Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York IslandersJan 21, 2023

FinalSaturday, Jan 21, 2023· UBS Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

@

home

New York IslandersNYI

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	1	2	5		CAR	7	10	9	26
NYI	2	0	0	2		NYI	8	7	16	31

: CAR 67NYI 56
: CAR 3.68NYI 2.21
PP goals: CAR 0NYI 0
Hits: CAR 16NYI 24
Blocks: CAR 15NYI 20
PIM: CAR 8NYI 10
: CAR 48%NYI 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat New York Islanders 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat New York Islanders 5–2 at NYI. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 3G 0A. New look for NYI: Cizikas–Lee–Barzal skated 9:31 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Sebastian Aho had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:29.Aho
Points
Jordan Staal had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:04.Staal
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:18.Teravainen
New line
New look for NYI: Cizikas–Lee–Barzal skated 9:31 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cizikas Lee Barzal
Usage
Jalen Chatfield (CAR) played 20:24, +6:21 up on his 14:03 season average over 77 games.Chatfield
New line
New look for NYI: Martin–Johnston–Räty skated 6:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martin Johnston Räty
Usage
Sebastian Aho (CAR) played 15:29, −4:04 down on his 19:33 season average over 74 games.Aho
Usage
Paul Stastny (CAR) played 17:36, +5:49 up on his 11:47 season average over 72 games.Stastny

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · NYI 56 · CAR 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 46% of the game, NYI 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NYI
	66	55
	2.58	2.11
	2.49	2.03
	16	14
	5	4
	29	18
	−0.064	+0.064
	46%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Fast – Martinook
11:3466% CF
L2Stastny – Necas – Svechnikov
10:4148% CF
L3Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
8:5738% CF
L4Stepan – Noesen – Kotkaniemi
6:5791% CF
D1Burns – Chatfield
16:0242% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
15:4547% CF
D3de Haan – Coghlan
10:5572% CF

PP1Burns – Stastny – Necas – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
3:2186% CF
PP2Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
2:21100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:12
PK2FStaal – Martinook
0:47
PK1DBurns – Chatfield
2:12
PK2Dde Haan – Pesce
1:01

Current CAR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Cizikas – Lee – Barzal
9:3158% CF
L2Parise – Pageau – Holmstrom
8:2220% CF
L3Bailey – Nelson – Beauvillier
7:4965% CF
L4Martin – Johnston – Räty
6:000% CF
D1Mayfield – Romanov
13:3654% CF
D2Pulock – Wotherspoon
10:3530% CF
D3Aho – Dobson
10:0330% CF

PP1Lee – Pageau – Pulock – Barzal – Dobson
2:00100% CF
PP2Parise – Bailey – Nelson – Beauvillier – Aho
1:35100% CF
PK1FBailey – Cizikas
2:44
PK2FParise – Pageau
1:48
PK1DPulock – Aho
2:17
PK2DMayfield – Romanov
2:02

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:44
CARJordan Staal (Jalen Chatfield, Brent Burns)wrist0.20 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, ChatfieldNYI: Bailey, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Aho
CAR 1 – 0 NYI
3:52
CARJesper Fast (Jordan Staal)snap0.16 xG
CAR: Staal, Fast, Martinook, Pesce, ChatfieldNYI: Bailey, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Romanov
CAR 2 – 0 NYI
14:02
NYISimon Holmstrom (Anders Lee)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Staal, de Haan, Fast, Martinook, PesceNYI: Lee, Barzal, Wotherspoon, Dobson, Holmstrom
CAR 2 – 1 NYI
15:42
NYIBrock Nelsonwrap-around0.03 xG
CAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Kotkaniemi, JarvisNYI: Bailey, Nelson, Pulock, Wotherspoon, Beauvillier
CAR 2 – 2 NYI

2nd period

16:40
CARSebastian Aho (Teuvo Teravainen)tip-in0.09 xG
CAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, JarvisNYI: Bailey, Nelson, Beauvillier, Aho, Dobson
CAR 3 – 2 NYI

3rd period

7:09
CARSebastian Ahowrist0.03 xG
CAR: Burns, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, JarvisNYI: Bailey, Nelson, Beauvillier, Aho, Dobson
CAR 4 – 2 NYI
19:38
CARSebastian AhoEN (Teuvo Teravainen)other0.90 xG
CAR: Burns, Stastny, Teravainen, Aho, ChatfieldNYI: Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Beauvillier, Dobson
CAR 5 – 2 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.31	4	1	0	19:04	—	—	54	52
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.49	2	1	2	17:28	—	—	54	53
Jesper Fast R	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	3	0	16:25	—	—	61	60
Paul Stastny C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	0	2	0	17:36	—	—	54	48
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:58	—	—	56	51
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	4	14:18	—	—	50	27
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	2	2	+2	0	0.02	0	0	0	17:18	—	—	29	30
Sebastian Aho C	L3	3	0	3	+3	3	1.13	3	2	0	15:29	—	—	42	55
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.31	1	1	0	15:08	—	—	39	46
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	0	0	0	12:47	—	—	81	82
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	0	0	11:44	—	—	93	99
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	8:06	—	—	92	99
Brent Burns D	D1	0	1	1	+3	3	0.19	0	1	0	24:06	—	—	47	58
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	1	1	+4	1	0.01	0	1	0	20:24	—	—	43	55
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	2	21:50	—	—	48	40
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	20:48	—	—	47	43
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	1	0	14:43	—	—	68	56
Dylan Coghlan D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	0	0	0	12:06	—	—	73	65

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	2.21	59:42

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.50	0	1	0	20:39	—	—	55	52
Casey Cizikas C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	16:11	—	—	55	45
Anders Lee L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.22	1	1	0	15:59	—	—	55	42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	20:30	—	—	24	20
Zach Parise L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	2	3	0	19:30	—	—	42	53
Simon Holmstrom R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.20	0	0	0	13:48	—	—	23	25
Brock Nelson C	L3	1	0	1	-4	4	0.17	0	0	0	16:07	—	—	67	62
Josh Bailey R	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:49	—	—	67	57
Anthony Beauvillier R	L3	0	0	0	-4	5	0.57	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	67	55
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	1	2	9:06	—	—	0	0
Aatu Räty C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:50	—	—	11	11
Ross Johnston L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:51	—	—	8	31
Scott Mayfield D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	1	1	4	19:51	—	—	68	66
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	2	18:10	—	—	57	36
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	24:39	—	—	39	39
Parker Wotherspoon D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:35	—	—	42	44
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	5	0.13	1	4	0	22:27	—	—	35	49
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.06	0	4	0	19:55	—	—	38	36

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	L	25	21	4	.840	2.78	57:20

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.