Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 19, 2021

FinalFriday, Mar 19, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	3	1	0	4		CGY	7	9	2	18
TOR	2	1	0	3		TOR	12	7	8	27

: CGY 36TOR 70
: CGY 1.48TOR 2.88
PP goals: CGY 1TOR 0
Hits: CGY 33TOR 31
Blocks: CGY 29TOR 7
PIM: CGY 11TOR 11
: CGY 49%TOR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3

Calgary Flames beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 at TOR. Rasmus Andersson (CGY) led the scoring with 0G 2A. CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane and Andersson) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:04 together.

Points
Rasmus Andersson had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:58.Andersson
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane and Andersson) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:04 together.Giordano Lucic Backlund Mangiapane Andersson
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Galchenyuk–Nylander skated 9:21 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Galchenyuk Nylander
Luck
CGY scored 4 goals on 1.48 expected goals (36 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Matthew Tkachuk (CGY) played 13:09, −5:06 down on his 18:15 season average over 55 games.Tkachuk
New line
New look for TOR: Hyman–Kerfoot–Mikheyev skated 6:11 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hyman Kerfoot Mikheyev
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Simmonds–Engvall skated 4:55 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Simmonds Engvall
Usage
Justin Holl (TOR) played 15:20, −5:50 down on his 21:10 season average over 54 games.Holl

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · TOR 70 · CGY 36

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 12% of the game, TOR 53%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	TOR
	34	62
	1.40	2.31
	1.35	2.22
	5	13
	1	4
	19	23
	−0.032	+0.031
	12%	53%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Ritchie – Monahan
11:1412% CF
L2Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane
9:1046% CF
L3Lindholm – Tkachuk – Dube
8:4933% CF
L4Leivo – Bennett – Ryan
8:1656% CF
D1Tanev – Hanifin
16:4348% CF
D2Giordano – Andersson
15:2536% CF
D3Nesterov – Välimäki
10:2614% CF

PP1Giordano – Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane – Andersson
2:04100% CF
PP2Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Hanifin – Tkachuk
1:4267% CF
PK1FLindholm – Ryan
2:03
PK2FMonahan – Bennett
1:13
PK1DGiordano – Tanev
4:25
PK2DNesterov – Andersson
1:30

Current CGY line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Galchenyuk – Nylander
9:2160% CF
L2Thornton – Marner – Matthews
8:0283% CF
L3Hyman – Kerfoot – Mikheyev
6:1117% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Engvall
4:5550% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
12:1567% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
11:0485% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
5:2258% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:57100% CF
PP2Thornton – Simmonds – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:2080% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:53
PK2FKerfoot – Engvall
0:21
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:26
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
0:36

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:19
CGYMatthew Tkachuk (Nikita Nesterov, Elias Lindholm)slap0.06 xG
CGY: Nesterov, Lindholm, Tkachuk, Dube, VälimäkiTOR: Bogosian, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Nylander, Dermott
CGY 1 – 0 TOR
7:33
CGYDerek Ryan (Rasmus Andersson, Milan Lucic)slap0.15 xG
CGY: Lucic, Mangiapane, Andersson, Ryan, VälimäkiTOR: Tavares, Holl, Galchenyuk, Dermott, Marner
CGY 2 – 0 TOR
12:47
TORJason Spezza (Morgan Rielly, Wayne Simmonds)wrist0.01 xG
CGY: Nesterov, Gaudreau, Ritchie, Monahan, HanifinTOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Engvall
CGY 2 – 1 TOR
18:55
CGYChris Tanev (Noah Hanifin)wrist0.02 xG
CGY: Tanev, Lindholm, Hanifin, Tkachuk, DubeTOR: Holl, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
CGY 3 – 1 TOR
19:35
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Zach Bogosian, Travis Dermott)wrist0.05 xG
CGY: Giordano, Backlund, Ritchie, Bennett, AnderssonTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Mikheyev
CGY 3 – 2 TOR

2nd period

3:48
TORMitch Marnerwrist0.17 xG
CGY: Tanev, Gaudreau, Ritchie, Monahan, HanifinTOR: Thornton, Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews
CGY 3 – 3 TOR
12:33
CGYMark GiordanoPP (Rasmus Andersson, Mikael Backlund)slap0.02 xG
CGY: Giordano, Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane, AnderssonTOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Bogosian, Hyman
CGY 4 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sean Monahan C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	3	2	0	17:12	—	—	16	11
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:38	—	—	17	5
Brett Ritchie R	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.04	6	1	0	13:59	—	—	24	11
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.17	2	2	2	16:54	—	—	30	47
Andrew Mangiapane L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	0	0	0	15:54	—	—	42	63
Milan Lucic L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	1	0	0	15:06	—	—	42	63
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	3	2	0	19:02	—	—	28	19
Matthew Tkachuk L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.06	2	0	5	13:09	—	—	31	22
Dillon Dube C	L3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:01	—	—	29	18
Sam Bennett C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	3	1	0	14:52	—	—	50	52
Derek Ryan C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.35	0	2	2	12:42	—	—	60	68
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:58	—	—	48	52
Chris Tanev D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.04	2	2	0	24:31	—	—	47	32
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.05	2	2	0	22:36	—	—	47	35
Mark Giordano D	D2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.02	1	5	0	22:47	—	—	36	48
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	2	2	0	0	0.02	2	3	0	21:58	—	—	32	44
Nikita Nesterov D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	4	0	14:28	—	—	10	20
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	1	2	2	12:13	—	—	21	38

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.88	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.39	2	0	2	20:43	—	—	63	50
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.37	2	1	0	18:39	—	—	55	56
Alex Galchenyuk C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	3	0	0	11:19	—	—	58	54
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.40	1	1	0	24:10	—	—	71	73
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.61	0	2	0	22:34	—	—	78	88
Joe Thornton C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	86	95
Zach Hyman L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	5	0	0	17:50	—	—	57	64
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	38	30
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	1	0	2	12:14	—	—	58	36
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:23	—	—	55	35
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.23	6	0	0	10:36	—	—	71	61
Jason Spezza C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	67	57
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	2	1	0	26:45	—	—	65	46
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	1	1	0	22:21	—	—	56	39
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	3	0	0	19:54	—	—	79	90
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	4	0	7	15:20	—	—	76	79
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.08	0	0	0	14:55	—	—	71	76
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:16	—	—	42	40

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	18	14	4	.778	1.48	58:02

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.