Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Hellebuyck vs Jacob Markstrom
In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Jacob Markstrom's .883.
Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Markstrom −13.7.
This week Hellebuyck has 1 game left; Markstrom has 1 left.
Connor Hellebuyck has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Hellebuyck's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, Goals saved above expected +1.1, Save % .895.
Markstrom's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.21, Shutouts 1, Goals against 130.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Hellebuyck
0.98
fantasy points per game
Jacob Markstrom
0.74
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Hellebuyck has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hellebuyck | Markstrom |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.61 | 2.09 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.68 | -5.91 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.86 | 4.47 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.19 | 0.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hellebuyck vs Markstrom
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hellebuyck | Markstrom |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | WPG 4–3 NJD | 26/29 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2026-01-11 | WPG 4–3 NJD | 24/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-03-28 | WPG 4–0 NJD | 24/24 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-03-07 | WPG 6–1 NJD | 22/23 SV | 29/35 SV |
| 2024-04-04 | WPG 5–2 CGY | 31/33 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-02-19 | WPG 3–6 CGY | 28/33 SV | 28/31 SV |
| 2023-10-11 | WPG 3–5 CGY | 17/21 SV | 34/37 SV |
| 2023-04-05 | WPG 1–3 CGY | 32/35 SV | 34/35 SV |
| 2023-01-03 | WPG 3–2 CGY | 33/35 SV | 22/25 SV |
| 2022-11-12 | WPG 2–3 CGY | 32/35 SV | 21/23 SV |
| 2022-04-29 | WPG 3–1 CGY | 32/33 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2022-02-21 | WPG 1–3 CGY | 28/30 SV | 22/23 SV |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Hellebuyck
2games (1 left)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET
Jacob Markstrom
3games (1 left)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Hellebuyck or Jacob Markstrom?
- In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Jacob Markstrom's .883. Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Markstrom −13.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Connor Hellebuyck or Jacob Markstrom?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Hellebuyck leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hellebuyck and Markstrom done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Hellebuyck's team went 22–8.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →