St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresNov 6, 2025

FinalThursday, Nov 6, 2025· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
STL	1	1	1	3		STL	4	8	5	17
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	7	9	12	28

: STL 38BUF 60
: STL 2.07BUF 2.54
PP goals: STL 0BUF 0
Hits: STL 15BUF 16
Blocks: STL 19BUF 12
PIM: STL 11BUF 9
: STL 54%BUF 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0 at BUF. Mathieu Joseph (STL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for STL: Schenn–Suter–Holloway skated 9:29 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mathieu Joseph had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 12:21.Joseph
Points
Justin Faulk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:16.Faulk
New line
New look for STL: Schenn–Suter–Holloway skated 9:29 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Schenn Suter Holloway
New line
New look for BUF: Thompson–Rosen–Ostlund skated 7:25 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (41.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thompson Rosen Ostlund
New line
New look for STL: Bjugstad–Walker–Joseph skated 8:14 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bjugstad Walker Joseph
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 2.55 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Quinn–Kozak skated 6:07 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Quinn Kozak
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 16:09, −6:46 down on his 22:55 season average over 77 games.Samuelsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 98 of 98 attempts · BUF 60 · STL 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 24% of the game, BUF 50%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

BUF skaters (rows) against STL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the BUF side.

Matchup matrix

BUF xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	BUF
	36	61
	1.06	2.33
	1.05	2.23
	5	12
	7	4
	19	10
	+0.030	−0.030
	24%	50%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Schenn – Suter – Holloway
9:2953% CF
L2Bjugstad – Walker – Joseph
8:1443% CF
L3Buchnevich – Thomas – Snuggerud
5:2740% CF
L4Texier – Toropchenko – Dvorsky
3:4925% CF
D1Parayko – Broberg
16:2618% CF
D2Faulk – Fowler
15:2533% CF
D3Tucker – Kessel
1:4740% CF

PP1Fowler – Buchnevich – Thomas – Snuggerud – Dvorsky
2:030% CF
PP2Schenn – Faulk – Suter – Broberg – Holloway
1:47100% CF
PK1FToropchenko – Suter
1:50
PK2FBuchnevich – Thomas
1:23
PK1DParayko – Broberg
3:45
PK2DFaulk – Tucker
2:03

Current STL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – McLeod – Doan
11:2477% CF
L2Thompson – Rosen – Ostlund
7:2542% CF
L3Malenstyn – Krebs – Dunne
6:0870% CF
L4Greenway – Quinn – Kozak
6:0727% CF
D1Kesselring – Byram
10:1847% CF
D2Timmins – Power
9:5267% CF
D3Samuelsson – Dahlin
8:5955% CF

PP1Thompson – Dahlin – Quinn – Doan – Rosen
4:0775% CF
PP2Tuch – McLeod – Byram – Power – Ostlund
1:020% CF
PK1FMcLeod – Quinn
0:52
PK2FMalenstyn – Kozak
0:24
PK1DTimmins – Samuelsson
1:58
PK2DDahlin – Byram
0:55

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Holloway L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:18	—	—	40	46
Pius Suter C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	17:08	—	—	37	35
Brayden Schenn C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	1	1	0	16:43	—	—	50	52
Mathieu Joseph R	L2	1	2	3	+3	1	0.44	0	1	0	12:21	—	—	43	31
Nathan Walker L	L2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.18	2	2	0	12:10	—	—	40	31
Nick Bjugstad C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.10	0	0	0	11:27	—	—	40	31
Pavel Buchnevich L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	0	17:13	—	—	40	17
Jimmy Snuggerud R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	3	2	17:00	—	—	30	32
Robert Thomas C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	15:28	—	—	38	17
Alexey Toropchenko R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	4	1	0	13:12	—	—	33	34
Alexandre Texier L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:23	—	—	25	2
Dalibor Dvorsky R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:22	—	—	20	32
Philip Broberg D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	4	0	27:09	—	—	27	23
Colton Parayko D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	3	0	25:11	—	—	25	14
Justin Faulk D	D2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.52	1	1	0	24:16	—	—	37	15
Cam Fowler D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.20	0	0	2	24:08	—	—	42	27
Tyler Tucker D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	5	9:26	—	—	42	51
Matthew Kessel D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:05	—	—	69	69

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joel Hofer(start)	W	28	28	0	.1000	2.54	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan McLeod C	L1	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	19:04	—	—	73	96
Josh Doan R	L1	-2	4	0.50	0	0	0	18:24	—	—	79	96
Alex Tuch R	L1	-1	2	0.32	0	0	2	16:07	—	—	74	94
Tage Thompson C	L2	-2	2	0.10	2	0	0	20:00	—	—	62	69
Isak Rosen R	L2	-1	3	0.52	0	1	0	17:10	—	—	64	67
Noah Ostlund C	L2	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:46	—	—	58	34
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	1	0.08	2	1	0	14:41	—	—	75	85
Beck Malenstyn L	L3	-1	2	0.07	4	1	0	10:17	—	—	58	40
Josh Dunne C	L3	0	1	0.05	0	0	5	8:39	—	—	81	86
Jack Quinn R	L4	-1	3	0.23	0	1	0	20:16	—	—	44	56
Jordan Greenway L	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	21	21
Tyson Kozak C	L4	-1	1	0.09	4	0	0	10:10	—	—	25	24
Bowen Byram D	D1	-1	0	0.09	1	0	0	21:03	—	—	50	62
Michael Kesselring D	D1	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	15:59	—	—	50	68
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	22:58	—	—	69	83
Conor Timmins D	D2	0	2	0.05	0	2	0	17:19	—	—	74	98
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	-3	3	0.28	1	1	0	22:43	—	—	72	62
Mattias Samuelsson D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:09	—	—	56	56

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	16	14	2	.875	1.57	59:50

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Mathieu Joseph (STL SH) 1st 12:38 · unassisted · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-0 at the blue line · 42.6 mph shot · 2.2 s from entry to goal.

Mathieu Joseph · 1st 12:38 · STL SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 42.6 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Entry to goal: 2.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 2:42 · STL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 59.1 mph
Distance: 40 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Justin Faulk · 3rd 18:58 · STL EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 5-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 7.6 mph
Distance: 59 ft
Entry to goal: 0.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

St. Louis Blues vs. Buffalo SabresNov 6, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

St. Louis Blues beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

St. Louis Blues

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

Mathieu Joseph · 1st 12:38 · STL SH

Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 2:42 · STL

Justin Faulk · 3rd 18:58 · STL EN