Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsApr 14, 2023

FinalFriday, Apr 14, 2023· Bridgestone Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	3	0	1	4		COL	18	5	11	34
NSH	1	2	0	3		NSH	4	8	9	21

: COL 70NSH 39
: COL 3.49NSH 1.68
PP goals: COL 0NSH 1
Hits: COL 12NSH 22
Blocks: COL 12NSH 22
PIM: COL 4NSH 8
: COL 39%NSH 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Nashville Predators 4–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Nashville Predators 4–3 at NSH. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 3G 1A. Colton Sissons (NSH) played 19:36, +3:49 up on his 15:47 season average over 81 games.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a hat trick and an assist (4 points) on 8 shots in 23:34.MacKinnon
Points
Kiefer Sherwood had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:06.Sherwood
Points
Devon Toews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:54.Toews
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:02.Rantanen
Usage
Colton Sissons (NSH) played 19:36, +3:49 up on his 15:47 season average over 81 games.Sissons
Usage
Evan Rodrigues (COL) played 21:46, +3:58 up on his 17:48 season average over 68 games.Rodrigues
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 25:23, +3:56 up on his 21:27 season average over 75 games.Girard
Usage
Cal Foote (NSH) played 18:36, +3:33 up on his 15:03 season average over 49 games.Foote

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · NSH 39 · COL 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 47% of the game, NSH 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	64	43
	2.40	1.83
	2.33	1.76
	11	7
	6	6
	22	12
	−0.087	+0.087
	47%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Rantanen – Rodrigues
8:5060% CF
L2Eller – Nieto – O'Connor
6:2764% CF
L3Compher – Lehkonen – Nichushkin
6:2056% CF
L4Galchenyuk – Newhook – Meyers
2:0320% CF
D1Toews – Girard
10:5682% CF
D2Johnson – Byram
9:3846% CF

PP1Compher – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Toews – Rantanen
4:58100% CF
PP2Lehkonen – Rodrigues – Girard – Byram – Newhook
2:53100% CF
PK1FCompher – Nichushkin
1:17
PK2FNieto – O'Connor
1:08
PK1DToews – Girard
1:12
PK2DJohnson – Johnson
0:43

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Sanford – Glass – Tomasino
11:3340% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Parssinen
11:1217% CF
L3Novak – Sherwood – Evangelista
9:4850% CF
L4Jankowski – McCarron – Asplund
5:050% CF
D1McDonagh – Fabbro
15:5532% CF
D2Barrie – Livingstone
12:0850% CF
D3Foote – Stastney
12:0825% CF

PP1Barrie – Novak – Glass – Tomasino – Evangelista
1:54100% CF
PP2Sissons – Sanford – Trenin – Fabbro – Sherwood
0:5950% CF
PK1FSissons – Trenin
3:06
PK2FJankowski – McCarron
2:37
PK1DFoote – Stastney
3:07
PK2DMcDonagh – Fabbro
2:53

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:28
COLDevon Toews (Nathan MacKinnon, Evan Rodrigues)wrist0.02 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, GirardNSH: McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen
COL 1 – 0 NSH
3:20
COLNathan MacKinnon (Devon Toews, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.17 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, GirardNSH: McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen
COL 2 – 0 NSH
5:42
NSHKiefer Sherwoodwrist0.01 xG
COL: Johnson, Galchenyuk, Byram, Newhook, MeyersNSH: Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Stastney, Evangelista
COL 2 – 1 NSH
13:14
COLNathan MacKinnon (Samuel Girard)backhand0.23 xG
COL: Johnson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, GirardNSH: McDonagh, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista
COL 3 – 1 NSH

2nd period

2:32
NSHLuke Evangelista (Tommy Novak, Cal Foote)wrist0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Galchenyuk, MacDermid, Newhook, MeyersNSH: Barrie, Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Evangelista
COL 3 – 2 NSH
7:08
NSHKiefer SherwoodPP (Yakov Trenin, Colton Sissons)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Johnson, Nieto, Girard, O'ConnorNSH: Sissons, Sanford, Trenin, Fabbro, Sherwood
COL 3 – 3 NSH

3rd period

18:18
COLNathan MacKinnon (Mikko Rantanen)snap0.03 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Byram, NewhookNSH: Barrie, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen
COL 4 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	3	1	4	+4	8	0.74	0	0	0	23:34	—	—	68	72
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	0	1	1	+3	1	0.12	0	0	2	21:46	—	—	67	58
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.76	0	0	0	19:02	—	—	62	61
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.38	0	0	0	12:38	—	—	56	49
Lars Eller C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	12:23	—	—	57	52
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	11:53	—	—	53	50
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.27	1	0	0	22:07	—	—	68	73
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	20:24	—	—	52	34
Artturi Lehkonen L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	1	0	18:22	—	—	68	55
Alex Newhook C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	0	0	0	10:47	—	—	52	52
Ben Meyers C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:02	—	—	42	73
Alex Galchenyuk C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	2:56	—	—	20	51
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	+4	1	0.01	1	0	0	25:23	—	—	78	67
Devon Toews D	D1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.24	0	1	0	24:54	—	—	70	63
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	25:11	—	—	51	38
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	1	0	17:39	—	—	45	58
Erik Johnson D	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.06	1	4	0	16:29	—	—	46	47
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	5:16	—	—	73	77

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	21	18	3	.857	1.68	59:56

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Cody Glass C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	0	0	17:39	—	—	39	40
Philip Tomasino R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	46	53
Zachary Sanford L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	4	1	0	15:44	—	—	49	57
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	1	1	-3	0	0.00	3	3	0	19:36	—	—	32	40
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	1	1	-3	1	0.00	1	1	2	18:48	—	—	21	1
Juuso Parssinen C	L2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:24	—	—	25	12
Kiefer Sherwood L	L3	2	0	2	+1	2	0.35	2	2	0	16:06	—	—	50	49
Luke Evangelista R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	15:33	—	—	53	47
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	1	0	0	15:21	—	—	46	40
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	11:12	—	—	42	62
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:14	—	—	64	83
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	5:30	—	—	33	73
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.12	0	2	0	23:58	—	—	39	43
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	-4	2	0.13	2	4	2	21:10	—	—	31	37
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	19:52	—	—	55	44
Jake Livingstone D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	2	15:38	—	—	47	34
Spencer Stastney D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	2	2	18:49	—	—	32	51
Cal Foote D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.02	2	3	0	18:36	—	—	33	53

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kevin Lankinen(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	2.86	58:23

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.