Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York IslandersApr 28, 2023

Final / OTPlayoffsFriday, Apr 28, 2023· UBS Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

@

home

New York IslandersNYI

1

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
CAR	0	0	1	1	2		CAR	8	11	19	3	41
NYI	1	0	0	0	1		NYI	11	17	5	1	34

: CAR 76NYI 74
: CAR 2.72NYI 2.79
PP goals: CAR 0NYI 0
Hits: CAR 31NYI 21
Blocks: CAR 25NYI 21
PIM: CAR 6NYI 4
: CAR 43%NYI 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge New York Islanders 2–1 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat New York Islanders 2–1 in overtime at NYI. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Ilya Sorokin (NYI) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +6 against a season average of 35.0; the loss.

Goalie
Ilya Sorokin (NYI) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +6 against a season average of 35.0; the loss.Sorokin
New line
New look for CAR: Fast–Martinook–Kotkaniemi skated 10:09 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fast Martinook Kotkaniemi
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Noesen–Necas skated 9:02 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Noesen Necas
Luck
NYI scored 1 goal on 2.79 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Paul Stastny (CAR) played 9:28, −3:03 down on his 12:31 season average over 14 games.Stastny
Usage
Bo Horvat (NYI) played 23:02, +3:58 up on his 19:04 season average over 5 games.Horvat
Usage
Jaccob Slavin (CAR) played 25:38, +3:20 up on his 22:18 season average over 14 games.Slavin
Usage
Pierre Engvall (NYI) played 17:45, +3:00 up on his 14:45 season average over 5 games.Engvall

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 150 of 150 attempts · NYI 74 · CAR 76

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 32% of the game, NYI 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NYI
	88	79
	3.09	2.61
	2.99	2.48
	23	14
	4	11
	44	24
	−0.088	+0.088
	32%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1MacEachern – Aho – Jarvis
13:0764% CF
L2Fast – Martinook – Kotkaniemi
10:0975% CF
L3Staal – Noesen – Necas
9:0233% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Puljujarvi
7:0852% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
20:5354% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
19:1139% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
13:5865% CF

PP1Burns – Noesen – Aho – Necas – Jarvis
1:46
PP2Stastny – Skjei – Gostisbehere – Puljujarvi – Kotkaniemi
0:34
PK1FStaal – Martinook
1:48
PK2FFast – Aho
0:58
PK1DBurns – Slavin
2:36
PK2DSkjei – Pesce
1:07

Current CAR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
12:5947% CF
L2Lee – Pageau – Barzal
6:1486% CF
L3Parise – Fasching – Horvat
6:0336% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
5:4233% CF
D1Pulock – Romanov
14:3250% CF
D2Mayfield – Aho
14:1040% CF
D3Pelech – Dobson
13:2747% CF

PP1Lee – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Aho
2:3080% CF
PP2Parise – Palmieri – Pageau – Engvall – Dobson
1:120% CF
PK1FParise – Pageau
1:02
PK2FCizikas – Horvat
0:48
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
1:54
PK2DPulock – Romanov
0:24

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:21
NYICal Clutterbuck (Ryan Pulock, Casey Cizikas)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Stastny, Stepan, Gostisbehere, Chatfield, PuljujarviNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson, Romanov
CAR 0 – 1 NYI

3rd period

9:24
CARSebastian Aho (Brett Pesce)other0.17 xG
CAR: MacEachern, Slavin, Pesce, Aho, JarvisNYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Engvall, Aho
CAR 1 – 1 NYI

OT period

6:00
CARPaul Stastny (Derek Stepan)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Stastny, Stepan, Gostisbehere, Chatfield, PuljujarviNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Dobson
CAR 2 – 1 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Seth Jarvis R	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.42	4	2	0	21:38	—	—	54	72
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.22	5	0	2	21:12	—	—	60	62
Mackenzie MacEachern L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	1	2	0	14:23	—	—	56	72
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	0	7	0.50	2	0	0	20:20	—	—	65	91
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	2	1	0	19:10	—	—	62	90
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	1	1	0	17:17	—	—	61	59
Martin Necas C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	17:55	—	—	42	24
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	16:06	—	—	30	11
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	2	0	0	15:43	—	—	33	10
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	10:01	—	—	54	58
Paul Stastny C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.02	0	1	0	9:28	—	—	48	59
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	1	0	9:26	—	—	46	59
Brent Burns D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.12	2	6	2	26:52	—	—	51	77
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	3	2	0	25:38	—	—	56	73
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	0	2	23:32	—	—	39	41
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	2	2	0	22:42	—	—	44	46
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	16:25	—	—	60	38
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	2	0	16:12	—	—	65	38

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	34	33	1	.971	2.79	66:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	2	1	0	18:29	—	—	50	39
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	18:22	—	—	52	41
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	0	0	17:45	—	—	44	22
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	0	19:17	—	—	56	45
Anders Lee L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	2	0	2	19:08	—	—	65	69
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	73	56
Bo Horvat C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	1	1	0	23:02	—	—	42	46
Zach Parise L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	1	1	0	16:15	—	—	52	60
Hudson Fasching R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	1	0	13:49	—	—	39	42
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.36	2	2	0	14:01	—	—	37	59
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.28	1	1	2	12:14	—	—	24	37
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	9:07	—	—	31	40
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	22:49	—	—	51	63
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	21:06	—	—	52	48
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	2	5	0	23:23	—	—	43	46
Sebastian Aho D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	4	0	17:58	—	—	40	43
Adam Pelech D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	0	24:42	—	—	48	41
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	17:45	—	—	50	32

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	L	41	39	2	.951	2.72	66:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.