Washington Capitals vs. Vegas Golden KnightsMay 28, 2018

FinalPlayoffsMonday, May 28, 2018· T-Mobile Arena

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

4

@

home

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	2	1	1	4		WSH	10	8	10	28
VGK	2	1	3	6		VGK	11	14	9	34

: WSH 68VGK 67
: WSH 2.38VGK 3.41
PP goals: WSH 0VGK 1
Hits: WSH 38VGK 25
Blocks: WSH 18VGK 17
PIM: WSH 4VGK 2
: WSH 48%VGK 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights beat Washington Capitals 6–4

Vegas Golden Knights beat Washington Capitals 6–4 at home. Tomas Nosek (VGK) led the scoring with 2G 0A. VGK scored 6 goals on 3.41 expected goals (67 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Tomas Nosek had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:22.Nosek
Points
Nicklas Backstrom had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:39.Backstrom
Points
Reilly Smith had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:34.Smith
Points
Deryk Engelland had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:50.Engelland
Points
T.J. Oshie had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:30.Oshie
Luck
VGK scored 6 goals on 3.41 expected goals (67 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Luck
WSH scored 4 goals on 2.38 expected goals (68 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Andre Burakovsky (WSH) played 13:53, +3:27 up on his 10:26 season average over 12 games.Burakovsky

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)VGK attacks right (top on phones) →

VGK
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · VGK 67 · WSH 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

VGK
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

VGK pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 26% of the game, VGK 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

VGK

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	VGK
	71	73
	2.56	2.99
	2.49	2.96
	18	17
	4	7
	18	31
	−0.016	+0.016
	26%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
13:5650% CF
L2Oshie – Backstrom – Vrana
13:5459% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
9:2364% CF
L4Beagle – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson
8:5821% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
21:2150% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
17:5160% CF
D3Orpik – Djoos
8:1835% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
2:00100% CF
PK1FBeagle – Stephenson
0:54
PK2FEller – Wilson
0:22
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
0:51
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
0:25

Current WSH line combinations →

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
14:2664% CF
L2Reaves – Bellemare – Nosek
8:5477% CF
L3Neal – Haula – Tuch
8:1239% CF
L4Perron – Eakin – Carpenter
7:0635% CF
D1Engelland – Theodore
17:0963% CF
D2McNabb – Schmidt
16:4942% CF
D3Sbisa – Miller
15:1231% CF

PP1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault – Theodore – Tuch
0:58100% CF
PP2Neal – Perron – Haula – Miller – Schmidt
0:18100% CF
PK1FEakin – Bellemare
0:41
PK2FSmith – Karlsson
0:33
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
1:38
PK2DSbisa – Schmidt
0:20

Current VGK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:15
VGKColin MillerPP (Erik Haula)slap0.05 xG
WSH: Beagle, Carlson, Orlov, StephensonVGK: Neal, Perron, Haula, Miller, Schmidt
WSH 0 – 1 VGK
14:41
WSHBrett Connolly (Michal Kempny, Andre Burakovsky)deflected0.09 xG
WSH: Eller, Carlson, Connolly, Burakovsky, KempnyVGK: Perron, Sbisa, Eakin, Miller, Carpenter
WSH 1 – 1 VGK
15:23
WSHNicklas Backstrom (T.J. Oshie, Jakub Vrana)backhand0.02 xG
WSH: Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, VranaVGK: Engelland, Neal, Haula, Theodore, Tuch
WSH 2 – 1 VGK
18:19
VGKWilliam Karlsson (Reilly Smith, Deryk Engelland)wrist0.12 xG
WSH: Oshie, Niskanen, Eller, Carlson, VranaVGK: Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore
WSH 2 – 2 VGK

2nd period

3:21
VGKReilly Smith (Deryk Engelland, Jonathan Marchessault)wrist0.37 xG
WSH: Orpik, Beagle, Smith-Pelly, Stephenson, DjoosVGK: Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore
WSH 2 – 3 VGK
8:29
WSHJohn Carlson (T.J. Oshie, Nicklas Backstrom)backhand0.10 xG
WSH: Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, VranaVGK: Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore
WSH 3 – 3 VGK

3rd period

1:10
WSHTom Wilson (Alex Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov)tip-in0.09 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, WilsonVGK: McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt
WSH 4 – 3 VGK
2:41
VGKRyan Reaveswrist0.10 xG
WSH: Eller, Carlson, Connolly, Burakovsky, KempnyVGK: Engelland, Reaves, Theodore, Bellemare, Nosek
WSH 4 – 4 VGK
9:44
VGKTomas Nosek (Shea Theodore, Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)slap0.10 xG
WSH: Eller, Beagle, Carlson, Smith-Pelly, KempnyVGK: Engelland, Reaves, Theodore, Bellemare, Nosek
WSH 4 – 5 VGK
19:57
VGKTomas NosekEN (David Perron)wrist0.86 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Eller, Wilson, BurakovskyVGK: Perron, McNabb, Schmidt, Bellemare, Nosek
WSH 4 – 6 VGK

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	0	0	0	19:26	—	—	47	33
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	4	1	0	19:09	—	—	46	33
Tom Wilson R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.27	9	1	2	17:25	—	—	45	36
Nicklas Backstrom C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.09	2	0	0	19:39	—	—	56	63
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	2	2	0	3	0.43	1	0	0	19:30	—	—	57	62
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.32	1	0	0	14:21	—	—	52	61
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.03	2	0	0	15:22	—	—	53	50
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	13:53	—	—	68	66
Brett Connolly R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.46	0	0	0	11:00	—	—	57	57
Jay Beagle C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	27	2
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	2	0	10:23	—	—	25	13
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	3	1	0	10:04	—	—	22	11
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+2	5	0.14	1	0	0	24:14	—	—	50	43
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	5	3	0	24:08	—	—	47	42
John Carlson D	D2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.24	1	3	0	24:55	—	—	54	58
Michal Kempny D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	1	2	0	20:10	—	—	59	63
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	3	0	12:08	—	—	39	34
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	2	0	9:03	—	—	35	25

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	2.55	58:12

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Karlsson C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	0	1	0	20:36	—	—	57	62
Reilly Smith R	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.55	5	0	0	20:34	—	—	61	65
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.57	1	0	0	17:42	—	—	63	64
Tomas Nosek L	L2	2	0	2	+3	3	1.13	3	2	0	12:22	—	—	73	84
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.03	0	0	0	11:58	—	—	75	88
Ryan Reaves R	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.21	3	0	0	9:46	—	—	68	76
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	1	1	0	14:28	—	—	31	26
James Neal L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	37	38
Erik Haula L	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:46	—	—	36	38
David Perron L	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.27	0	0	2	14:32	—	—	36	41
Ryan Carpenter C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	2	0	13:46	—	—	33	24
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	29	10
Shea Theodore D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.05	0	1	0	21:52	—	—	60	52
Deryk Engelland D	D1	0	2	2	+2	5	0.07	2	0	0	20:50	—	—	65	58
Brayden McNabb D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	4	0	21:12	—	—	42	66
Nate Schmidt D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	1	0	21:08	—	—	50	68
Colin Miller D	D3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.07	2	1	0	17:15	—	—	35	19
Luca Sbisa D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	3	4	0	16:45	—	—	36	33

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	2.38	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.