Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York IslandersJan 8, 2019

FinalTuesday, Jan 8, 2019· NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	0	2	4		CAR	5	10	9	24
NYI	1	0	2	3		NYI	7	12	12	31

: CAR 43NYI 54
: CAR 2.17NYI 2.55
PP goals: CAR 1NYI 0
Hits: CAR 14NYI 20
Blocks: CAR 13NYI 11
PIM: CAR 6NYI 4
: CAR 49%NYI 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge New York Islanders 4–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat New York Islanders 4–3 at NYI. Brock Nelson (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for CAR: Williams–McKegg–Ferland skated 11:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (78.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock Nelson had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 18:12.Nelson
Points
Greg McKegg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:18.McKegg
Points
Victor Rask had 2 assists (2 points) in 10:44.Rask
New line
New look for CAR: Williams–McKegg–Ferland skated 11:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (78.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Williams McKegg Ferland
Luck
CAR scored 4 goals on 2.16 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Dougie Hamilton (CAR) played 15:47, −3:56 down on his 19:43 season average over 81 games.Hamilton
Usage
Cal Clutterbuck (NYI) played 16:59, +3:03 up on his 13:56 season average over 72 games.Clutterbuck
Usage
Calvin de Haan (CAR) played 21:30, +3:02 up on his 18:28 season average over 73 games.de Haan

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 97 of 97 attempts · NYI 54 · CAR 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 20% of the game, NYI 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NYI
	44	54
	1.90	2.17
	1.82	2.13
	10	16
	6	5
	13	23
	−0.038	+0.039
	20%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – McGinn – Aho
12:5438% CF
L2Williams – McKegg – Ferland
11:2979% CF
L3Martinook – Wallmark – Svechnikov
8:5738% CF
L4Rask – Maenalanen – Foegele
8:0641% CF
D1de Haan – Faulk
16:0965% CF
D2Slavin – Pesce
15:1336% CF
D3Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
14:3238% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
2:09100% CF
PP2Rask – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
0:49100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:27
PK2FMartinook – Foegele
1:13
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:50
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
2:11

Current CAR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Bailey – Barzal – Beauvillier
11:0047% CF
L2Eberle – Lee – Nelson
10:3282% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
10:2239% CF
L4Filppula – Komarov – Dal Colle
9:3044% CF
D1Boychuk – Leddy
16:0450% CF
D2Pelech – Pulock
14:1863% CF
D3Mayfield – Toews
13:4059% CF

PP1Eberle – Leddy – Lee – Nelson – Barzal
3:0433% CF
PP2Clutterbuck – Bailey – Pulock – Toews – Beauvillier
2:440% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
1:06
PK2FFilppula – Komarov
0:38
PK1DPelech – Pulock
0:54
PK2DBoychuk – Mayfield
0:49

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:42
NYIBrock Nelsonwrist0.10 xG
CAR: de Haan, McKegg, Faulk, Ferland, MartinookNYI: Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews
CAR 0 – 1 NYI
15:10
CARSaku Maenalanen (Victor Rask, Warren Foegele)backhand0.14 xG
CAR: Rask, Hamilton, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, FoegeleNYI: Filppula, Boychuk, Komarov, Leddy, Dal Colle
CAR 1 – 1 NYI
19:54
CARGreg McKegg (Micheal Ferland, Trevor van Riemsdyk)tip-in0.05 xG
CAR: Williams, McKegg, Ferland, Hamilton, van RiemsdykNYI: Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier
CAR 2 – 1 NYI

3rd period

4:50
NYIDevon Toews (Anders Lee, Brock Nelson)snap0.03 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark, SvechnikovNYI: Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews
CAR 2 – 2 NYI
17:18
CARJustin Williams (Greg McKegg)backhand0.12 xG
CAR: Williams, McKegg, Ferland, Hamilton, van RiemsdykNYI: Komarov, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock, Toews
CAR 3 – 2 NYI
18:53
CARJaccob SlavinPP (Dougie Hamilton, Victor Rask)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Rask, Hamilton, Slavin, Wallmark, SvechnikovNYI: Leddy, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal
CAR 4 – 2 NYI
19:01
NYIBrock Nelsonwrist0.04 xG
CAR: Rask, Slavin, Maenalanen, Pesce, FoegeleNYI: Boychuk, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Toews
CAR 4 – 3 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	1	0	20:23	—	—	33	39
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:23	—	—	37	41
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	2	0	17:00	—	—	37	42
Justin Williams R	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.21	1	0	2	15:41	—	—	73	59
Micheal Ferland L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:28	—	—	73	56
Greg McKegg C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.04	0	1	0	13:18	—	—	71	52
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	1	0	0	15:39	—	—	29	29
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	14:59	—	—	35	54
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	1	0	0	12:34	—	—	35	47
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	11:23	—	—	33	40
Victor Rask C	L4	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:44	—	—	41	49
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.18	0	1	0	9:23	—	—	38	48
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	0	2	23:07	—	—	59	53
Calvin de Haan D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	1	1	0	21:30	—	—	65	60
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.14	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	32	29
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	2	0	19:59	—	—	44	47
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.02	0	0	2	17:16	—	—	37	45
Dougie Hamilton D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	36	42

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	2.55	60:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	1	0	17:35	—	—	50	70
Josh Bailey R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	17:35	—	—	57	71
Anthony Beauvillier R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.36	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	59	71
Brock Nelson C	L2	2	1	3	+3	4	0.37	1	0	0	18:12	—	—	82	78
Anders Lee L	L2	0	1	1	+3	3	0.29	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	84	79
Jordan Eberle R	L2	0	0	0	+3	3	0.44	0	1	0	16:27	—	—	82	83
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	4	1	0	16:59	—	—	39	19
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	5	0	0	12:32	—	—	35	27
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	12:26	—	—	40	37
Valtteri Filppula C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:21	—	—	40	30
Leo Komarov R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	2	11:42	—	—	41	34
Michael Dal Colle L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	2	1	2	11:41	—	—	47	42
Nick Leddy D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	23:31	—	—	47	38
Johnny Boychuk D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	3	0	19:55	—	—	52	59
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.04	2	0	0	21:37	—	—	64	52
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	3	1	0	17:28	—	—	62	53
Devon Toews D	D3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.11	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	62	69
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	0	1	0	16:50	—	—	50	52

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Thomas Greiss(start)	L	24	20	4	.833	2.17	58:34

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.