% rostered · FAAB 16% (11–21%)
Superflex / 2QB (12-team)
A second QB slot makes every starting quarterback valuable, so quarterbacks climb this list.
- 1.Jacoby Brissett QB, ARI · 14% rostered · FAAB 32% (22–42%)
Projects 16.2 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: @SEA (2nd vs QB), LAR, @KC
- 2.Sam Darnold QB, SEA · 28% rostered · FAAB 30% (21–39%)
Projects 15.6 points per game; not projected to start Week 9; next 3: ARI (31st vs QB), @LV, BYE
- 3.Joe Fagnano QB, BAL · 0% rostered · FAAB 19% (13–25%)
Snap share 5% → 40% after Lamar Jackson's injury; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: JAX, LAC (3rd vs QB), @CAR
- 4.Tanner McKee QB, PHI · 2% rostered · FAAB 19% (13–25%)
Snap share 40% → 100% after Jalen Hurts's injury; projected Week 9 starter (65% to start); next 3: NYG (25th vs QB), BYE, PIT (7th vs QB)
- 5.Malik Willis QB, MIA · 22% rostered · FAAB 24% (17–31%)
Snap share 69% → 100%: bigger role; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: DET (32nd vs QB), @IND, @BUF
- 6.Deshaun Watson QB, CLE · 11% rostered · FAAB 21% (15–27%)
Projects 13.3 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (65% to start); next 3: @NO, HOU, BYE
- 7.Daniel Jones QB, IND · 11% rostered · FAAB 22% (15–29%)
Projects 13.5 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: DAL (30th vs QB), MIA, @HOU
- 8.Michael Penix Jr. QB, ATL · 16% rostered · FAAB 22% (15–29%)
Projects 13.9 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: CIN (27th vs QB), KC, BYE
- 1.Jacoby Brissett QB, ARI · 14% rostered · FAAB 32% (22–42%)
Dynasty stashes (12-team)
Long-term stashes: youth, rookies and handcuffs with contingent value rank above this week’s points.
- 1.Emmett Johnson RB, KC · 23% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)
Handcuff to Kenneth Walker III; next 3: NYJ (26th vs RB), @ATL, ARI
- 2.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 18% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)
Handcuff to Quinshon Judkins; next 3: @NO (27th vs RB), HOU, BYE
- 3.Antonio Williams WR, WAS · 20% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)
Rookie with a 75% snap share; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN
- 4.Sione Vaki RB, DET · 1% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)
Handcuff to Jahmyr Gibbs; next 3: @MIA (31st vs RB), NE (2nd vs RB), TB (5th vs RB)
- 5.Trevor Etienne RB, CAR · 0% rostered · FAAB 1%
Handcuff to Chuba Hubbard; next 3: DEN, @NO (27th vs RB), BAL
- 6.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 11% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)
Handcuff to Chase Brown; next 3: @ATL, PIT (7th vs RB), @WAS
- 7.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 7% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)
Handcuff to Derrick Henry; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)
- 8.Roschon Johnson RB, CHI · 8% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)
Handcuff to D'Andre Swift; next 3: TB (5th vs RB), BYE, NO (27th vs RB)
- 1.Emmett Johnson RB, KC · 23% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)
FAAB bidding guide
| Player | 10-team | 12-team | 14+ teams | Superflex |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIBam Knight RB | 5% (4–7%) | 8% (6–10%) | 16% (11–21%) | 7% (5–9%) |
| WASAntonio Williams WR | 1% | 9% (6–12%) | – | 8% (6–10%) |
| NOKendre Miller RB | 4% (3–5%) | 8% (6–10%) | – | 7% (5–9%) |
| BUFKeon Coleman WR | – | 9% (6–12%) | – | 7% (5–9%) |
| MIACaleb Douglas WR | 1% | 9% (6–12%) | – | 8% (6–10%) |
| DALRyan Flournoy WR | 1% | 8% (6–10%) | – | 7% (5–9%) |
| CLEDylan Sampson RB | 3% (2–4%) | 6% (4–8%) | – | 5% (4–7%) |
| BALJustice Hill RB | 3% (2–4%) | 6% (4–8%) | 13% (9–17%) | 5% (4–7%) |
| NYGDevin Singletary RB | 3% (2–4%) | 7% (5–9%) | – | 6% (4–8%) |
| BUFTy Johnson RB | 2% (1–3%) | 5% (4–7%) | 13% (9–17%) | 4% (3–5%) |
| NEEfton Chism III WR | – | 4% (3–5%) | 15% (11–20%) | 3% (2–4%) |
| NYGMalachi Fields WR | – | 2% (1–3%) | 14% (10–18%) | 1% |
- Bids are a share of your season budget, from each player’s rest-of-season points over the best player your league leaves on waivers, with diminishing returns so no single pickup is worth the whole budget.
- Bid toward the top of the range in a competitive league or when you need the position; toward the bottom if your league bids passively or you are set there.
- No one this week clears 20% of budget in a 12-team league (top bid 9%): a week to save FAAB unless you have an injury to cover.
- A dash means the player is rostered above that league type’s availability cutoff.
Drop candidates
- DALJake Ferguson (TE, 42% rostered): Jake Ferguson is playing less (67% → 31% of snaps) and his target share fell 12% → 2%.
- NOJuwan Johnson (TE, 45% rostered): Juwan Johnson’s snap share dropped 69% → 57% over the last two games.
- DENJ.K. Dobbins (RB, 71% rostered): J.K. Dobbins’ target share fell 5% → 0% with Jonah Coleman back.
- JAXBrian Thomas Jr. (WR, 40% rostered): Brian Thomas Jr. is playing less (59% → 37% of snaps) and his target share fell 16% → 9%.
- INDKeenan Allen (WR, 46% rostered): Keenan Allen’s target share fell 22% → 19% at similar snaps.
- NEHunter Henry (TE, 62% rostered): Hunter Henry’s snap share dropped 74% → 45% over the last two games.
- HOUMarvin Harrison Jr. (WR, 65% rostered): Marvin Harrison Jr.’s snap share dropped 70% → 20% over the last two games.
- ATLKyle Pitts (TE, 85% rostered): Kyle Pitts’ snap share dropped 69% → 56% over the last two games.
DST and kicker streamers
Handcuffs and injury contingencies
- CLEDylan Sampson (19% rostered): Backs up Quinshon Judkins (missed or left 1 game early this season). If Judkins sits, about 60% of his 0.0 PPR points per game, 0.0, is the opening; Dylan Sampson already has 14% of the carries.
- GBMarShawn Lloyd (32% rostered): Backs up Josh Jacobs (Out on this week’s report). If Jacobs sits, about 60% of his 0.0 PPR points per game, 0.0, is the opening; MarShawn Lloyd already has 27% of the carries.
- MIAJaylen Wright (3% rostered): Backs up Ollie Gordon II (missed or left 2 games early this season). If Gordon sits, about 60% of his 0.0 PPR points per game, 0.0, is the opening; Jaylen Wright already has 14% of the carries.
Last week’s picks: how they did
2 of last week’s 10 top adds scored 12+ PPR points; the 8 who played averaged 7.8. 2 did not play.
| Pick | FAAB | PPR pts | Snaps | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Mitchell RB, PHI | 9% | 5.6 | – | Miss |
| Adonai Mitchell WR, NYJ | 8% | 0.0 | – | Miss |
| Keon Coleman WR, BUF | 10% | 4.7 | – | Miss |
| Antonio Williams WR, WAS | 8% | 5.5 | – | Miss |
| Caleb Douglas WR, MIA | 9% | 13.0 | – | Hit (12+) |
| Kendre Miller RB, NO | 6% | – | – | Did not play |
| Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL | 8% | 7.3 | – | Usable (7–12) |
| Dylan Sampson RB, CLE | 4% | 7.8 | – | Usable (7–12) |
| Justice Hill RB, BAL | 3% | 18.2 | – | Hit (12+) |
| Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI | 4% | – | – | Did not play |
Earlier edition · Mon, Nov 9, 12:30 AM ET
Sunday night: Sunday early, Sunday late, Sunday night
7 games final (Sunday early, Sunday late and Sunday night). 3 skill players left hurt, led by Jake Ferguson. Box-score breakouts: Shedeur Sanders, Kayshon Boutte, Tank Dell.
1 game is still to play this week; this article updates after Monday Night Football.
Finals covered: CLE 22, NO 23 · DAL 27, IND 23 · HOU 44, LAC 22 · GB 45, NE 27 · ARI 3, SEA 17 · LV 17, SF 38 · TB 24, CHI 27
In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him
- DALJake Ferguson (TE): left in the third quarter (3:23 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (knee). Brevyn Spann-Ford had 1 touch after he left (2 catches on 3 targets for 20 yards for the game) and is under 1% rostered. Replacement: Brevyn Spann-Ford.
- NERhamondre Stevenson (RB): left in the third quarter (3:29 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (knee). Corey Kiner had 7 touches after he left (8 carries for 55 yards, 1 TD for the game) and is 6% rostered. Replacement: Corey Kiner.
- CHILuther Burden III (WR): left in the fourth quarter (3:48 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (concussion). Kalif Raymond had 1 touch after he left (4 catches on 7 targets for 32 yards for the game) and is 8% rostered. Replacement: Kalif Raymond.
Box-score breakouts
- CLEShedeur Sanders QBAdd22.7 PPR · 22.7 half · 22.7 stdShedeur Sanders (QB, CLE): 297 passing yards, 2 TD; 10 carries for 28 yards, 22.7 PPR points, 3% rostered. He came in averaging 0.0 PPR points and 0.0 touches a game. With Deshaun Watson and Taylen Green out, the work was his.
- HOUKayshon Boutte WRAdd28.5 PPR · 26.5 half · 24.5 stdKayshon Boutte (WR, HOU): 4 catches on 5 targets for 125 yards, 2 TD, 28.5 PPR points, 3% rostered. He came in averaging 4.9 PPR points and 3.3 touches a game. With Jaylin Noel and Jayden Higgins out, the work was his.
- HOUTank Dell WRAdd20.5 PPR · 18.5 half · 16.5 stdTank Dell (WR, HOU): 4 catches on 9 targets for 105 yards, 1 TD, 20.5 PPR points, 24% rostered. He came in averaging 5.5 PPR points and 2.0 touches a game. With Jaylin Noel and Jayden Higgins out, the work was his.
- SFJordan Watkins WRAdd18.6 PPR · 16.6 half · 14.6 stdJordan Watkins (WR, SF): 4 catches on 4 targets for 86 yards, 1 TD, 18.6 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 4.0 PPR points and 1.8 touches a game. With Mike Evans, Christian Kirk, Deebo Samuel Sr., Ricky Pearsall and De'Zhaun Stribling out, the work was his.
- GBKaleb Johnson RBAdd12.8 PPR · 12.8 half · 12.8 stdKaleb Johnson (RB, GB): 14 carries for 68 yards, 1 TD, 12.8 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 2.1 PPR points and 6.2 touches a game. With Christopher Brooks and MarShawn Lloyd out, the work was his.
- NEEfton Chism III WRAdd15.9 PPR · 13.4 half · 10.9 stdEfton Chism III (WR, NE): 5 catches on 5 targets for 49 yards, 1 TD, 15.9 PPR points, 2% rostered. He came in averaging 5.0 PPR points and 3.0 touches a game. With A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs out, the work was his.
- INDAshton Dulin WRAdd12.8 PPR · 12.3 half · 11.8 stdAshton Dulin (WR, IND): 1 carry for 3 yards; 1 catch on 2 targets for 55 yards, 1 TD, 12.8 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 1.6 PPR points and 2.0 touches a game. With D.J. Montgomery and Alec Pierce out, the work was his.
- NOAudric Estime RBAdd14.7 PPR · 14.2 half · 13.7 stdAudric Estime (RB, NO): 15 carries for 72 yards, 1 TD; 1 catch on 1 target for 5 yards, 14.7 PPR points, 2% rostered. He came in averaging 7.9 PPR points and 9.0 touches a game. With CJ Donaldson, Travis Etienne and Ty Chandler out, the work was his.
Beat expectations
The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →
- HOUKayshon Boutte (WR): 28.5 PPR vs 6.2 projected (+22.3) — 2 touchdowns on 5 touches
- GBJordan Love (QB): 34.2 PPR vs 15.1 projected (+19.1) — 3 TD passes (23/29, 372 yds, 3 TD, 13 rush yds, 1 rush TD)
- TBBucky Irving (RB): 28.5 PPR vs 15.3 projected (+13.2) — 2 touchdowns on 25 touches
- CLEShedeur Sanders (QB): 22.7 PPR vs 12.1 projected (+10.6) — 10 carries vs a projected 1
RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play
Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.
- Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): MINAaron Jones Sr. Behind Jordan Mason, 86% rostered. Aaron Jones is the direct beneficiary if Mason sits
Get them before they pop off
Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.
- ARIJalen Brooks (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 9% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Brooks’s role yet.
- LVMike Washington Jr. (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 53% by our Ascension model. Still 30% rostered. The points have not caught up with Washington’s role yet.
- PHIElijah Mitchell (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 44% by our Ascension model. Still 13% rostered. The points have not caught up with Mitchell’s role yet.
- NOKendre Miller (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 25% rostered. The points have not caught up with Miller’s role yet.
- PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 39% by our Ascension model. Still 2% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
- NYGMalachi Fields (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 38% by our Ascension model. Still 6% rostered. The points have not caught up with Fields’s role yet.
Earlier edition · Sun, Nov 8, 4:30 PM ET
Sunday early: Thursday night, Sunday morning, Sunday early
7 games final (Thursday night, Sunday morning and Sunday early). No skill player left hurt. Box-score breakouts: Van Jefferson, Justice Hill, Darren Waller.
8 games are still to play this week; this article updates after Sunday Night Football and again after Monday Night Football.
Finals covered: JAX 33, BAL 10 · CIN 34, ATL 17 · NYG 19, PHI 11 · LAR 20, WAS 13 · DEN 26, CAR 21 · NYJ 12, KC 35 · DET 19, MIA 9
Box-score breakouts
- WASVan Jefferson WRAdd16.8 PPR · 14.3 half · 11.8 stdVan Jefferson (WR, WAS): 5 catches on 7 targets for 58 yards, 1 TD, 16.8 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 0.0 PPR points and 0.5 touches a game. With Treylon Burks, Jaylin Lane, Terry McLaurin and Dyami Brown out, the work was his.
- BALJustice Hill RBAdd18.2 PPR · 16.7 half · 15.2 stdJustice Hill (RB, BAL): 9 carries for 85 yards, 1 TD; 3 catches on 3 targets for 7 yards, 18.2 PPR points, 7% rostered. He came in averaging 5.4 PPR points and 6.1 touches a game. With Adam Randall out of the lineup, the work was his.
- CARDarren Waller TEAdd23.0 PPR · 19.0 half · 15.0 stdDarren Waller (TE, CAR): 8 catches on 10 targets for 90 yards, 1 TD, 23.0 PPR points, 8% rostered. He came in averaging 7.7 PPR points and 3.6 touches a game. The volume is the story: 10 touches, up from 3.6.
- DENPat Bryant WRAdd15.6 PPR · 13.6 half · 11.6 stdPat Bryant (WR, DEN): 4 catches on 5 targets for 56 yards, 1 TD, 15.6 PPR points, 1% rostered. He came in averaging 8.0 PPR points and 3.3 touches a game. With Lil'Jordan Humphrey out of the lineup, the work was his.
- NYGDevin Singletary RBAdd if available5.9 PPR · 4.9 half · 3.9 stdDevin Singletary (RB, NYG): 21 carries for 31 yards; 2 catches on 3 targets for 8 yards, 5.9 PPR points, 37% rostered. He came in averaging 8.4 PPR points and 6.8 touches a game. With Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Cam Skattebo out, the work was his.
- JAXChris Rodriguez Jr. RBAdd11.2 PPR · 10.2 half · 9.2 stdChris Rodriguez Jr. (RB, JAX): 10 carries for 19 yards, 1 TD; 2 catches on 2 targets for 13 yards, 11.2 PPR points, 19% rostered. He came in averaging 6.2 PPR points and 6.9 touches a game. The volume is the story: 12 touches, up from 6.9.
- CARTommy Tremble TEWatch12.4 PPR · 10.4 half · 8.4 stdTommy Tremble (TE, CAR): 4 catches on 6 targets for 24 yards, 1 TD, 12.4 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 6.4 PPR points and 3.4 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.
- MIACaleb Douglas WRAdd13.0 PPR · 10.0 half · 7.0 stdCaleb Douglas (WR, MIA): 6 catches on 8 targets for 70 yards, 13.0 PPR points, 28% rostered. He came in averaging 11.9 PPR points and 4.8 touches a game. With Jalen Tolbert out of the lineup, the work was his.
Beat expectations
The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →
- CARDarren Waller (TE): 23.0 PPR vs 5.5 projected (+17.5) — 10 targets vs a projected 4
- WASVan Jefferson (WR): 16.8 PPR vs 2.9 projected (+13.9) — 7 targets vs a projected 2 — Burks out
- BALJustice Hill (RB): 18.2 PPR vs 5.3 projected (+12.9) — 9 carries vs a projected 3
- KCKenneth Walker III (RB): 36.3 PPR vs 24.2 projected (+12.1) — 3 touchdowns on 22 touches
- CINJa'Marr Chase (WR): 31.5 PPR vs 21.1 projected (+10.4) — 10 catches for 155 yards on 12 targets
- NYGIsaiah Likely (TE): 16.3 PPR vs 11.1 projected (+5.2) — 5 for 53, 1 TD on 6 targets
RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play
Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.
- Sunday Night (add by Sun 8:20 PM ET, drop after ~11:35 PM ET): TBKenny Gainwell Behind Bucky Irving, 52% rostered. Gainwell is the back to hold behind Bucky Irving
- Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): MINAaron Jones Sr. Behind Jordan Mason, 86% rostered. Aaron Jones is the direct beneficiary if Mason sits
Get them before they pop off
Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.
- ARIJalen Brooks (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 9% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Brooks’s role yet.
- LVMike Washington Jr. (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 53% by our Ascension model. Still 30% rostered. The points have not caught up with Washington’s role yet.
- PHIElijah Mitchell (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 44% by our Ascension model. Still 13% rostered. The points have not caught up with Mitchell’s role yet.
- NOKendre Miller (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 25% rostered. The points have not caught up with Miller’s role yet.
- PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 39% by our Ascension model. Still 2% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
- NYGMalachi Fields (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 38% by our Ascension model. Still 6% rostered. The points have not caught up with Fields’s role yet.
How this works
Rankings come from our waiver rankings (rest-of-season values from our projection model), rebuilt every Tuesday after Monday Night Football. A pickup’s score is its rest-of-season points over replacement for the league type, times the chance he is available (ESPN rostered %), plus a small bonus for rising usage.
Causes come from weekly usage (nflverse): snap, target and carry share over the last two games against a shrunk baseline. In 2024–25 backtests, role changes and depth chart promotions kept 50–80% of their gain the next week; usage rises at steady snaps kept about a quarter.
Streamers come from our DST and K streamer ranks. Our defense ranking is close to simply ranking opponents’ implied totals (Spearman 0.335 vs 0.322 in 2024–25); the kicker model adds about half a point per pick over the naive ranking. Next week’s preview uses Vegas lines only.
Every ranking sentence is a template filled from these numbers. The only AI-written text is the separately labelled editor blurbs, each with its sources, checked against these numbers before publishing.
Sunday and Monday editions read live box scores (ESPN game summaries, every 15 minutes during games). In-game injuries come from the play-by-play text: a player who was injured, has no “returned” note and no touch afterwards left the game; his replacement is the teammate at his position with the most carries and targets after that play. Breakouts compare the game with his season-to-date averages; stashes come from usage risers whose expected points run ahead of their actual points.
Blurbs labelled “Edgehalla editor (AI-assisted, sourced)” are written by an AI research routine after each edition, from news it cites and links. They are checked before publishing: only players in the edition, length limits, at least one https source each, and any number must match our data or the cited source, or the blurb is held back.
Sources: nflverse, ESPN rostered %, Fantasy Nerds add trendFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Who is the best waiver pickup for Week 10?
Bam Knight (RB, ARI). Jeremiyah Love’s injury left 8% of the ARI targets up for grabs, and Bam Knight has absorbed 8% of it (target share 4% → 8%). Suggested 12-team FAAB bid: 8% (6–10%) of budget.
How much FAAB should I bid?
Bids scale with rest-of-season points over replacement. This week’s top 12-team bid is 9% of budget; deeper leagues bid more for the same player because replacements are worse.
Who should I drop?
Players whose usage fell and who no longer project as 12-team starters, led by Jake Ferguson, Juwan Johnson, J.K. Dobbins. Short-term injuries are holds, not drops.
When is this article updated?
Three editions on one page: Sunday evening after the early games, after Sunday Night Football, and after Monday Night Football. Tuesday morning the rankings are refreshed with final usage data, and Wednesday adds an update block after the first practice reports.