Washington Capitals vs. Vegas Golden KnightsDec 4, 2018

FinalTuesday, Dec 4, 2018· T-Mobile Arena

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

3

@

home

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	1	1	1	3		WSH	9	9	8	26
VGK	1	0	4	5		VGK	7	10	11	28

: WSH 51VGK 54
: WSH 1.96VGK 3.24
PP goals: WSH 0VGK 2
Hits: WSH 40VGK 41
Blocks: WSH 17VGK 14
PIM: WSH 12VGK 19
: WSH 41%VGK 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights beat Washington Capitals 5–3

Vegas Golden Knights beat Washington Capitals 5–3 at home. Nate Schmidt (VGK) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for VGK: Eakin–Lindberg–Tuch skated 7:56 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nate Schmidt had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 23:38.Schmidt
Points
Jakub Vrana had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:17.Vrana
Points
Cody Eakin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:44.Eakin
Points
Brett Connolly had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:45.Connolly
Points
Oscar Lindberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:49.Lindberg
New line
New look for VGK: Eakin–Lindberg–Tuch skated 7:56 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eakin Lindberg Tuch
Usage
Shea Theodore (VGK) played 14:16, −5:54 down on his 20:10 season average over 78 games.Theodore
Luck
VGK scored 5 goals on 3.24 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)VGK attacks right (top on phones) →

VGK
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · VGK 54 · WSH 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

VGK
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

VGK pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 22% of the game, VGK 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

VGK

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	VGK
	47	34
	1.61	1.29
	1.59	1.26
	5	8
	2	4
	8	10
	−0.066	+0.066
	22%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
8:1363% CF
L2Kuznetsov – Connolly – Vrana
7:4171% CF
L3Dowd – Jaskin – Stephenson
6:3050% CF
L4Eller – Smith-Pelly – Burakovsky
4:5825% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
12:0168% CF
D2Djoos – Bowey
10:3053% CF
D3Carlson – Kempny
10:0450% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov – Connolly
6:5182% CF
PP2Niskanen – Eller – Orlov – Burakovsky – Vrana
1:46100% CF
PK1FEller – Wilson
2:53
PK2FSmith-Pelly – Stephenson
2:08
PK1DCarlson – Kempny
5:17
PK2DNiskanen – Orlov
5:13

Current WSH line combinations →

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Eakin – Lindberg – Tuch
7:5650% CF
L2Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
7:4343% CF
L3Reaves – Carrier – Bellemare
6:0427% CF
L4Carpenter – Carr – Nosek
4:5750% CF
D1McNabb – Schmidt
12:5934% CF
D2Holden – Miller
11:0718% CF
D3Engelland – Theodore
10:0461% CF

PP1Smith – Karlsson – Miller – Marchessault – Tuch
5:4590% CF
PP2Reaves – Eakin – Lindberg – Schmidt – Theodore
4:08100% CF
PK1FBellemare – Nosek
4:20
PK2FSmith – Karlsson
3:31
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
6:53
PK2DHolden – Schmidt
3:05

Current VGK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:30
VGKRyan ReavesPP (Cody Eakin, Oscar Lindberg)wrist0.25 xG
WSH: Carlson, Dowd, Kuznetsov, KempnyVGK: Reaves, Eakin, Lindberg, Schmidt, Theodore
WSH 0 – 1 VGK
15:33
WSHJakub Vrana (Brett Connolly)snap0.10 xG
WSH: Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Connolly, VranaVGK: Engelland, Eakin, Lindberg, Theodore, Tuch
WSH 1 – 1 VGK

2nd period

11:42
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Brett Connolly, Madison Bowey)backhand0.01 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Djoos, BoweyVGK: Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Carr, Nosek
WSH 2 – 1 VGK

3rd period

2:33
VGKPierre-Edouard Bellemare (Brayden McNabb, Nate Schmidt)deflected0.05 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Smith-Pelly, Djoos, BoweyVGK: McNabb, Schmidt, Carrier, Carpenter, Bellemare
WSH 2 – 2 VGK
2:49
VGKCody Eakin (Oscar Lindberg, Deryk Engelland)wrist0.01 xG
WSH: Carlson, Dowd, Jaskin, Stephenson, KempnyVGK: Engelland, Eakin, Lindberg, Theodore, Tuch
WSH 2 – 3 VGK
11:40
WSHJakub Vrana (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Matt Niskanen)slap0.13 xG
WSH: Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Connolly, VranaVGK: Holden, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, Tuch
WSH 3 – 3 VGK
18:35
VGKNate SchmidtPP (Shea Theodore)wrist0.08 xG
WSH: Niskanen, Eller, Orlov, StephensonVGK: Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt, Theodore
WSH 3 – 4 VGK
19:53
VGKNate SchmidtENwrist0.46 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Eller, Carlson, Kuznetsov, ConnollyVGK: McNabb, Eakin, Schmidt, Carpenter, Bellemare
WSH 3 – 5 VGK

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	6	1	0	23:32	—	—	62	67
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.27	7	1	0	21:57	—	—	67	77
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:14	—	—	59	66
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	1	1	+2	5	0.35	1	0	2	19:33	—	—	72	81
Brett Connolly R	L2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.26	0	1	2	15:45	—	—	74	77
Jakub Vrana L	L2	2	0	2	+2	2	0.23	1	0	0	13:17	—	—	72	84
Chandler Stephenson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:48	—	—	46	40
Nic Dowd C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	6	8:28	—	—	44	55
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	1	0	0	7:30	—	—	56	62
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	1	0	17:08	—	—	40	22
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	2	3	0	12:09	—	—	23	22
Andre Burakovsky L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	10:32	—	—	53	27
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	5	3	0	22:47	—	—	68	82
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	3	0	0	21:37	—	—	70	82
Christian Djoos D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	0	11:31	—	—	53	29
Madison Bowey D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	1	0	2	11:15	—	—	53	29
John Carlson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.26	0	3	0	26:39	—	—	52	59
Michal Kempny D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	3	0	18:05	—	—	52	61

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	2.78	58:57

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.18	1	0	0	17:17	—	—	44	59
Cody Eakin C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.09	1	1	0	16:44	—	—	47	74
Oscar Lindberg L	L1	0	2	2	0	3	0.35	1	2	0	13:49	—	—	53	76
William Karlsson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.34	1	2	0	19:55	—	—	35	35
Jonathan Marchessault R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	5	0	2	19:54	—	—	38	33
Reilly Smith R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.38	2	0	0	19:41	—	—	41	40
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.05	2	2	0	15:46	—	—	38	49
Ryan Reaves R	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.48	5	0	15	10:48	—	—	25	22
William Carrier L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	8	1	0	9:10	—	—	47	51
Ryan Carpenter C	L4	0	0	0	+2	2	0.13	1	0	0	13:29	—	—	67	40
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	1	0	12:13	—	—	38	20
Daniel Carr L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	6:19	—	—	33	22
Nate Schmidt D	D1	2	1	3	+1	4	0.74	0	1	0	23:38	—	—	31	39
Brayden McNabb D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	22:19	—	—	37	40
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	4	1	2	19:03	—	—	18	60
Nick Holden D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	27	59
Deryk Engelland D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.04	3	0	0	18:18	—	—	63	40
Shea Theodore D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	14:16	—	—	61	39

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	1.96	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.