Week 8 Waiver Wire Pickups (2026): Keon Coleman, Caleb Douglas, Bam Knight

2. 2

   Caleb Douglas WR, Miami Dolphins

   AddEfficiency spikeRostered 10%FAAB (12-team) 8% (6–10%)

   Why now: The box score (+13.0 PPR points per game) ran ahead of Caleb Douglas’ usage; expect some of it to come back.

   Projects 9.3 points per game (recent points up 13 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: NE, DET (31st vs WR), @IND.

   Next 3: NEDET@IND

   Projection this week: 8.8 PPR · 7.2 half · 5.5 standard · rest of season 9.3 PPR per game

   Best for: PPR leagues, TD-dependent, Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

3. 3

   Bam Knight RB, Arizona Cardinals

   AddInjury openingRostered 17%FAAB (12-team) 6% (4–8%)No. 19 most added

   Why now: Jeremiyah Love’s injury left 57% of the ARI carries up for grabs, and Bam Knight has absorbed 30% of it (carry share 19% → 36%).

   Carry share 19% → 36% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @DAL (32nd vs RB), @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (5th vs RB).

   Next 3: @DAL@SEALAR

   Projection this week: 6.6 PPR · 6.0 half · 5.4 standard · rest of season 6.5 PPR per game

   Best for: Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

4. 4

   Ryan Flournoy WR, Dallas Cowboys

   AddInjury openingRostered 16%FAAB (12-team) 6% (4–8%)

   Why now: Ryan Flournoy is the clearest beneficiary of KaVontae Turpin’s absence: target share 13% → 16%, snaps 60% → 83%.

   Target share 13% → 16% after KaVontae Turpin's injury; next 3: ARI, @IND, SF.

   Next 3: ARI@INDSF

   Projection this week: 9.4 PPR · 7.8 half · 6.2 standard · rest of season 8.9 PPR per game

   Best for: PPR leagues, Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

5. 5

   Kendrick Bourne WR, Arizona Cardinals

   AddDepth chart promotionRostered 7%FAAB (12-team) 4% (3–5%)

   Why now: Kendrick Bourne has moved up the ARI depth chart past Marvin Harrison Jr. and played 56% of snaps over the last two games, up from 57%.

   Target share 10% → 19%; took over from Marvin Harrison Jr.; next 3: @DAL, @SEA (1st vs WR), LAR.

   Next 3: @DAL@SEALAR

   Projection this week: 9.8 PPR · 8.0 half · 6.2 standard · rest of season 8.2 PPR per game

   Best for: PPR leagues, Bye-week fill-in

   Data: Edgehalla waiver rankings, ESPN rostered %, snap, target and carry shares (nflverse), Edgehalla rest-of-season projections, Edgehalla weekly projections · method

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• PHIDameon Pierce (RB): left in the fourth quarter (8:38 left) and did not return. Elijah Mitchell had 7 touches after he left (3 carries for 11 yards; 3 catches on 4 targets for 23 yards for the game) and is under 1% rostered. Replacement: Elijah Mitchell.

Box-score breakouts

1. PHIMakai Lemon WRAdd if available19.7 PPR · 16.2 half · 12.7 stdFAAB 10-team: 4–8%+3% rostered this weekMakai Lemon (WR, PHI): 7 catches on 8 targets for 67 yards, 1 TD, 19.7 PPR points, 37% rostered. He came in averaging 5.0 PPR points and 4.8 touches a game. With Johnny Wilson, DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks out, the work was his.
2. PHIDameon Pierce RBAdd if available11.8 PPR · 11.3 half · 10.8 std−2% rostered this weekDameon Pierce (RB, PHI): 14 carries for 47 yards, 1 TD; 1 catch on 1 target for 1 yards, 11.8 PPR points, 42% rostered. He came in averaging 9.1 PPR points and 16.5 touches a game. With Will Shipley, Tank Bigsby and Carson Steele out, the work was his.

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• GBPierre Strong (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 6% rostered. The points have not caught up with Strong’s role yet.
• LACKeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 21% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Lambert-Smith’s role yet.
• PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 42% by our Ascension model. Still 6% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
• ARIKendrick Bourne (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 35% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Bourne’s role yet.

• TBJalon Daniels (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 45% by our Ascension model. Still 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Daniels’s role yet.
• LACCharlie Kolar (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 20% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kolar’s role yet.

• RBs

  • Bam KnightARIRBInjury openingRostered 17%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 6.5 PPR · 6.0 half · 5.4 stdBye-week fill-in

    Jeremiyah Love’s injury left 57% of the ARI carries up for grabs, and Bam Knight has absorbed 30% of it (carry share 19% → 36%).

  • Ty JohnsonBUFRBProjection valueRostered 2%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 5.8 PPR · 4.9 half · 4.0 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Ty Johnson at 5.8 PPR points per game over 10 games, 6 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Samaje PerineCINRBUsage growthRostered 11%FAAB 3% (2–4%)ROS/g 5.4 PPR · 4.9 half · 4.5 stdBye-week fill-in

    Samaje Perine’s carry share rose 19% → 33% without more snaps. Gains like this kept only about a quarter of their size the next week in 2024–25, so bid modestly.

  • George HolaniSEARBRole changeRostered 7%FAAB 3% (2–4%)ROS/g 5.4 PPR · 4.8 half · 4.2 stdTD-dependentBye-week fill-in

    The SEA staff is using George Holani more: 47% of snaps over the last two games against 24% before.

  • Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXRBProjection valueRostered 11%FAAB 2% (1–3%)ROS/g 5.3 PPR · 5.2 half · 5.0 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 5.3 PPR points per game over 10 games, 3 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Roschon JohnsonCHIRBInjury openingRostered 23%FAAB 2% (1–3%)ROS/g 5.3 PPR · 4.6 half · 4.0 stdBye-week fill-in

    With Kyle Monangai out, Roschon Johnson’s carry share jumped from 5% to 23% over the last two games.

• WRs

  • Keon ColemanBUFWRRole changeRostered 29%FAAB 16% (11–21%)ROS/g 11.3 PPR · 9.4 half · 7.5 stdWeekly starter

    Keon Coleman’s role has grown: snap share 62% → 77% and target share 14% → 16%.

  • Caleb DouglasMIAWREfficiency spikeRostered 10%FAAB 8% (6–10%)ROS/g 9.3 PPR · 7.6 half · 5.8 stdPPR leaguesTD-dependentBye-week fill-in

    The box score (+13.0 PPR points per game) ran ahead of Caleb Douglas’ usage; expect some of it to come back.

  • Ryan FlournoyDALWRInjury openingRostered 16%FAAB 6% (4–8%)ROS/g 8.9 PPR · 7.3 half · 5.7 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Ryan Flournoy is the clearest beneficiary of KaVontae Turpin’s absence: target share 13% → 16%, snaps 60% → 83%.

  • Kendrick BourneARIWRDepth chart promotionRostered 7%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 8.2 PPR · 6.6 half · 5.0 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Kendrick Bourne has moved up the ARI depth chart past Marvin Harrison Jr. and played 56% of snaps over the last two games, up from 57%.

  • Jahan DotsonATLWRProjection valueRostered 3%FAAB 4% (3–5%)ROS/g 8.3 PPR · 7.0 half · 5.8 stdBye-week fill-in

    Jahan Dotson projects for 8.3 PPR points per game the rest of the way, more than the players usually left on 12-team waivers.

  • Cooper KuppSEAWRProjection valueRostered 9%FAAB 3% (2–4%)ROS/g 7.8 PPR · 6.5 half · 5.1 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Cooper Kupp at 7.8 PPR points per game over 9 games, 4 points above a 12-team replacement.

• TEs

  • Dalton SchultzHOUTEProjection valueRostered 30%FAAB 1%ROS/g 9.0 PPR · 9.0 half · 9.0 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Dalton Schultz at 9.0 PPR points per game over 9 games, 1 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • AJ BarnerSEATEProjection valueRostered 6%FAAB 1%ROS/g 8.1 PPR · 6.7 half · 5.3 stdBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has AJ Barner at 8.1 PPR points per game over 9 games, 0 points above a 12-team replacement.

  • Colby ParkinsonLARTEInjury openingRostered 7%FAAB 1%ROS/g 0.0 PPR · 0.0 half · 4.8 stdBye-week fill-in

    Terrance Ferguson’s injury left 13% of the LAR targets up for grabs, and Colby Parkinson has absorbed 96% of it (target share 8% → 20%).

  • Greg DulcichMIATERole changeRostered 1%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.3 PPR · 5.7 half · 4.2 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    The MIA staff is using Greg Dulcich more: 70% of snaps over the last two games against 53% before.

  • Chig OkonkwoWASTERole changeRostered 5%FAAB 1%ROS/g 7.0 PPR · 5.5 half · 4.0 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    More snaps (59% → 74%) and more targets (13% → 23%) point to a real role change for Chig Okonkwo, the kind that has held up best in our backtests.

  • Cade OttonTBTEProjection valueRostered 4%FAAB 1%ROS/g 8.0 PPR · 6.3 half · 4.7 stdPPR leaguesBye-week fill-in

    Our rest-of-season projection has Cade Otton at 8.0 PPR points per game over 9 games, 2 points above a 12-team replacement.

• Defenses

  • JAX D/STJAXDSTStreamerRostered 28%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    JAX D/ST: 6.6 projected vs IND (implied 19.5).

  • GB D/STGBDSTStreamerRostered 11%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    GB D/ST: 6.5 projected vs CAR (implied 22).

  • WAS D/STWASDSTStreamerRostered 3%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    WAS D/ST: 6.4 projected vs PHI (implied 18).

• Kickers

  • Tyler BassBUFKStreamerRostered 10%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Tyler Bass: 9.2 projected: team total 28.5.

  • Evan McPhersonCINKStreamerRostered 21%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Evan McPherson: 9.2 projected: team total 28.3.

  • Chase McLaughlinTBKStreamerRostered 25%FAAB $0–1%Weekly starter

    Chase McLaughlin: 9.2 projected: team total 24.5.

• Standard (12-team)

  Twelve teams, players rostered in under 35% of ESPN leagues. This is the default list the rest of the article uses.

  1. 1.Keon Coleman WR, BUF · 29% rostered · FAAB 16% (11–21%)

     Snap share 62% → 77%, target share 14% → 16%: bigger role; next 3: BAL (25th vs WR), @MIN (2nd vs WR), @NYJ

  2. 2.Caleb Douglas WR, MIA · 10% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Projects 9.3 points per game (recent points up 13 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: NE, DET (31st vs WR), @IND

  3. 3.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 17% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Carry share 19% → 36% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @DAL (32nd vs RB), @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (5th vs RB)

  4. 4.Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL · 16% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Target share 13% → 16% after KaVontae Turpin's injury; next 3: ARI, @IND, SF

  5. 5.Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI · 7% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Target share 10% → 19%; took over from Marvin Harrison Jr.; next 3: @DAL, @SEA (1st vs WR), LAR

  6. 6.Jahan Dotson WR, ATL · 3% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Projects 8.3 points per game; next 3: @TB (4th vs WR), CIN, KC (7th vs WR)

  7. 7.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Projects 5.8 points per game; next 3: BAL, @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB)

  8. 8.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 11% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)

     Carry share 19% → 33% at steady snaps; next 3: TEN, @ATL, PIT (4th vs RB)

  9. 9.Cooper Kupp WR, SEA · 9% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)

     Projects 7.8 points per game; next 3: CHI, ARI, @LV

  10. 10.Omar Cooper Jr. WR, NYJ · 35% rostered · FAAB 2% (1–3%)

      Target share 5% → 21% after a depth-chart promotion; next 3: LV, @KC (7th vs WR), BUF (32nd vs WR)

• Deep (14+ teams)

  Fourteen-plus teams: only players rostered in under 10% of ESPN leagues, ranked on rest-of-season value over a deeper replacement level.

  1. 1.Caleb Douglas WR, MIA · 10% rostered · FAAB 26% (18–34%)

     Projects 9.3 points per game (recent points up 13 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: NE, DET (31st vs WR), @IND

  2. 2.Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI · 7% rostered · FAAB 16% (11–21%)

     Target share 10% → 19%; took over from Marvin Harrison Jr.; next 3: @DAL, @SEA (1st vs WR), LAR

  3. 3.Jahan Dotson WR, ATL · 3% rostered · FAAB 16% (11–21%)

     Projects 8.3 points per game; next 3: @TB (4th vs WR), CIN, KC (7th vs WR)

  4. 4.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 15% (11–20%)

     Projects 5.8 points per game; next 3: BAL, @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB)

  5. 5.Cooper Kupp WR, SEA · 9% rostered · FAAB 14% (10–18%)

     Projects 7.8 points per game; next 3: CHI, ARI, @LV

  6. 6.Malachi Fields WR, NYG · 5% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Snap share 69% → 84%, target share 11% → 19%: bigger role; next 3: BYE, @PHI (28th vs WR), WAS

  7. 7.Ted Hurst III WR, TB · 9% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Projects 7.4 points per game; next 3: ATL, @CHI, BYE

  8. 8.George Holani RB, SEA · 7% rostered · FAAB 12% (8–16%)

     Snap share 24% → 47%, carry share 14% → 16%: bigger role; next 3: CHI, ARI, @LV (29th vs RB)

  9. 9.Xavier Hutchinson WR, HOU · 2% rostered · FAAB 11% (8–14%)

     Target share 15% → 15% after a depth-chart promotion; next 3: BYE, @LAC, @CLE

  10. 10.Dylan Sampson RB, CLE · 9% rostered · FAAB 11% (8–14%)

      Carry share 14% → 21% after Raheim Sanders's injury; next 3: @PIT (4th vs RB), @NO (25th vs RB), HOU

• Superflex / 2QB (12-team)

  A second QB slot makes every starting quarterback valuable, so quarterbacks climb this list.

  1. 1.Jacoby Brissett QB, ARI · 20% rostered · FAAB 35% (25–46%)

     Projects 16.4 points per game; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: @DAL (29th vs QB), @SEA (2nd vs QB), LAR

  2. 2.Michael Penix Jr. QB, ATL · 13% rostered · FAAB 31% (22–40%)

     Snap share 86% → 100% after Cooper Rush's injury; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: @TB (4th vs QB), CIN, KC (8th vs QB)

  3. 3.Malik Willis QB, MIA · 6% rostered · FAAB 25% (18–33%)

     Snap share 65% → 100%: bigger role; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: NE (5th vs QB), DET (32nd vs QB), @IND

  4. 4.Sam Darnold QB, SEA · 31% rostered · FAAB 32% (22–42%)

     Snap share 82% → 100% after Drew Lock's injury; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: CHI (28th vs QB), ARI (30th vs QB), @LV (25th vs QB)

  5. 5.Tanner McKee QB, PHI · 6% rostered · FAAB 22% (15–29%)

     Snap share 25% → 100% after Jalen Hurts's injury; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: @WAS (31st vs QB), NYG (26th vs QB), BYE

  6. 6.Deshaun Watson QB, CLE · 15% rostered · FAAB 25% (18–33%)

     Projects 14.3 points per game; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: @PIT (7th vs QB), @NO, HOU

  7. 7.Daniel Jones QB, IND · 13% rostered · FAAB 25% (18–33%)

     Projects 13.9 points per game; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: @JAX, DAL (29th vs QB), MIA

  8. 8.Geno Smith QB, NYJ · 13% rostered · FAAB 23% (16–30%)

     Projects 13.1 points per game; projected Week 8 starter (98% to start); next 3: LV (25th vs QB), @KC (8th vs QB), BUF (27th vs QB)

• Dynasty stashes (12-team)

  Long-term stashes: youth, rookies and handcuffs with contingent value rank above this week’s points.

  1. 1.Emmett Johnson RB, KC · 13% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Handcuff to Kenneth Walker III; next 3: @DEN, NYJ (26th vs RB), @ATL

  2. 2.Kaelon Black RB, SF · 22% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Handcuff to Christian McCaffrey; next 3: BYE, LV (29th vs RB), @DAL (32nd vs RB)

  3. 3.Mike Washington Jr. RB, LV · 18% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Handcuff to Ashton Jeanty; next 3: @NYJ (26th vs RB), @SF, SEA (3rd vs RB)

  4. 4.Sione Vaki RB, DET · 1% rostered · FAAB 2% (1–3%)

     Handcuff to Jahmyr Gibbs; next 3: MIN (1st vs RB), @MIA (31st vs RB), NE (2nd vs RB)

  5. 5.Trevor Etienne RB, CAR · 0% rostered · FAAB 1%

     Handcuff to Chuba Hubbard; next 3: @GB, DEN, @NO (25th vs RB)

  6. 6.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 11% rostered · FAAB 10% (7–13%)

     Handcuff to Chase Brown; next 3: TEN, @ATL, PIT (4th vs RB)

  7. 7.Seth McGowan RB, IND · 4% rostered · FAAB 5% (4–7%)

     Handcuff to Jonathan Taylor; next 3: @JAX (6th vs RB), DAL (32nd vs RB), MIA (31st vs RB)

  8. 8.Jonah Coleman RB, DEN · 24% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Handcuff to J.K. Dobbins; next 3: KC (7th vs RB), @CAR (28th vs RB), BYE

• TE premium (12-team)

  Tight ends get +0.5 points per catch, so pass-catching tight ends gain ground.

  1. 1.Keon Coleman WR, BUF · 29% rostered · FAAB 15% (11–20%)

     Snap share 62% → 77%, target share 14% → 16%: bigger role; next 3: BAL (25th vs WR), @MIN (2nd vs WR), @NYJ

  2. 2.Bam Knight RB, ARI · 17% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Carry share 19% → 36% after Jeremiyah Love's injury; next 3: @DAL (32nd vs RB), @SEA (3rd vs RB), LAR (5th vs RB)

  3. 3.Caleb Douglas WR, MIA · 10% rostered · FAAB 8% (6–10%)

     Projects 9.3 points per game (recent points up 13 on flat usage: regression risk); next 3: NE, DET (31st vs WR), @IND

  4. 4.Ryan Flournoy WR, DAL · 16% rostered · FAAB 6% (4–8%)

     Target share 13% → 16% after KaVontae Turpin's injury; next 3: ARI, @IND, SF

  5. 5.Kendrick Bourne WR, ARI · 7% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Target share 10% → 19%; took over from Marvin Harrison Jr.; next 3: @DAL, @SEA (1st vs WR), LAR

  6. 6.Ty Johnson RB, BUF · 2% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Projects 5.8 points per game; next 3: BAL, @MIN (1st vs RB), @NYJ (26th vs RB)

  7. 7.Jahan Dotson WR, ATL · 3% rostered · FAAB 4% (3–5%)

     Projects 8.3 points per game; next 3: @TB (4th vs WR), CIN, KC (7th vs WR)

  8. 8.Samaje Perine RB, CIN · 11% rostered · FAAB 3% (2–4%)

     Carry share 19% → 33% at steady snaps; next 3: TEN, @ATL, PIT (4th vs RB)

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• DENJaylen Waddle (WR): left in the fourth quarter (4:51 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (chest). No teammate at his position stood out after he left.

Box-score breakouts

1. LARDavis Allen TEAdd18.0 PPR · 16.0 half · 14.0 stdDavis Allen (TE, LAR): 4 catches on 5 targets for 20 yards, 2 TD, 18.0 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 2.1 PPR points and 1.7 touches a game. With Terrance Ferguson out of the lineup, the work was his.
2. ARIBam Knight RBAdd9.3 PPR · 7.8 half · 6.3 stdFAAB 12-team: 5–9%−1% rostered this weekBam Knight (RB, ARI): 7 carries for 48 yards; 3 catches on 5 targets for 15 yards, 9.3 PPR points, 12% rostered. He came in averaging 3.8 PPR points and 5.0 touches a game. With Jeremiyah Love, James Conner and Trey Benson out, the work was his.

Beat expectations

The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →

• LARDavis Allen (TE): 18.0 PPR vs 3.0 projected (+15.0) — 2 touchdowns on 5 touches
• DETJameson Williams (WR): 26.1 PPR vs 14.1 projected (+12.0) — 2 touchdowns on 9 touches
• ARITrey McBride (TE): 27.1 PPR vs 15.6 projected (+11.5) — 10 catches for 111 yards on 13 targets

RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play

Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.

1. Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): PHIDameon Pierce Behind Saquon Barkley, 42% rostered. Pierce is the only healthy back behind Barkley

Full RB Roulette timeline →

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• GBPierre Strong (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Strong’s role yet.
• LACKeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 21% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Lambert-Smith’s role yet.
• PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 42% by our Ascension model. Still 5% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
• ARIKendrick Bourne (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 35% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Bourne’s role yet.

• TBJalon Daniels (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 45% by our Ascension model. Still 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Daniels’s role yet.
• LACCharlie Kolar (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 20% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kolar’s role yet.

In-game injuries: who left, who replaced him

• CHICole Kmet (TE): left in the fourth quarter (5:46 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (knee). No teammate at his position stood out after he left.
• NYGTyrone Tracy Jr. (RB): left in the second quarter (5:29 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (hamstring). Cam Skattebo had 9 touches after he left (17 carries for 124 yards, 1 TD; 1 catch on 1 target for -3 yards for the game) but is 92% rostered, so he is not a pickup.
• MINAaron Jones Sr. (RB): left in the fourth quarter (12:22 left) and did not return. ESPN lists him questionable (knee). Jordan Mason had 5 touches after he left (15 carries for 68 yards; 0 catches on 2 targets for 0 yards for the game) but is 65% rostered, so he is not a pickup.

Box-score breakouts

1. NYJMason Taylor TEWatch23.2 PPR · 20.7 half · 18.2 std+1% rostered this weekMason Taylor (TE, NYJ): 5 catches on 6 targets for 62 yards, 2 TD, 23.2 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 3.6 PPR points and 3.0 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.
2. CLEKC Concepcion WRAdd if available23.2 PPR · 19.2 half · 15.2 std+1% rostered this weekKC Concepcion (WR, CLE): 3 carries for 23 yards; 8 catches on 10 targets for 129 yards, 23.2 PPR points, 43% rostered. He came in averaging 6.6 PPR points and 6.8 touches a game. The volume is the story: 13 touches, up from 6.8.
3. MIAMalik Willis QBWatch26.0 PPR · 26.0 half · 26.0 stdFAAB 12-team: $0Malik Willis (QB, MIA): 208 passing yards, 2 TD; 8 carries for 37 yards, 1 TD, 26.0 PPR points, 6% rostered. He came in averaging 12.1 PPR points and 5.4 touches a game. Big plays rather than a bigger role: worth watching, not a priority claim.
4. MIACaleb Douglas WRAdd21.0 PPR · 20.0 half · 19.0 stdFAAB 12-team: 6–10%+1% rostered this weekCaleb Douglas (WR, MIA): 2 catches on 3 targets for 70 yards, 2 TD, 21.0 PPR points, 10% rostered. He came in averaging 9.2 PPR points and 5.0 touches a game. With Jalen Tolbert out of the lineup, the work was his.

5. NEEli Raridon TEAdd14.6 PPR · 13.1 half · 11.6 stdEli Raridon (TE, NE): 3 catches on 4 targets for 56 yards, 1 TD, 14.6 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 5.2 PPR points and 2.4 touches a game. With Julian Hill out of the lineup, the work was his.
6. NYJOmar Cooper Jr. WRAdd22.5 PPR · 20.0 half · 17.5 std+1% rostered this weekOmar Cooper Jr. (WR, NYJ): 5 catches on 5 targets for 115 yards, 1 TD, 22.5 PPR points, 35% rostered. He came in averaging 13.2 PPR points and 4.0 touches a game. With Arian Smith out of the lineup, the work was his.
7. TBTez Johnson WRAdd12.7 PPR · 11.7 half · 10.7 stdFAAB 14-team: 1–3%+2% rostered this weekTez Johnson (WR, TB): 1 carry for 14 yards; 2 catches on 2 targets for 33 yards, 1 TD, 12.7 PPR points, under 1% rostered. He came in averaging 3.7 PPR points and 2.5 touches a game. With Jalen McMillan and Emeka Egbuka out, the work was his.
8. NYGDevin Singletary RBAdd14.5 PPR · 13.0 half · 11.5 stdFAAB 12-team: 1%Devin Singletary (RB, NYG): 5 carries for 41 yards, 1 TD; 3 catches on 3 targets for 14 yards, 14.5 PPR points, 2% rostered. He came in averaging 6.3 PPR points and 6.3 touches a game. With Tyrone Tracy Jr. out of the lineup, the work was his.

Beat expectations

The player in each game who beat our pregame projection by the most (PPR, box scores). Every game on Over Expected →

• TENTony Pollard (RB): 36.5 PPR vs 12.1 projected (+24.4) — 3 touchdowns on 28 touches
• NYJMason Taylor (TE): 23.2 PPR vs 4.9 projected (+18.3) — 2 touchdowns on 6 touches
• BALZay Flowers (WR): 27.7 PPR vs 16.5 projected (+11.2) — 8 catches for 137 yards on 11 targets
• NYGCam Skattebo (RB): 19.1 PPR vs 8.2 projected (+10.9) — 124 rushing yards on 17 carries
• CHILuther Burden III (WR): 23.7 PPR vs 12.9 projected (+10.8) — 4 catches for 130 yards on 4 targets
• TBSean Tucker (RB): 11.2 PPR vs 2.6 projected (+8.6) — 7 carries for 52, 1 TD
• ATLNick Muse (TE): 8.2 PPR vs 0.1 projected (+8.1) — 2 for 2, 1 TD on 2 targets
• NOBarion Brown (WR): 8.7 PPR vs 1.0 projected (+7.7) — 3 for 57 on 3 targets

RB Roulette: the rotation for the games still to play

Running Back Roulette, our sister site, rotates one bench spot through the next man up in every kickoff window. Still to play this week: add each back before his game, drop him after it.

1. Sunday Night (add by Sun 8:20 PM ET, drop after ~11:35 PM ET): KCEmmett Johnson Behind Kenneth Walker III, 13% rostered. Johnson is the last healthy back behind Walker
2. Monday Night (add by Mon 8:15 PM ET, drop after ~11:30 PM ET): PHIDameon Pierce Behind Saquon Barkley, 42% rostered. Pierce is the only healthy back behind Barkley

Full RB Roulette timeline →

Get them before they pop off

Rising usage, points not there yet, still lightly rostered: stashes to claim before the breakout game.

• GBPierre Strong (RB): A growing role. Breakout chance 57% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Strong’s role yet.
• LACKeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 21% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Lambert-Smith’s role yet.
• PHITanner McKee (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 42% by our Ascension model. Still 5% rostered. The points have not caught up with McKee’s role yet.
• ARIKendrick Bourne (WR): A growing role. Breakout chance 35% by our Ascension model. Still 7% rostered. The points have not caught up with Bourne’s role yet.

• TBJalon Daniels (QB): A growing role. Breakout chance 45% by our Ascension model. Still 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Daniels’s role yet.
• LACCharlie Kolar (TE): A growing role. Breakout chance 20% by our Ascension model. Still under 1% rostered. The points have not caught up with Kolar’s role yet.