Vegas Golden Knights vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 24, 2018

Final / SOSaturday, Mar 24, 2018· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
VGK	0	0	1	0	0	1		VGK	11	10	12	7	40
COL	1	0	0	0	1	2		COL	13	9	6	2	30

: VGK 61COL 60
: VGK 1.97COL 3.36
PP goals: VGK 0COL 1
Hits: VGK 28COL 19
Blocks: VGK 18COL 14
PIM: VGK 8COL 2
: VGK 53%COL 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Vegas Golden Knights 2–1 (SO)

Colorado Avalanche beat Vegas Golden Knights 2–1 in a shootout at home. Jonathan Marchessault (VGK) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 40 shots and stopped 39 (.975), +9 against a season average of 31.3; the win.

Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 40 shots and stopped 39 (.975), +9 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Varlamov
Usage
Duncan Siemens (COL) played 3:42, −9:12 down on his 12:54 season average over 15 games.Siemens
Usage
Shea Theodore (VGK) played 26:38, +6:23 up on his 20:15 season average over 60 games.Theodore
Luck
COL scored 1 goal on 3.36 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Carl Soderberg (COL) played 22:59, +5:42 up on his 17:17 season average over 76 games.Soderberg
New line
New look for COL: Kerfoot–Compher–Jost skated 5:57 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Compher Jost
Usage
Colin Miller (VGK) played 25:46, +6:30 up on his 19:16 season average over 81 games.Miller
Usage
Jon Merrill (VGK) played 11:27, −4:47 down on his 16:14 season average over 33 games.Merrill

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · COL 60 · VGK 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 23% of the game, COL 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	COL
	56	59
	1.58	2.87
	1.50	2.76
	5	17
	5	6
	10	13
	−0.006	+0.006
	23%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Neal – Perron – Haula
13:1262% CF
L2Tatar – Karlsson – Marchessault
9:2038% CF
L3Eakin – Carpenter – Tuch
7:4667% CF
L4Reaves – Bellemare – Nosek
5:4422% CF
D1Miller – Theodore
18:4464% CF
D2McNabb – Schmidt
15:4749% CF
D3Merrill – Hunt
10:4543% CF

PP1Neal – Perron – Karlsson – Theodore – Tuch
0:49
PP2Neal – Perron – Haula – Miller – Hunt
0:44100% CF
PK1FBellemare – Nosek
3:03
PK2FEakin – Karlsson
2:27
PK1DMcNabb – Schmidt
3:47
PK2DMiller – Theodore
2:26

Current VGK line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:0453% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
13:2824% CF
L3Kerfoot – Compher – Jost
5:5760% CF
D1Barrie – Zadorov
10:0062% CF
D2Johnson – Nemeth
7:0939% CF
D3Alt – Girard
2:4840% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
4:1467% CF
PP2Soderberg – Johnson – Kerfoot – Compher – Girard
2:5980% CF
PK1FBourque – Nieto
0:32
PK2FSoderberg – Compher
0:18
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
0:46
PK2DSiemens – Zadorov
0:00

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:52
COLCarl SoderbergPP (J.T. Compher, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.14 xG
VGK: Eakin, Karlsson, Miller, TheodoreCOL: Soderberg, Johnson, Kerfoot, Compher, Girard
VGK 0 – 1 COL

3rd period

1:15
VGKJonathan Marchessault (Shea Theodore)wrist0.10 xG
VGK: Tatar, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, TheodoreCOL: Johnson, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher, Jost
VGK 1 – 1 COL

Decided in the shootout: VGK 1 – 2 COL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Erik Haula L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	2	20:35	—	—	61	48
James Neal L	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.51	0	0	0	20:03	—	—	57	42
David Perron L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:30	—	—	62	51
William Karlsson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	2	0	21:09	—	—	38	31
Jonathan Marchessault R	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.17	3	0	2	17:49	—	—	38	29
Tomas Tatar L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.45	0	1	0	13:16	—	—	44	37
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	13:21	—	—	64	44
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	13:02	—	—	59	39
Ryan Carpenter C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	2	12:49	—	—	56	55
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	27	13
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:31	—	—	33	11
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	9:15	—	—	25	8
Shea Theodore D	D1	0	1	1	+1	8	0.24	1	2	0	26:38	—	—	64	73
Colin Miller D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	6	0	0	25:46	—	—	55	59
Nate Schmidt D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	2	0	24:00	—	—	50	30
Brayden McNabb D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	5	1	0	22:10	—	—	46	27
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	0	7	0.17	3	2	0	14:28	—	—	39	26
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	2	11:27	—	—	39	23

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	O	30	29	1	.967	3.36	65:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	1	0	0	23:24	—	—	56	79
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.25	2	1	0	23:15	—	—	56	78
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	0	8	1.00	2	0	0	23:14	—	—	47	76
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.14	1	2	0	22:59	—	—	30	27
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	19:48	—	—	31	30
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	19:20	—	—	31	10
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.66	1	0	0	18:48	—	—	65	54
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	0	1	0	17:48	—	—	77	65
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.16	1	0	0	12:56	—	—	71	74
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	24:21	—	—	53	53
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	3	2	0	21:32	—	—	57	59
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	2	4	0	24:37	—	—	45	70
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:21	—	—	41	70
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	17:15	—	—	56	69
Mark Alt D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	10:58	—	—	47	47
Gabriel Bourque L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	6:21	—	—	75	41
Dominic Toninato C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	1	0	0	4:21	—	—	67	100
Duncan Siemens D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	3:42	—	—	83	100

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	40	39	1	.975	1.97	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.