Week 9 Waiver Wire Pickups (2026): Elijah Mitchell, Adonai Mitchell, Keon Coleman

2. 2

   Adonai Mitchell WR, New York Jets

   AddProjection valueRostered 11%FAAB (12-team) 8% (6–10%)No. 12 most added

   Why now: Adonai Mitchell projects for 9.7 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

   Projects 9.7 points per game; next 3: @KC, BUF (31st vs WR), @LAC.

   Next 3: @KCBUF@LAC

   Projection this week: 9.4 PPR · 7.6 half · 5.9 standard · rest of season 9.7 PPR per game

   Best for: Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

3. 3

   Keon Coleman WR, Buffalo Bills

   AddRole changeRostered 28%FAAB (12-team) 10% (7–13%)

   Why now: Keon Coleman’s role has grown: snap share 63% → 81% and target share 14% → 15%.

   Snap share 63% → 81%, target share 14% → 15%: bigger role; next 3: @MIN (1st vs WR), @NYJ (6th vs WR), MIA (3rd vs WR).

   Next 3: @MIN@NYJMIA

   Projection this week: 9.5 PPR · 7.9 half · 6.2 standard · rest of season 10.0 PPR per game

   Best for: Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

4. 4

   Antonio Williams WR, Washington Commanders

   AddInjury openingRostered 16%FAAB (12-team) 8% (6–10%)

   Why now: With Terry McLaurin out, Antonio Williams’ target share jumped from 14% to 19% over the last two games.

   Target share 14% → 19% after Terry McLaurin's injury; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN.

   Next 3: LAR@NYGCIN

   Projection this week: 9.5 PPR · 7.6 half · 5.8 standard · rest of season 9.4 PPR per game

   Best for: PPR leagues, Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

5. 5

   Caleb Douglas WR, Miami Dolphins

   AddEfficiency spikeRostered 29%FAAB (12-team) 9% (6–12%)No. 5 most added

   Why now: Caleb Douglas scored 6.6 more PPR points per game than his baseline on similar usage. Treat it as a regression risk, not a new role.

   Projects 9.9 points per game (recent points up 6.6 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: DET (30th vs WR), @IND (7th vs WR), @BUF (31st vs WR).

   Next 3: DET@IND@BUF

   Projection this week: 11.3 PPR · 9.3 half · 7.3 standard · rest of season 9.9 PPR per game

   Best for: PPR leagues, TD-dependent, Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• LACKeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 21% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Lambert-Smith’s role yet.
• ARIBam Knight (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 65% by our Ascension model. Still 9% rostered. The points have not caught up with Knight’s role yet.
• PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 42% by our Ascension model. Still 4% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
• NOKendre Miller (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 26% rostered. The points have not caught up with Miller’s role yet.

• ARIJalen Brooks (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 13% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Brooks’s role yet.
• LACCharlie Kolar (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 20% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kolar’s role yet.

• RBs

  • Elijah MitchellPHIRBInjury openingRostered 3%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 7.8 PPR · 6.6 half · 5.4 stdBye-week fill-in

    Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley’s injury left 64% of the PHI carries up for grabs, and Elijah Mitchell has absorbed 23% of it (carry share 10% → 25%).

  • Kendre MillerNORBInjury openingRostered 26%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 6.8 PPR · 6.2 half · 5.6 stdTD-dependentBye-week fill-in

    With Travis Etienne out, Kendre Miller’s carry share jumped from 28% to 50% over the last two games.

  • Dylan SampsonCLERBInjury openingRostered 12%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 6.2 PPR · 5.1 half · 4.0 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Dylan Sampson is the clearest beneficiary of Raheim Sanders and Jaleel McLaughlin’s absence: target share 6% → 14%, snaps 21% → 51%.

  • Justice HillBALRBUsage growthRostered 8%FAAB 3% (2–4%)ROS/g 5.8 PPR · 5.0 half · 4.1 stdBye-week fill-in

    Justice Hill’s target share rose 8% → 21% without more snaps. Gains like this kept only about a quarter of their size the next week in 2024–25, so bid modestly.

  • Ty JohnsonBUFRBProjection valueRostered 2%FAAB 3% (2–4%)ROS/g 5.7 PPR · 4.8 half · 4.0 stdBye-week fill-in

    Ty Johnson projects for 5.7 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Samaje PerineCINRBProjection valueRostered 15%FAAB 3% (2–4%)ROS/g 5.6 PPR · 5.2 half · 4.7 stdBye-week fill-in

    Samaje Perine projects for 5.6 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

• WRs

  • Adonai MitchellNYJWRProjection valueRostered 11%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 9.7 PPR · 8.0 half · 6.4 stdBye-week fill-in

    Adonai Mitchell projects for 9.7 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Keon ColemanBUFWRRole changeRostered 28%FAAB 10% (7–13%)ROS/g 10.0 PPR · 8.4 half · 6.7 stdBye-week fill-in

    Keon Coleman’s role has grown: snap share 63% → 81% and target share 14% → 15%.

  • Antonio WilliamsWASWRInjury openingRostered 16%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 9.4 PPR · 7.6 half · 5.8 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    With Terry McLaurin out, Antonio Williams’ target share jumped from 14% to 19% over the last two games.

  • Caleb DouglasMIAWREfficiency spikeRostered 29%FAAB 9% (6–12%)ROS/g 9.9 PPR · 8.0 half · 6.1 stdPPR leaguesTD-dependentBye-week fill-in

    Caleb Douglas scored 6.6 more PPR points per game than his baseline on similar usage. Treat it as a regression risk, not a new role.

  • Ryan FlournoyDALWRProjection valueRostered 22%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 9.7 PPR · 8.0 half · 6.3 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Ryan Flournoy projects for 9.7 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Kendrick BourneARIWRProjection valueRostered 6%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 8.2 PPR · 6.6 half · 5.1 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Kendrick Bourne at 8.2 PPR points per game over 8 games, 5 points above a 12-team replacement.

• TEs

  • Dalton SchultzHOUTEProjection valueRostered 25%FAAB 1%ROS/g 9.2 PPR · 7.3 half · 9.2 stdBye-week fill-in

    Dalton Schultz projects for 9.2 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Chig OkonkwoWASTERole changeRostered 15%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.8 PPR · 6.2 half · 7.8 stdBye-week fill-in

    More snaps (61% → 77%) and more targets (15% → 17%) point to a real role change for Chig Okonkwo, the kind that has held up best in our backtests.

  • Tyler HigbeeLARTEDepth chart promotionRostered 14%FAAB 1%ROS/g 8.7 PPR · 8.7 half · 8.7 stdBye-week fill-in

    Tyler Higbee has moved up the LAR depth chart and played 78% of snaps over the last two games, up from 54%.

  • Greg DulcichMIATERole changeRostered 1%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.7 PPR · 6.1 half · 4.4 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Greg Dulcich’s role has grown: snap share 55% → 67% and target share 12% → 22%.

  • AJ BarnerSEATEProjection valueRostered 8%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.3 PPR · 6.0 half · 4.7 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    AJ Barner projects for 7.3 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Cade OttonTBTEProjection valueRostered 3%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.2 PPR · 7.2 half · 7.2 stdBye-week fill-in

    Cade Otton projects for 7.2 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

• Defenses

  • NO D/STNODSTStreamerRostered 2%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    NO D/ST: 6.7 projected vs CLE (implied 20.5).

  • NYG D/STNYGDSTStreamerRostered 3%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    NYG D/ST: 6.4 projected vs PHI (implied 18.5).

  • CHI D/STCHIDSTStreamerRostered 29%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    CHI D/ST: 6.4 projected vs TB (implied 20.3).

• Kickers

  • Cairo SantosCHIKStreamerRostered 27%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Cairo Santos: 9.4 projected: team total 26.3.

  • Evan McPhersonCINKStreamerRostered 23%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Evan McPherson: 9.0 projected: team total 27.8, indoors.

  • Brandon McManusLARKStreamerRostered 1%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Brandon McManus: 8.6 projected: team total 26.5.

• Standard (12-team)

  Twelve teams, players rostered in under 35% of ESPN leagues. This is the default list the rest of the article uses.

  1. 1.Elijah Mitchell RB, PHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Carry share 10% → 25% after Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley's injury; next 3: NYG (25th vs RB), BYE, PIT (7th vs RB)

  2. 2.Adonai Mitchell WR, NYJ · 11% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Projects 9.7 points per game; next 3: @KC, BUF (31st vs WR), @LAC

  3. 3.Keon Coleman WR, BUF · 28% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)

     Snap share 63% → 81%, target share 14% → 15%: bigger role; next 3: @MIN (1st vs WR), @NYJ (6th vs WR), MIA (3rd vs WR)

  4. 4.Antonio Williams WR, WAS · 16% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Target share 14% → 19% after Terry McLaurin's injury; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN

  5. 5.Caleb Douglas WR, MIA · 29% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Projects 9.9 points per game (recent points up 6.6 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: DET (30th vs WR), @IND (7th vs WR), @BUF (31st vs WR)

  6. 6.Kendre Miller RB, NO · 26% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Carry share 28% → 50% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: CLE, CAR (29th vs RB), @CHI

  7. 7.Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL · 22% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Projects 9.7 points per game; next 3: @IND (7th vs WR), SF, TEN (32nd vs WR)

  8. 8.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 12% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Target share 6% → 14% after Raheim Sanders and Jaleel McLaughlin's injury; next 3: @NO (27th vs RB), HOU, BYE

  9. 9.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 8% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)

     Target share 8% → 21% at steady snaps; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)

  10. 10.Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI · 6% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

      Projects 8.2 points per game; next 3: @SEA (4th vs WR), LAR, @KC

• Deep (14+ teams)

  Fourteen-plus teams: only players rostered in under 10% of ESPN leagues, ranked on rest-of-season value over a deeper replacement level.

  1. 1.Elijah Mitchell RB, PHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 19% (13–25%)

     Carry share 10% → 25% after Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley's injury; next 3: NYG (25th vs RB), BYE, PIT (7th vs RB)

  2. 2.Elic Ayomanor WR, TEN · 1% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Snap share 66% → 77%, target share 12% → 18%: bigger role; next 3: BYE, JAX (29th vs WR), @DAL (28th vs WR)

  3. 3.Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI · 6% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)

     Projects 8.2 points per game; next 3: @SEA (4th vs WR), LAR, @KC

  4. 4.Malachi Fields WR, NYG · 5% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Snap share 69% → 84%, target share 11% → 19%: bigger role; next 3: @PHI (27th vs WR), WAS, JAX (29th vs WR)

  5. 5.Efton Chism III WR, NE · 3% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Target share 6% → 15% after Mack Hollins and Romeo Doubs's injury; next 3: GB, @DET (30th vs WR), BYE

  6. 6.Jahan Dotson WR, ATL · 3% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Projects 7.7 points per game; next 3: CIN, KC, BYE

  7. 7.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Projects 5.7 points per game; next 3: @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB), MIA (31st vs RB)

  8. 8.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 8% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Target share 8% → 21% at steady snaps; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)

  9. 9.Xavier Hutchinson WR, HOU · 2% rostered · FAAB 11% (8–14%)

     Target share 15% → 15% after a depth-chart promotion; next 3: @LAC, @CLE, IND (7th vs WR)

  10. 10.Kalif Raymond WR, CHI · 10% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

      Snap share 51% → 70%, target share 12% → 8%: bigger role; next 3: TB (2nd vs WR), BYE, NO

• Superflex / 2QB (12-team)

  A second QB slot makes every starting quarterback valuable, so quarterbacks climb this list.

  1. 1.Jacoby Brissett QB, ARI · 24% rostered · FAAB 33% (23–43%)

     Projects 16.4 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: @SEA (2nd vs QB), LAR, @KC

  2. 2.Sam Darnold QB, SEA · 31% rostered · FAAB 31% (22–40%)

     Projects 15.9 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: ARI (31st vs QB), @LV, BYE

  3. 3.Malik Willis QB, MIA · 11% rostered · FAAB 24% (17–31%)

     Snap share 69% → 100%: bigger role; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: DET (32nd vs QB), @IND, @BUF

  4. 4.J.J. McCarthy QB, NYG · 15% rostered · FAAB 24% (17–31%)

     Snap share 63% → 66% after Jaxson Dart's injury; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: @PHI, WAS (29th vs QB), JAX

  5. 5.Tanner McKee QB, PHI · 4% rostered · FAAB 20% (14–26%)

     Snap share 40% → 100% after Jalen Hurts's injury; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: NYG (25th vs QB), BYE, PIT (7th vs QB)

  6. 6.Deshaun Watson QB, CLE · 13% rostered · FAAB 22% (15–29%)

     Projects 13.8 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: @NO, HOU, BYE

  7. 7.Daniel Jones QB, IND · 12% rostered · FAAB 21% (15–27%)

     Projects 13.4 points per game; projected Week 9 starter (98% to start); next 3: DAL (30th vs QB), MIA, @HOU

  8. 8.Cam Ward QB, TEN · 4% rostered · FAAB 19% (13–25%)

     Projects 11.8 points per game; not projected to start Week 9; next 3: BYE, JAX, @DAL (30th vs QB)

• Dynasty stashes (12-team)

  Long-term stashes: youth, rookies and handcuffs with contingent value rank above this week’s points.

  1. 1.Emmett Johnson RB, KC · 12% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Handcuff to Kenneth Walker III; next 3: NYJ (26th vs RB), @ATL, ARI

  2. 2.Kaelon Black RB, SF · 23% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Handcuff to Christian McCaffrey; next 3: LV (28th vs RB), @DAL (32nd vs RB), MIN (1st vs RB)

  3. 3.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 12% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)

     Handcuff to Quinshon Judkins; next 3: @NO (27th vs RB), HOU, BYE

  4. 4.Sione Vaki RB, DET · 1% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Handcuff to Jahmyr Gibbs; next 3: @MIA (31st vs RB), NE (2nd vs RB), TB (5th vs RB)

  5. 5.Antonio Williams WR, WAS · 16% rostered · FAAB 13% (9–17%)

     Rookie with a 75% snap share; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN

  6. 6.Trevor Etienne RB, CAR · 0% rostered · FAAB $0

     Handcuff to Chuba Hubbard; next 3: DEN, @NO (27th vs RB), BAL

  7. 7.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 15% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)

     Handcuff to Chase Brown; next 3: @ATL, PIT (7th vs RB), @WAS

  8. 8.Justice Hill RB, BAL · 8% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Handcuff to Derrick Henry; next 3: JAX (6th vs RB), LAC, @CAR (29th vs RB)

• TE premium (12-team)

  Tight ends get +0.5 points per catch, so pass-catching tight ends gain ground.

  1. 1.Elijah Mitchell RB, PHI · 3% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Carry share 10% → 25% after Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley's injury; next 3: NYG (25th vs RB), BYE, PIT (7th vs RB)

  2. 2.Adonai Mitchell WR, NYJ · 11% rostered · FAAB 7% (5–9%)

     Projects 9.7 points per game; next 3: @KC, BUF (31st vs WR), @LAC

  3. 3.Keon Coleman WR, BUF · 28% rostered · FAAB 9% (6–12%)

     Snap share 63% → 81%, target share 14% → 15%: bigger role; next 3: @MIN (1st vs WR), @NYJ (6th vs WR), MIA (3rd vs WR)

  4. 4.Kendre Miller RB, NO · 26% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Carry share 28% → 50% after Travis Etienne's injury; next 3: CLE, CAR (29th vs RB), @CHI

  5. 5.Antonio Williams WR, WAS · 16% rostered · FAAB 7% (5–9%)

     Target share 14% → 19% after Terry McLaurin's injury; next 3: LAR, @NYG (5th vs WR), CIN

  6. 6.Caleb Douglas WR, MIA · 29% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Projects 9.9 points per game (recent points up 6.6 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: DET (30th vs WR), @IND (7th vs WR), @BUF (31st vs WR)

  7. 7.Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL · 22% rostered · FAAB 7% (5–9%)

     Projects 9.7 points per game; next 3: @IND (7th vs WR), SF, TEN (32nd vs WR)

  8. 8.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 12% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Target share 6% → 14% after Raheim Sanders and Jaleel McLaughlin's injury; next 3: @NO (27th vs RB), HOU, BYE

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• ARIJeremiyah Love (RB): left in the first quarter (0:32 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (ankle). Tyler Allgeier had 12 touches after he left (11 carries for 147 yards, 1 TD; 5 catches on 5 targets for 44 yards, 1 TD for the game) and is 47% rostered. Replacement: Tyler Allgeier.
• ARIReggie Virgil (WR): left in the fourth quarter (2:23 left) and did not return. Devin Duvernay had 1 touch after he left (2 catches on 2 targets for 14 yards for the game) and is under 1% rostered. Replacement: Devin Duvernay.

Box-score breakouts

1. ARITyler Allgeier RBAdd if available36.1 PPR · 33.6 half · 31.1 stdTyler Allgeier (RB, ARI): 11 carries for 147 yards, 1 TD; 5 catches on 5 targets for 44 yards, 1 TD, 36.1 PPR points, 47% rostered. He came in averaging 6.9 PPR points and 11.1 touches a game. With Jeremiyah Love, James Conner, Trey Benson and Evan Hull out, the work was his.
2. KCEmmett Johnson RBAdd25.3 PPR · 22.8 half · 20.3 stdFAAB 12-team: 3–5%Emmett Johnson (RB, KC): 1 carry for 15 yards; 5 catches on 5 targets for 128 yards, 1 TD, 25.3 PPR points, 12% rostered. He came in averaging 4.3 PPR points and 5.0 touches a game. With Brashard Smith out of the lineup, the work was his.
3. ARIGardner Minshew II QBAdd19.5 PPR · 19.5 half · 19.5 stdGardner Minshew II (QB, ARI): 188 passing yards, 3 TD, 19.5 PPR points, under 1% rostered. It was his first game with a role this season. With Carson Beck out of the lineup, the work was his.
4. TENChimere Dike WRAdd18.1 PPR · 15.6 half · 13.1 stdFAAB 14-team: 1%Chimere Dike (WR, TEN): 5 catches on 6 targets for 71 yards, 1 TD, 18.1 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 1.6 PPR points and 1.0 touches a game. With Carnell Tate out of the lineup, the work was his.

5. DENJonah Coleman RBAdd if available20.4 PPR · 18.4 half · 16.4 stdJonah Coleman (RB, DEN): 11 carries for 41 yards, 1 TD; 4 catches on 5 targets for 63 yards, 20.4 PPR points, 49% rostered. He came in averaging 7.9 PPR points and 8.0 touches a game. With RJ Harvey and Tyler Badie out, the work was his.
6. TENGunnar Helm TEAdd12.6 PPR · 10.1 half · 7.6 stdGunnar Helm (TE, TEN): 5 catches on 9 targets for 76 yards, 12.6 PPR points, 2% rostered. He came in averaging 3.2 PPR points and 2.4 touches a game. With Jaren Kanak and Kylen Granson out, the work was his.
7. TENCam Ward QBWatch22.3 PPR · 22.3 half · 22.3 stdCam Ward (QB, TEN): 304 passing yards, 2 TD; 7 carries for 41 yards, 22.3 PPR points, 4% rostered. He came in averaging 10.6 PPR points and 2.7 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.
8. CINMike Gesicki TEAdd17.6 PPR · 15.6 half · 13.6 stdMike Gesicki (TE, CIN): 4 catches on 6 targets for 76 yards, 1 TD, 17.6 PPR points, 15% rostered. He came in averaging 9.9 PPR points and 3.0 touches a game. With Tanner Hudson and Erick All out, the work was his.

Beat expectations

The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →

• ARITyler Allgeier (RB): 36.1 PPR vs 8.4 projected (+27.7) — 2 touchdowns on 16 touches
• KCEmmett Johnson (RB): 25.3 PPR vs 4.7 projected (+20.6) — 5 catches for 128 yards on 5 targets
• CINTee Higgins (WR): 37.5 PPR vs 19.2 projected (+18.3) — 2 touchdowns on 11 touches
• MIAKevin Coleman Jr. (WR): 13.6 PPR vs 3.8 projected (+9.8) — 3 for 46, 1 TD on 3 targets

RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play

Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.

1. Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): SEAEmanuel Wilson Behind Zach Charbonnet, 66% rostered. Wilson leads the Seattle committee if Charbonnet sits

Full RB Roulette timeline →

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• LACKeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 21% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Lambert-Smith’s role yet.
• ARIBam Knight (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 65% by our Ascension model. Still 10% rostered. The points have not caught up with Knight’s role yet.
• PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 42% by our Ascension model. Still 4% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
• NOKendre Miller (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 28% rostered. The points have not caught up with Miller’s role yet.

• ARIJalen Brooks (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 13% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Brooks’s role yet.
• LACCharlie Kolar (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 20% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kolar’s role yet.

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• BALLamar Jackson (QB): left in the first quarter (10:04 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him out (thumb). Joe Fagnano was involved in 27 plays after he left (91 passing yards, 1 INT; 3 carries for 3 yards for the game) and is under 1% rostered. Replacement: Joe Fagnano.
• BUFJoshua Palmer (WR): left in the first quarter (2:29 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him out (hamstring). DJ Moore had 7 touches after he left (1 carry for 4 yards; 4 catches on 7 targets for 82 yards, 1 TD for the game) but is 91% rostered, so he is not a pickup.

Box-score breakouts

1. NYJAdonai Mitchell WRAdd27.2 PPR · 23.7 half · 20.2 stdFAAB 10-team: 1%Adonai Mitchell (WR, NYJ): 7 catches on 9 targets for 142 yards, 1 TD, 27.2 PPR points, 12% rostered. He came in averaging 7.1 PPR points and 6.0 touches a game. With Arian Smith and Tim Patrick out, the work was his.
2. LVMike Washington Jr. RBAdd8.3 PPR · 8.3 half · 8.3 stdFAAB 12-team: 1–3%Mike Washington Jr. (RB, LV): 25 carries for 83 yards, 8.3 PPR points, 18% rostered. He came in averaging 4.2 PPR points and 6.6 touches a game. With Chris Collier out of the lineup, the work was his.
3. LVJalen Nailor WRAdd13.8 PPR · 11.8 half · 9.8 stdFAAB 14-team: 6–10%Jalen Nailor (WR, LV): 4 catches on 4 targets for 38 yards, 1 TD, 13.8 PPR points, 3% rostered. He came in averaging 2.6 PPR points and 3.3 touches a game. With Dont'e Thornton Jr. and Malik Benson out, the work was his.
4. DETSione Vaki RBAdd8.0 PPR · 7.5 half · 7.0 stdFAAB 14-team: 2–4%Sione Vaki (RB, DET): 11 carries for 65 yards; 1 catch on 1 target for 5 yards, 8.0 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 2.5 PPR points and 3.5 touches a game. With Isiah Pacheco out of the lineup, the work was his.

5. BALJustice Hill RBAdd7.5 PPR · 5.5 half · 3.5 stdFAAB 12-team: 4–8%Justice Hill (RB, BAL): 3 carries for 15 yards; 4 catches on 8 targets for 20 yards, 7.5 PPR points, 8% rostered. He came in averaging 5.1 PPR points and 5.4 touches a game. With Adam Randall out of the lineup, the work was his.
6. JAXChris Rodriguez Jr. RBWatch12.8 PPR · 12.3 half · 11.8 stdFAAB 12-team: 4–7%Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB, JAX): 6 carries for 41 yards, 1 TD; 1 catch on 1 target for 17 yards, 12.8 PPR points, 12% rostered. He came in averaging 5.1 PPR points and 6.8 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.
7. INDKeenan Allen WRAdd if available13.7 PPR · 10.2 half · 6.7 stdKeenan Allen (WR, IND): 7 catches on 7 targets for 67 yards, 13.7 PPR points, 42% rostered. He came in averaging 10.1 PPR points and 7.2 touches a game. With Anthony Gould, D.J. Montgomery and Alec Pierce out, the work was his.
8. PITDarnell Washington TEWatch12.4 PPR · 10.9 half · 9.4 stdDarnell Washington (TE, PIT): 3 catches on 5 targets for 94 yards, 12.4 PPR points, 5% rostered. He came in averaging 7.1 PPR points and 3.3 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.

Beat expectations

The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →

• NYJAdonai Mitchell (WR): 27.2 PPR vs 8.2 projected (+19.0) — 7 catches for 142 yards on 9 targets
• CLEHarold Fannin Jr. (TE): 23.4 PPR vs 8.3 projected (+15.1) — 12 targets vs a projected 6
• JAXBhayshul Tuten (RB): 29.9 PPR vs 15.3 projected (+14.6) — 2 touchdowns on 18 touches
• BUFDalton Kincaid (TE): 18.6 PPR vs 8.9 projected (+9.7) — 4 for 86, 1 TD on 6 targets
• CARChuba Hubbard (RB): 24.9 PPR vs 16.2 projected (+8.7) — 8 targets vs a projected 3
• TBKenny Gainwell (RB): 14.0 PPR vs 7.3 projected (+6.7) — 25 carries vs a projected 5 — Daniels out
• MINT.J. Hockenson (TE): 15.8 PPR vs 10.2 projected (+5.6) — 4 for 58, 1 TD on 5 targets

RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play

Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.

1. Sunday Night (add by Sun 8:20 PM ET, drop after ~11:35 PM ET): PHIElijah Mitchell Behind Saquon Barkley, 3% rostered. Next up behind Saquon Barkley; depth chart RB3.
2. Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): SEAEmanuel Wilson Behind Zach Charbonnet, 67% rostered. Wilson leads the Seattle committee if Charbonnet sits

Full RB Roulette timeline →

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• LACKeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 21% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Lambert-Smith’s role yet.
• ARIBam Knight (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 65% by our Ascension model. Still 10% rostered. The points have not caught up with Knight’s role yet.
• PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 42% by our Ascension model. Still 4% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
• NOKendre Miller (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 28% rostered. The points have not caught up with Miller’s role yet.

• ARIJalen Brooks (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 13% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Brooks’s role yet.
• LACCharlie Kolar (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 20% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kolar’s role yet.