Calgary Flames vs. Buffalo SabresNov 18, 2021

FinalThursday, Nov 18, 2021· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	1	4	0	5		CGY	14	9	10	33
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	8	8	11	27

: CGY 61BUF 48
: CGY 2.56BUF 1.63
PP goals: CGY 1BUF 0
Hits: CGY 14BUF 12
Blocks: CGY 15BUF 16
PIM: CGY 4BUF 4
: CGY 58%BUF 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames rout Buffalo Sabres 5–0

Calgary Flames beat Buffalo Sabres 5–0 at BUF. Johnny Gaudreau (CGY) led the scoring with 2G 1A. CGY's first power-play unit (Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:45 together.

Points
Johnny Gaudreau had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 14:44.Gaudreau
Points
Matthew Tkachuk had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 14:36.Tkachuk
Points
Andrew Mangiapane had two goals (2 points) on 8 shots in 17:25.Mangiapane
Points
Chris Tanev had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:30.Tanev
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:45 together.Gaudreau Lindholm Monahan Andersson Tkachuk
New line
New look for CGY: Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane skated 13:33 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (81.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Backlund Coleman Mangiapane
New line
New look for CGY: Richardson–Lewis–Lucic skated 11:21 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (64.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Richardson Lewis Lucic
Luck
CGY scored 5 goals on 2.56 expected goals (61 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · BUF 48 · CGY 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 55% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	BUF
	70	48
	2.86	1.62
	2.71	1.56
	11	8
	7	4
	13	10
	+0.087	−0.087
	55%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Backlund – Coleman – Mangiapane
13:3381% CF
L2Richardson – Lewis – Lucic
11:2165% CF
L3Gaudreau – Lindholm – Tkachuk
11:1355% CF
L4Pitlick – Monahan – Dube
10:4333% CF
D1Tanev – Kylington
16:5341% CF
D2Hanifin – Andersson
16:2160% CF
D3Gudbranson – Zadorov
15:3871% CF

PP1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Andersson – Tkachuk
1:4567% CF
PP2Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Kylington
0:43
PK1FMangiapane – Dube
1:36
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
0:53
PK1DTanev – Gudbranson
1:53
PK2DHanifin – Andersson
1:30

Current CGY line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Hinostroza – Caggiula – Cozens
11:3250% CF
L2Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
11:0627% CF
L3Skinner – Asplund – Thompson
9:4653% CF
L4Hayden – Bjork – Ruotsalainen
8:2143% CF
D1Pysyk – Dahlin
14:2043% CF
D2Butcher – Hagg
12:4764% CF
D3Miller – Bryson
12:4420% CF

PP1Okposo – Girgensons – Thompson – Dahlin – Ruotsalainen
2:000% CF
PP2Skinner – Miller – Asplund – Bryson – Ruotsalainen
0:54100% CF
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
1:04
PK2FEakin – Bjork
0:42
PK1DMiller – Bryson
0:54
PK2DPysyk – Hagg
0:52

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:30
CGYJohnny Gaudreau (Matthew Tkachuk, Chris Tanev)wrist0.12 xG
CGY: Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Kylington, TkachukBUF: Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens
CGY 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

1:42
CGYAndrew Mangiapane (Chris Tanev, Oliver Kylington)backhand0.15 xG
CGY: Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, KylingtonBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Butcher, Hagg
CGY 2 – 0 BUF
13:58
CGYMatthew Tkachuk (Johnny Gaudreau, Elias Lindholm)wrist0.10 xG
CGY: Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Andersson, TkachukBUF: Hinostroza, Hagg, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens
CGY 3 – 0 BUF
14:59
CGYAndrew Mangiapane (Mikael Backlund, Nikita Zadorov)wrist0.15 xG
CGY: Backlund, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, MangiapaneBUF: Skinner, Butcher, Hayden, Thompson, Dahlin
CGY 4 – 0 BUF
15:35
CGYJohnny GaudreauPP (Sean Monahan, Matthew Tkachuk)tip-in0.11 xG
CGY: Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Andersson, TkachukBUF: Okposo, Miller, Girgensons, Bryson
CGY 5 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrew Mangiapane L	L1	2	0	2	+2	8	0.73	0	0	0	17:25	—	—	78	75
Mikael Backlund C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.21	0	0	0	16:51	—	—	81	86
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.03	2	1	2	15:29	—	—	79	86
Trevor Lewis C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	61	70
Milan Lucic L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	2	0	0	13:53	—	—	63	70
Brad Richardson R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	13:05	—	—	58	71
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:50	—	—	48	42
Johnny Gaudreau L	L3	2	1	3	+2	5	0.34	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	52	42
Matthew Tkachuk L	L3	1	2	3	+2	4	0.35	1	0	0	14:36	—	—	59	56
Dillon Dube C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	32	45
Sean Monahan C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:20	—	—	33	45
Tyler Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	12:59	—	—	27	36
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	21:30	—	—	47	49
Oliver Kylington D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	1	2	0	18:18	—	—	43	57
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	3	0	21:02	—	—	60	69
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	2	2	0	20:50	—	—	68	70
Erik Gudbranson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	3	0	19:22	—	—	71	82
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.04	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	67	66

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	W	27	27	0	.1000	1.63	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L1	-2	2	0.03	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	59	47
Dylan Cozens C	L1	-2	0	0.18	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	36	20
Drake Caggiula L	L1	-2	2	0.15	1	1	2	15:30	—	—	56	43
Kyle Okposo R	L2	-1	2	0.20	1	0	0	18:10	—	—	29	34
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	-1	3	0.19	5	0	0	17:34	—	—	26	34
Cody Eakin C	L2	-1	2	0.08	0	1	0	15:13	—	—	28	35
Tage Thompson C	L3	-1	4	0.14	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	52	52
Jeff Skinner L	L3	-1	2	0.10	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	36	25
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	14:24	—	—	38	29
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L4	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	14:19	—	—	55	56
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	1	0.05	0	0	2	11:18	—	—	48	49
John Hayden C	L4	-1	2	0.23	1	1	0	10:18	—	—	37	33
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	21:50	—	—	46	50
Mark Pysyk D	D1	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	20:29	—	—	49	41
Robert Hagg D	D2	-2	2	0.03	2	3	0	21:03	—	—	51	59
Will Butcher D	D2	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:56	—	—	60	57
Jacob Bryson D	D3	-2	0	0.00	0	4	0	19:51	—	—	22	19
Colin Miller D	D3	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	16:30	—	—	18	12

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	L	23	18	5	.783	1.56	40:00
Aaron Dell	—	10	10	0	.1000	0.99	20:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.