Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 7, 2020

FinalSaturday, Mar 7, 2020· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	3	0	2	5		WSH	12	7	9	28
PIT	0	0	2	2		PIT	6	7	15	28

: WSH 47PIT 59
: WSH 2.67PIT 3.45
PP goals: WSH 0PIT 1
Hits: WSH 45PIT 26
Blocks: WSH 17PIT 10
PIM: WSH 12PIT 6
: WSH 47%PIT 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–2

Washington Capitals beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–2 at PIT. Nic Dowd (WSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for PIT: Blueger–Lafferty–Tanev skated 10:20 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nic Dowd had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 14:26.Dowd
Points
Nicklas Backstrom had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:34.Backstrom
Points
Richard Panik had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 10:03.Panik
Points
Sidney Crosby had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:53.Crosby
Points
T.J. Oshie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:48.Oshie
New line
New look for PIT: Blueger–Lafferty–Tanev skated 10:20 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Blueger Lafferty Tanev
Luck
WSH scored 5 goals on 2.67 expected goals (47 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Jakub Vrana (WSH) played 11:24, −3:32 down on his 14:56 season average over 68 games.Vrana

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · PIT 59 · WSH 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 37% of the game, PIT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	PIT
	49	47
	2.67	1.86
	2.57	1.83
	13	10
	1	2
	7	11
	−0.051	+0.051
	37%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Oshie – Backstrom – Vrana
9:5050% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
9:1133% CF
L3Kovalchuk – Hagelin – Eller
9:0256% CF
L4Panik – Dowd – Hathaway
7:1861% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
14:1154% CF
D2Carlson – Dillon
10:4150% CF
D3Siegenthaler – Kempny
7:1353% CF

PP1Kovalchuk – Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson
1:16
PP2Kovalchuk – Ovechkin – Eller – Orlov – Kuznetsov
0:38
PK1FHagelin – Dowd
2:51
PK2FEller – Wilson
1:36
PK1DJensen – Siegenthaler
2:04
PK2DCarlson – Dillon
1:33

Current WSH line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Blueger – Lafferty – Tanev
10:2029% CF
L2Crosby – Zucker – Sheary
10:1657% CF
L3Marleau – Malkin – Rust
9:5753% CF
L4Hornqvist – Bjugstad – McCann
8:1627% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
15:1241% CF
D2Pettersson – Marino
11:4352% CF
D3Johnson – Schultz
11:4248% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – McCann
5:0150% CF
PP2Marleau – Schultz – Zucker – Rust – Marino
1:31100% CF
PK1FBlueger – Tanev
1:15
PK2FMarleau – Rust
0:39
PK1DDumoulin – Marino
0:55
PK2DJohnson – Pettersson
0:40

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:52
WSHNic Dowd (Garnet Hathaway, Richard Panik)snap0.20 xG
WSH: Panik, Dowd, Hathaway, Siegenthaler, KempnyPIT: Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Lafferty, Tanev
WSH 1 – 0 PIT
16:15
WSHNicklas Backstrom (Jakub Vrana, T.J. Oshie)wrist0.15 xG
WSH: Oshie, Backstrom, Vrana, Siegenthaler, KempnyPIT: Marleau, Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust
WSH 2 – 0 PIT
18:38
WSHRichard Panik (Nick Jensen, Nic Dowd)wrist0.06 xG
WSH: Orlov, Panik, Jensen, Dowd, HathawayPIT: Crosby, Johnson, Schultz, Zucker, Sheary
WSH 3 – 0 PIT

3rd period

0:34
WSHNic DowdSH (Carl Hagelin)wrist0.21 xG
WSH: Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, SiegenthalerPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, McCann
WSH 4 – 0 PIT
5:09
PITSidney Crosby (Conor Sheary)wrist0.08 xG
WSH: Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Dillon, VranaPIT: Crosby, Zucker, Sheary, Pettersson, Marino
WSH 4 – 1 PIT
12:16
PITEvgeni MalkinPP (Jason Zucker, Sidney Crosby)snap0.09 xG
WSH: Eller, Jensen, Wilson, SiegenthalerPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Zucker
WSH 4 – 2 PIT
13:12
WSHT.J. Oshie (Nicklas Backstrom)wrist0.18 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Jensen, KempnyPIT: Marleau, Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust
WSH 5 – 2 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
T.J. Oshie R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.32	3	1	0	15:48	—	—	50	51
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.33	1	0	0	15:34	—	—	52	56
Jakub Vrana L	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	11:24	—	—	57	51
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	7	1	0	16:34	—	—	35	41
Tom Wilson R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	1	2	16:10	—	—	29	26
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:58	—	—	33	26
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	6	1	0	16:38	—	—	57	57
Carl Hagelin L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	0	2	14:44	—	—	47	51
Ilya Kovalchuk L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	4	1	0	12:57	—	—	59	55
Nic Dowd C	L4	2	1	3	+3	4	0.45	3	0	0	14:26	—	—	57	84
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	1	1	+2	4	0.55	2	0	0	10:26	—	—	65	91
Richard Panik R	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.15	1	1	0	10:03	—	—	64	90
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	0	0	2	21:19	—	—	54	67
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	3	4	0	20:11	—	—	52	61
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	3	0	24:36	—	—	46	58
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	4	20:36	—	—	48	55
Michal Kempny D	D3	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	0	0	0	15:45	—	—	52	56
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D3	0	0	0	+3	2	0.01	2	3	2	15:39	—	—	53	47

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	3.45	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Teddy Blueger C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:23	—	—	29	12
Brandon Tanev L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	6	0	0	12:21	—	—	31	13
Sam Lafferty C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	2	11:54	—	—	31	15
Sidney Crosby C	L2	1	1	2	-1	2	0.77	0	0	0	21:53	—	—	61	50
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.55	2	1	0	17:00	—	—	59	41
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	60	50
Evgeni Malkin C	L3	1	0	1	-3	5	0.34	1	0	2	21:37	—	—	58	45
Bryan Rust R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:18	—	—	52	36
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	0	0	0	15:04	—	—	53	30
Patric Hornqvist R	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.41	4	0	0	17:21	—	—	43	68
Jared McCann L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.64	1	0	0	14:56	—	—	36	59
Nick Bjugstad C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:25	—	—	25	30
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.10	1	0	2	26:19	—	—	46	26
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	4	0	20:06	—	—	41	28
John Marino D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	0	2	0	18:12	—	—	54	59
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	4	0	0	14:52	—	—	58	58
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	2	0	0	19:34	—	—	50	47
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	1	0	14:59	—	—	46	40

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	28	23	5	.821	2.67	56:20

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.